Best U23 Young Centre-Backs in the Serie A
26 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Index
Best Young Centre-Backs in the Serie A (Jun 2026)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Index
Market Overview: Serie A Young Centre-Backs 2023-24
Our database tracked 26 Serie A Young Centre-Backs in the 2023-24 season, representing 16 clubs with a combined market value of €223.8M. The average market value for Serie A Young Centre-Backs was €8.6M, with the average age at 22 years old.
The most valuable young centre-back in the Serie A was Giorgio Scalvini, worth €25.0M and played for Atalanta BC at 22 years old. The top 5 Young Centre-Backs averaged €22.2M in market value, including Pietro Comuzzo and Koni De Winter.
Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young centre-back was Honest Ahanor (18 years, Atalanta BC, €25.0M), while the oldest was Koni De Winter (23 years, AC Milan, €20.0M). Research shows Young Centre-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Historical analysis showed 26 Young Centre-Backs (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Serie A market for Young Centre-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2023-24 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Serie A
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Serie A Young Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 16 clubs with €223.8M combined value.
Age Distribution: Serie A Young Centre-Backs
The Serie A CB market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (22 players, 85% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at €187.8M, averaging €8.5M per player.
Top Young Centre-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (4 players)
21-23 Years (22 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 3 Young Centre-Backs (12% of players) control €68.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with high (€15-30m) tier representing 23% of the Serie A CB pool.
High (€15-30M)
Mid (€5-15M)
Emerging (<€5M)
Club Distribution: Serie A Young Centre-Backs
Among 16 Serie A clubs, Atalanta BC leads with 2 Young Centre-Backs worth €50.0M (averaging €25.0M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 69% of tracked Young Centre-Backs.
Atalanta BC (2 Young Centre-Backs)
AC Milan (2 Young Centre-Backs)
ACF Fiorentina (1 Young Centre-Backs)
Como 1907 (1 Young Centre-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by Analytical Strength Index. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Giorgio Scalvini
Atalanta BC • 22 years old
€21.6M
€25.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €26.5M
76.2
Pietro Comuzzo
ACF Fiorentina • 21 years old
€19.9M
€23.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €25.4M
74.5
Koni De Winter
AC Milan • 23 years old
€17.3M
€20.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €21.4M
74.0
Honest Ahanor
Atalanta BC • 18 years old
€21.6M
€25.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €30.9M
73.8
Jacobo Ramón
Como 1907 • 21 years old
€15.6M
€18.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €19.8M
71.5
Tarik Muharemović
US Sassuolo • 23 years old
€12.1M
€14.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €15.0M
69.6
Tiago Gabriel
US Lecce • 21 years old
€13.0M
€15.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €16.5M
69.2
Daniele Ghilardi
AS Roma • 23 years old
€6.9M
€8.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €8.6M
59.0
Alessandro Circati
Parma Calcio 1913 • 22 years old
€6.9M
€8.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €8.5M
58.4
Luca Marianucci
Torino FC • 21 years old
€6.5M
€7.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €8.3M
57.0
Nicolò Bertola
Udinese Calcio • 23 years old
€5.2M
€6.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €6.4M
