Best Midfielders in the Liga Portugal (Jul 2026)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Index
Market Overview: Liga Portugal Midfielders 2023-24
Our database tracked 134 Liga Portugal Midfielders in the 2023-24 season, representing 29 clubs with a combined market value of €160.3M. The average market value for Liga Portugal Midfielders was €1.2M, with the average age at 29 years old.
The most valuable midfielder in the Liga Portugal was Fredrik Aursnes, worth €17.0M and played for SL Benfica at 30 years old. The top 5 Midfielders averaged €13.6M in market value, including Leandro Barreiro and João Simões.
Age distribution showed the youngest tracked midfielder was João Simões (19 years, Sporting CP, €15.0M), while the oldest was João Vilela (40 years, CF Os Belenenses, €200K). Research shows Midfielders typically peak at age 26-27.
Historical analysis showed 43 Midfielders (32%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Liga Portugal market for Midfielders remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2023-24 season.
Explore Market Size by Position in Liga Portugal
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Liga Portugal Midfielders. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 29 clubs with €160.3M combined value.
Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Age Distribution: Liga Portugal Midfielders
The Liga Portugal CM market shows 5 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 30+ bracket (67 players, 50% of market). The 30+ age group holds the most value at €52.1M, averaging €778K per player.
Top Midfielders by Age Bracket
U21 Years (3 players)
21-23 Years (21 players)
24-26 Years (26 players)
27-29 Years (17 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 14 Midfielders (10% of players) control €102.7M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with high (€15-30m) tier representing 2% of the Liga Portugal CM pool.
High (€15-30M)
Mid (€5-15M)
Emerging (<€5M)
Club Distribution: Liga Portugal Midfielders
Among 29 Liga Portugal clubs, SL Benfica leads with 6 Midfielders worth €37.0M (averaging €6.2M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 50% of tracked Midfielders.
SL Benfica (6 Midfielders)
Sporting CP (6 Midfielders)
SC Braga (7 Midfielders)
FC Porto (4 Midfielders)
Player Rankings
Ranked by Analytical Strength Index. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Fredrik Aursnes
SL Benfica • 30 years old
€22.0M
€17.0M
-22.6%
Expected: €14.1M
70.7
Leandro Barreiro
SL Benfica • 26 years old
€13.0M
€15.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €15.4M
68.7
João Simões
Sporting CP • 19 years old
€13.0M
€15.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €17.9M
67.7
Stephen Eustaquio
FC Porto • 29 years old
€14.2M
€11.0M
-22.6%
Expected: €9.1M
65.2
Daniel Bragança
Sporting CP • 27 years old
€10.6M
€10.0M
-5.4%
Expected: €8.8M
60.2
Hidemasa Morita
Sporting CP • 31 years old
€11.6M
€9.0M
-22.6%
Expected: €7.5M
59.3
Gorby
SC Braga • 23 years old
€6.1M
€7.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €7.5M
57.1
Diego Rodrigues
SC Braga • 21 years old
€3.9M
€4.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.0M
50.3
Gonçalo Franco
Moreirense FC • 25 years old
€2.6M
€3.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.9M
42.0
Tiago Silva
Vitória Guimarães SC • 33 years old
€3.5M
€2.7M
-22.6%
Expected: €2.4M
41.0
Vasco Sousa
Moreirense FC • 23 years old
€2.2M
€2.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.7M
40.6
Brandon Aguilera
Rio Ave FC • 23 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.1M
37.9
Beni Mukendi
Vitória Guimarães SC • 24 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.0M
37.4
Taichi Fukui
FC Arouca • 22 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.1M
37.3
Diogo Prioste
SL Benfica • 22 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.1M
37.3
Facundo Cáseres
Gil Vicente FC • 25 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.0M
36.9
André Horta
SC Braga • 29 years old
€2.6M
€2.0M
-22.6%
Expected: €1.7M
36.8
Lawrence Ofori
Moreirense FC • 28 years old
€2.6M
€2.0M
-22.6%
Expected: €1.8M
36.7
João Veloso
SL Benfica • 21 years old
€1.3M
€1.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €1.7M
33.1
Serginho
CD Santa Clara • 26 years old
€1.3M
€1.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €1.5M
32.9