55.4
Mariano Troilo
Parma Calcio 1913 • 22 years old
€5.2M
€6.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €6.4M
54.8
Mikayil Faye
US Cremonese • 21 years old
€5.2M
€6.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €6.6M
54.2
Juan Rodríguez
Cagliari Calcio • 21 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.5M
52.0
Filippo Terracciano
US Cremonese • 23 years old
€3.9M
€4.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.8M
51.9
Oliver Provstgaard
SS Lazio • 23 years old
€3.9M
€4.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.8M
51.9
David Odogu
AC Milan • 20 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.7M
51.3
Saba Goglichidze
Udinese Calcio • 21 years old
€3.9M
€4.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.0M
50.6
Adam Obert
Cagliari Calcio • 23 years old
€3.5M
€4.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.3M
50.4
Branimir Mlacic
Udinese Calcio • 19 years old
€3.5M
€4.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.8M
48.0
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Atalanta BC's Honest Ahanor at 18 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 5.00×. That means Honest Ahanor is valued 5.00× higher than the median player in the U21 age bracket-representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Atalanta BC's Giorgio Scalvini, who is 22 years old, with a 4.17× PPVE. Third is Pietro Comuzzo of ACF Fiorentina, who is 21 years old with a 3.83× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 5.00× means the player is worth 400% more than typical players their age-making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | 18 | U21 | €25.0M | €5.0M | 5.00× |
| #2 | Giorgio Scalvini Atalanta BC | 22 | 21-23 | €25.0M | €6.0M | 4.17× |
| #3 | Pietro Comuzzo ACF Fiorentina | 21 | 21-23 | €23.0M | €6.0M | 3.83× |
| #4 | Koni De Winter AC Milan | 23 | 21-23 | €20.0M | €6.0M | 3.33× |
| #5 | Jacobo Ramón Como 1907 | 21 | 21-23 | €18.0M | €6.0M | 3.00× |
| #6 | Tiago Gabriel US Lecce | 21 | 21-23 | €15.0M | €6.0M | 2.50× |
| #7 | Tarik Muharemović US Sassuolo | 23 | 21-23 | €14.0M | €6.0M | 2.33× |
| #8 | Daniele Ghilardi AS Roma | 23 | 21-23 | €8.0M | €6.0M | 1.33× |
| #9 | Alessandro Circati Parma Calcio 1913 | 22 | 21-23 | €8.0M | €6.0M | 1.33× |
| #10 | Luca Marianucci Torino FC | 21 | 21-23 | €7.5M | €6.0M | 1.25× |
| #11 | Mariano Troilo Parma Calcio 1913 | 22 | 21-23 | €6.0M | €6.0M | 1.00× |
| #12 | Nicolò Bertola Udinese Calcio | 23 | 21-23 | €6.0M | €6.0M | 1.00× |
| #13 | Mikayil Faye US Cremonese | 21 | 21-23 | €6.0M | €6.0M | 1.00× |
| #14 | David Odogu AC Milan | 20 | U21 | €5.0M | €5.0M | 1.00× |
| #15 | Juan Rodríguez Cagliari Calcio | 21 | 21-23 | €5.0M | €6.0M | 0.83× |
| #16 | Branimir Mlacic Udinese Calcio | 19 | U21 | €4.0M | €5.0M | 0.80× |
| #17 | Filippo Terracciano US Cremonese | 23 | 21-23 | €4.5M | €6.0M | 0.75× |
| #18 | Oliver Provstgaard SS Lazio | 23 | 21-23 | €4.5M | €6.0M | 0.75× |
| #19 | Saba Goglichidze Udinese Calcio | 21 | 21-23 | €4.5M | €6.0M | 0.75× |
| #20 | Adam Obert Cagliari Calcio | 23 | 21-23 | €4.0M | €6.0M | 0.67× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Atalanta BC's Honest Ahanor at 18 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +44%. That means Honest Ahanor is projected to appreciate 44% as they reach their peak age in 8 years-representing significant upside before entering their prime.
In second is Udinese Calcio's Branimir Mlacic, who is 19 years old, with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Tobias Slotsager of Hellas Verona, who is 20 years old with a +35% RPP (6 years to peak).
How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 44% RPP means the player is expected to gain 44% value as they enter their prime-making them excellent growth investments.
Recovery Potential by Player
| Rank | Player | Age | Years to Peak | Current | Peak Forecast | RPP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | 18 | 8 | €25.0M | €44.7M | +44% |
| #2 | Branimir Mlacic Udinese Calcio | 19 | 7 | €4.0M | €6.6M | +40% |
| #3 | Tobias Slotsager Hellas Verona | 20 | 6 | €2.0M | €3.1M | +35% |
| #4 | David Odogu AC Milan | 20 | 6 | €5.0M | €7.7M | +35% |
| #5 | Matías Pérez US Lecce | 21 | 5 | €500K | €719K | +30% |
| #6 | Saba Goglichidze Udinese Calcio | 21 | 5 | €4.5M | €6.5M | +30% |
| #7 | Jacobo Ramón Como 1907 | 21 | 5 | €18.0M | €25.9M | +30% |
| #8 | Tiago Gabriel US Lecce | 21 | 5 | €15.0M | €21.6M | +30% |
| #9 | Juan Rodríguez Cagliari Calcio | 21 | 5 | €5.0M | €7.2M | +30% |
| #10 | Luca Marianucci Torino FC | 21 | 5 | €7.5M | €10.8M | +30% |
| #11 | Rosen Bozhinov Pisa Sporting Club | 21 | 5 | €2.5M | €3.6M | +30% |
| #12 | Mikayil Faye US Cremonese | 21 | 5 | €6.0M | €8.6M | +30% |
| #13 | Pietro Comuzzo ACF Fiorentina | 21 | 5 | €23.0M | €33.1M | +30% |
| #14 | Sebastian Otoa Genoa CFC | 22 | 4 | €2.5M | €3.3M | +25% |
| #15 | Alessandro Circati Parma Calcio 1913 | 22 | 4 | €8.0M | €10.7M | +25% |
| #16 | Mateus Lusuardi Pisa Sporting Club | 22 | 4 | €800K | €1.1M | +25% |
| #17 | Giorgio Scalvini Atalanta BC | 22 | 4 | €25.0M | €33.4M | +25% |
| #18 | Mariano Troilo Parma Calcio 1913 | 22 | 4 | €6.0M | €8.0M | +25% |
| #19 | Nicolò Bertola Udinese Calcio | 23 | 3 | €6.0M | €7.5M | +20% |
| #20 | Koni De Winter AC Milan | 23 | 3 | €20.0M | €24.9M | +20% |
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Atalanta BC's Honest Ahanor has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 68.9. That means Honest Ahanor has 23% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty-representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Udinese Calcio's Branimir Mlacic with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Tobias Slotsager of Hellas Verona with a 46.3 RAU (15% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 68.9 means the upside is 68.9× greater than the uncertainty-making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | €30.9M | €26.6M-35.1M | +23% | 68.9 |
| #2 | Branimir Mlacic Udinese Calcio | €4.8M | €4.1M-5.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #3 | Tobias Slotsager Hellas Verona | €2.3M | €2.0M-2.6M | +15% | 46.3 |
| #4 | David Odogu AC Milan | €5.7M | €4.9M-6.5M | +15% | 46.3 |
| #5 | Pietro Comuzzo ACF Fiorentina | €25.4M | €21.9M-28.9M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #6 | Juan Rodríguez Cagliari Calcio | €5.5M | €4.8M-6.3M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #7 | Mikayil Faye US Cremonese | €6.6M | €5.7M-7.5M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #8 | Rosen Bozhinov Pisa Sporting Club | €2.8M | €2.4M-3.1M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #9 | Tiago Gabriel US Lecce | €16.5M | €14.3M-18.8M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #10 | Luca Marianucci Torino FC | €8.3M | €7.1M-9.4M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #11 | Saba Goglichidze Udinese Calcio | €5.0M | €4.3M-5.6M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #12 | Jacobo Ramón Como 1907 | €19.8M | €17.1M-22.6M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #13 | Matías Pérez US Lecce | €551K | €475K-627K | +10% | 33.7 |
| #14 | Adam Obert Cagliari Calcio | €4.3M | €3.8M-4.8M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #15 | Daniele Ghilardi AS Roma | €8.6M | €7.5M-9.6M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #16 | Koni De Winter AC Milan | €21.4M | €18.8M-24.0M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #17 | Alessandro Marcandalli Genoa CFC | €2.7M | €2.4M-3.0M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #18 | Filippo Terracciano US Cremonese | €4.8M | €4.2M-5.4M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #19 | Oliver Provstgaard SS Lazio | €4.8M | €4.2M-5.4M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #20 | Tarik Muharemović US Sassuolo | €15.0M | €13.2M-16.8M | +7% | 27.5 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: young centre-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Atalanta BC's Honest Ahanor in the U21 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +0.7%. That means Honest Ahanor captures 16.1% of total market value while representing only 15.4% of players in their age group-showing dominant elite status.