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Sporting CP's João Simões at 19 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 27.27×. That means João Simões is valued 27.27× higher than the median player in the U21 age bracket-representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is SC Braga's Gorby, who is 23 years old, with a 7.78× PPVE. Third is Gonçalo Franco of Moreirense FC, who is 25 years old with a 7.50× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 27.27× means the player is worth 2627% more than typical players their age-making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | João Simões Sporting CP | 19 | U21 | €15.0M | €550K | 27.27× |
| #2 | Gorby SC Braga | 23 | 21-23 | €7.0M | €900K | 7.78× |
| #3 | Gonçalo Franco Moreirense FC | 25 | 24-26 | €3.0M | €400K | 7.50× |
| #4 | Beni Mukendi Vitória Guimarães SC | 24 | 24-26 | €2.0M | €400K | 5.00× |
| #5 | Facundo Cáseres Gil Vicente FC | 25 | 24-26 | €2.0M | €400K | 5.00× |
| #6 | Diego Rodrigues SC Braga | 21 | 21-23 | €4.5M | €900K | 5.00× |
| #7 | Vasco Sousa Moreirense FC | 23 | 21-23 | €2.5M | €900K | 2.78× |
| #8 | Bernardo Folha FC Porto | 24 | 24-26 | €1.0M | €400K | 2.50× |
| #9 | Brandon Aguilera Rio Ave FC | 23 | 21-23 | €2.0M | €900K | 2.22× |
| #10 | Diogo Prioste SL Benfica | 22 | 21-23 | €2.0M | €900K | 2.22× |
| #11 | Taichi Fukui FC Arouca | 22 | 21-23 | €2.0M | €900K | 2.22× |
| #12 | Pedro Santos FC Arouca | 25 | 24-26 | €800K | €400K | 2.00× |
| #13 | Zé Carlos Gil Vicente FC | 24 | 24-26 | €800K | €400K | 2.00× |
| #14 | João Veloso SL Benfica | 21 | 21-23 | €1.5M | €900K | 1.67× |
| #15 | Braima B SAD | 25 | 24-26 | €600K | €400K | 1.50× |
| #16 | Chiheb Labidi CD Nacional | 25 | 24-26 | €500K | €400K | 1.25× |
| #17 | Marcos Peña FC Famalicão | 21 | 21-23 | €1.0M | €900K | 1.11× |
| #18 | Espen van Ee FC Arouca | 23 | 21-23 | €1.0M | €900K | 1.11× |
| #19 | Titouan Thomas GD Estoril Praia | 24 | 24-26 | €400K | €400K | 1.00× |
| #20 | Samuel Justo Sporting CP | 22 | 21-23 | €900K | €900K | 1.00× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Sporting CP's João Simões at 19 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +40%. That means João Simões is projected to appreciate 40% as they reach their peak age in 7 years-representing significant upside before entering their prime.
In second is SL Benfica's Tiago Freitas, who is 19 years old, with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Victor Froholdt of FC Porto, who is 20 years old with a +35% RPP (6 years to peak).
How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 40% RPP means the player is expected to gain 40% value as they enter their prime-making them excellent growth investments.
Recovery Potential by Player
| Rank | Player | Age | Years to Peak | Current | Peak Forecast | RPP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | João Simões Sporting CP | 19 | 7 | €15.0M | €24.9M | +40% |
| #2 | Tiago Freitas SL Benfica | 19 | 7 | €550K | €914K | +40% |
| #3 | Victor Froholdt FC Porto | 20 | 6 | €400K | €618K | +35% |
| #4 | Marcos Peña FC Famalicão | 21 | 5 | €1.0M | €1.4M | +30% |
| #5 | Andrei Florea GD Estoril Praia | 21 | 5 | €125K | €180K | +30% |
| #6 | Diego Rodrigues SC Braga | 21 | 5 | €4.5M | €6.5M | +30% |
| #7 | João Veloso SL Benfica | 21 | 5 | €1.5M | €2.2M | +30% |
| #8 | Geo Almeida SC Farense | 22 | 4 | €250K | €334K | +25% |
| #9 | Diogo Prioste SL Benfica | 22 | 4 | €2.0M | €2.7M | +25% |
| #10 | Taichi Fukui FC Arouca | 22 | 4 | €2.0M | €2.7M | +25% |
| #11 | Gonçalo Nogueira Vitória Guimarães SC | 22 | 4 | €250K | €334K | +25% |
| #12 | Miguel Rebelo Moreirense FC | 22 | 4 | €200K | €267K | +25% |
| #13 | Samuel Justo Sporting CP | 22 | 4 | €900K | €1.2M | +25% |
| #14 | Yellu Santiago FC Arouca | 22 | 4 | €900K | €1.2M | +25% |
| #15 | Otar Mamageishvili FC Famalicão | 23 | 3 | €700K | €870K | +20% |
| #16 | Vasco Sousa Moreirense FC | 23 | 3 | €2.5M | €3.1M | +20% |
| #17 | Rodri Alonso Moreirense FC | 23 | 3 | €300K | €373K | +20% |
| #18 | Espen van Ee FC Arouca | 23 | 3 | €1.0M | €1.2M | +20% |
| #19 | Brandon Aguilera Rio Ave FC | 23 | 3 | €2.0M | €2.5M | +20% |
| #20 | Nile John Moreirense FC | 23 | 3 | €400K | €497K | +20% |
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
SL Benfica's Tiago Freitas has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 53.6. That means Tiago Freitas has 19% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty-representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Sporting CP's João Simões with a 53.6 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Victor Froholdt of FC Porto with a 42.8 RAU (15% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 53.6 means the upside is 53.6× greater than the uncertainty-making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Tiago Freitas SL Benfica | €655K | €557K-753K | +19% | 53.6 |
| #2 | João Simões Sporting CP | €17.9M | €15.2M-20.5M | +19% | 53.6 |