In second is Udinese Calcio's Branimir Mlacic with a +0.7% ASC (16.1% value share vs 15.4% player share in U21 bracket). Third is Tobias Slotsager of Hellas Verona with a +0.7% ASC (16.1% value vs 15.4% players in U21 bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +0.7% ASC means the player captures 0.7% more market value than their numerical representation-indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | U21 | 16.1% | 15.4% | +0.7% |
| #2 | Branimir Mlacic Udinese Calcio | U21 | 16.1% | 15.4% | +0.7% |
| #3 | Tobias Slotsager Hellas Verona | U21 | 16.1% | 15.4% | +0.7% |
| #4 | David Odogu AC Milan | U21 | 16.1% | 15.4% | +0.7% |
| #5 | Tiago Gabriel US Lecce | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #6 | Mateus Lusuardi Pisa Sporting Club | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #7 | Mariano Troilo Parma Calcio 1913 | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #8 | Matías Pérez US Lecce | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #9 | Juan Rodríguez Cagliari Calcio | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #10 | Koni De Winter AC Milan | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #11 | Adam Obert Cagliari Calcio | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #12 | Giorgio Scalvini Atalanta BC | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #13 | Filippo Terracciano US Cremonese | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #14 | Nicolò Bertola Udinese Calcio | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #15 | Oliver Provstgaard SS Lazio | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #16 | Mikayil Faye US Cremonese | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #17 | Tarik Muharemović US Sassuolo | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #18 | Daniele Ghilardi AS Roma | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #19 | Pietro Comuzzo ACF Fiorentina | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
| #20 | Luca Marianucci Torino FC | 21-23 | 83.9% | 84.6% | -0.7% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use:"Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets."Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months."Peak" = pay premium for proven performers."Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 2 immediate targets, 24 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
No players in this category
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is €20.0M. 0 undervalued, 1 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Rodríguez Cagliari Calcio | €5.0M | €6.0M | -1.25 | Good Value |
Tiago Gabriel US Lecce | €15.0M | €6.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Matías Pérez US Lecce | €500K | €6.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Tobias Slotsager Hellas Verona | €2.0M | €6.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Mateus Lusuardi Pisa Sporting Club | €800K | €6.0M | -0.85 | Good Value |
Mariano Troilo Parma Calcio 1913 | €6.0M | €6.0M | -0.75 | Good Value |
Nicolò Bertola Udinese Calcio | €6.0M | €6.0M | -0.75 | Good Value |
Mikayil Faye US Cremonese | €6.0M | €6.0M | -0.75 | Good Value |
Jacobo Ramón Como 1907 | €18.0M | €6.0M | -0.40 | Fair Value |
Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | €25.0M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Branimir Mlacic Udinese Calcio | €4.0M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Koni De Winter AC Milan | €20.0M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Luca Marianucci Torino FC | €7.5M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Alessandro Marcandalli Genoa CFC | €2.5M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Rosen Bozhinov Pisa Sporting Club | €2.5M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Sebastian Otoa Genoa CFC | €2.5M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
David Odogu AC Milan | €5.0M | €6.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Daniele Ghilardi AS Roma | €8.0M | €6.0M | +0.25 | Fair Value |
Alessandro Circati Parma Calcio 1913 | €8.0M | €6.0M | +0.25 | Fair Value |
Pietro Comuzzo ACF Fiorentina | €23.0M | €6.0M | +0.60 | Above Market |