| #3 | Victor Froholdt FC Porto | €459K | €390K-527K | +15% | 42.8 |
| #4 | João Veloso SL Benfica | €1.7M | €1.4M-1.9M | +10% | 31.1 |
| #5 | Marcos Peña FC Famalicão | €1.1M | €938K-1.3M | +10% | 31.1 |
| #6 | Andrei Florea GD Estoril Praia | €138K | €117K-158K | +10% | 31.1 |
| #7 | Diego Rodrigues SC Braga | €5.0M | €4.2M-5.7M | +10% | 31.1 |
| #8 | Rodri Alonso Moreirense FC | €321K | €279K-363K | +7% | 25.4 |
| #9 | Espen van Ee FC Arouca | €1.1M | €931K-1.2M | +7% | 25.4 |
| #10 | Brandon Aguilera Rio Ave FC | €2.1M | €1.9M-2.4M | +7% | 25.4 |
| #11 | Vasco Sousa Moreirense FC | €2.7M | €2.3M-3.0M | +7% | 25.4 |
| #12 | Gorby SC Braga | €7.5M | €6.5M-8.5M | +7% | 25.4 |
| #13 | Otar Mamageishvili FC Famalicão | €749K | €652K-847K | +7% | 25.4 |
| #14 | Nile John Moreirense FC | €428K | €373K-484K | +7% | 25.4 |
| #15 | Gustavo Mendonça Avs Futebol | €214K | €186K-242K | +7% | 25.4 |
| #16 | Miguel Menino SC Farense | €857K | €745K-968K | +7% | 25.4 |
| #17 | Joel Silva CD Nacional | €428K | €373K-484K | +7% | 25.4 |
| #18 | Miguel Rebelo Moreirense FC | €212K | €184K-239K | +6% | 21.2 |
| #19 | Geo Almeida SC Farense | €265K | €230K-299K | +6% | 21.2 |
| #20 | Diogo Prioste SL Benfica | €2.1M | €1.8M-2.4M | +6% | 21.2 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: midfielder position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
SC Braga's Fransérgio in the 30+ age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-17.5%. That means Fredrik Aursnes captures 32.5% of total market value while representing only 50.0% of players in their age group-showing dominant elite status.
In second is CD Tondela's Hélder Tavares with a +-17.5% ASC (32.5% value share vs 50.0% player share in 30+ bracket). Third is Gus Ledes of Rio Ave FC with a +-17.5% ASC (32.5% value vs 50.0% players in 30+ bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-17.5% ASC means the player captures -17.5% more market value than their numerical representation-indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Fransérgio SC Braga | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #2 | Hélder Tavares CD Tondela | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #3 | Gus Ledes Rio Ave FC | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #4 | Reuben Gabriel Boavista FC | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #5 | Marco van Ginkel Boavista FC | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #6 | Rafael Costa Boavista FC | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #7 | Lucas Mineiro Académica Coimbra | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #8 | João Teixeira Gil Vicente FC | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #9 | Leandro Silva FC Arouca | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #10 | João Patrão GD Chaves | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #11 | Chidi Osuchukwu SC Braga | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #12 | Giorgi Aburjania Avs Futebol | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #13 | Jean Cleber CS Marítimo | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #14 | Dener Portimonense SC | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #15 | Vítor Gonçalves SC Farense | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #16 | Raphael Guzzo GD Chaves | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #17 | Hassan CS Marítimo | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #18 | Larry Azouni CD Nacional | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #19 | Alex Soares GD Estoril Praia | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
| #20 | Ewerton Portimonense SC | 30+ | 32.5% | 50.0% | -17.5% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use:"Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets."Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months."Peak" = pay premium for proven performers."Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 2 immediate targets, 22 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 37 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is €275K. 0 undervalued, 15 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Bragança Sporting CP | €10.0M | €400K | -1.00 | Good Value |
Victor Froholdt FC Porto | €400K | €400K | -1.00 | Good Value |
Pana CS Marítimo | €125K | €400K | -0.70 | Good Value |
Barata CS Marítimo | €125K | €400K | -0.70 | Good Value |
Carlos Moura GD Chaves | €125K | €400K | -0.70 | Good Value |
José Luis Fernández SC Olhanense | €125K | €400K | -0.70 | Good Value |
Kiko Vitória Guimarães SC | €150K | €400K | -0.63 | Good Value |
João Patrão GD Chaves | €150K | €400K | -0.60 | Good Value |
Jonatan Lucca Avs Futebol | €150K | €400K | -0.60 | Good Value |
Chahreddine Boukholda B SAD | €150K | €400K | -0.60 | Good Value |
Karl FC Arouca | €150K | €400K | -0.60 | Good Value |
Vinicius Moreirense FC | €150K | €400K | -0.60 | Good Value |
Sávio Roberto Vitória Setúbal FC | €150K | €400K | -0.60 | Good Value |
John Ogu Académica Coimbra | €150K | €400K | -0.60 | Good Value |
Manu Figueiredo CF Estrela Amadora | €125K | €400K | -0.59 | Good Value |
Rúben Gonçalves Rio Ave FC | €175K | €400K | -0.58 | Good Value |
Lucas Marques CD Santa Clara | €175K | €400K | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Tom Moustier CF Estrela Amadora | €175K | €400K | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Matheus Clemente FC Famalicão | €225K | €400K | -0.47 | Fair Value |
Lucho Vega CS Marítimo | €225K | €400K | -0.47 | Fair Value |
How We Rank Liga Portugal Midfielders
Our Analytical Strength Index is calibrated specifically for midfielders, using position-specific age curves and playing time benchmarks. The model draws from academic research on player valuation (Franck & Nüesch, 2012) and age-performance curves (Dendir, 2016).
Scoring Components for CM
Historical Achievement Index (35%)
Peak career market value for Liga Portugal midfielders, reflecting proven track record and reputation. Uses log-scale to account for exponential value distribution at elite level.
Current Performance Proxy (30%)
Present market value for Liga Portugal midfielders, capturing recent form, injuries, and current performance level. Weighted to reflect age-related depreciation patterns.
Playing Time Utilization (18%)
Midfielders with 2,400+ minutes score highest, indicating regular starting role and sustained performance.
Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%)
Midfielders peak at 26-27 with 6.0%/year decline. Pre-peak players score higher on development trajectory.
Competition Level Adjustment (3%)
Liga Portugal competition level factored into comparative strength assessment.
Performance Expectations Multiplier (2%)
Players at clubs with Champions League pedigree face higher performance standards and tactical complexity, contributing to development and market validation.
CM Performance Benchmarks
Peak Age: 26-27 years (technical skill and tactical awareness)
Decline Rate: 6.0% per year (technical skills age better than physical attributes)
Optimal Minutes: 2,400-2,500 per season (balance of involvement and recovery)
1-Year Market Value Forecast
Probabilistic model combining age-curve depreciation, value momentum, and playing time factors:
• Age Factor: Midfielder -6.0%/year post-peak, +5%/year pre-peak
• Value Trajectory: Near career peak (>95% of peak value): +3% momentum | Moderate decline: -5%
• Playing Time Factor: Regular starters (+2%), Squad rotation (-2%)
• Forecast Range: ±12-15% confidence interval
Research Foundation
• Dendir (2016): Age-performance curves for midfielders
• Carmichael et al. (2011): Player depreciation in top leagues
• Franck & Nüesch (2012): Hedonic pricing models for talent valuation
• Szymanski, S. (2015). Money and Soccer: A Soccernomics Guide
Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about Liga Portugal Midfielders in the 2023-24 season
Who are the most valuable Midfielders in the Liga Portugal in 2023-24?
The most valuable midfielder in the Liga Portugal in 2023-24 is Fredrik Aursnes, who is worth €17.0M and plays for SL Benfica. The second most valuable is Leandro Barreiro (€15.0M, SL Benfica), followed by João Simões (€15.0M, Sporting CP). Our database tracks 134 Liga Portugal Midfielders with comprehensive market valuations updated for the 2023-24 season.
How are Liga Portugal Midfielders ranked?
Liga Portugal Midfielders are ranked by our proprietary Analytical Strength Index, which is specifically calibrated for Midfielders. The score combines six factors: Historical Achievement Index (35%) measuring peak career value, Current Performance Proxy (30%) reflecting recent market signals, Playing Time Utilization (18%) tracking minutes played, Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%) using position-specific peak ages, League Quality Coefficient (3%) for Liga Portugal competition level, and Club Tier Multiplier (2%) accounting for club prestige. This methodology is grounded in academic research including work by Dendir (2016) on age-performance curves and Franck & Nüesch (2012) on hedonic pricing models.
What age do Midfielders peak?
Midfielders typically peak at age 26-27, with a decline rate of 6.0% per year after peak. Central midfielders require a blend of physicality, technical skill, and tactical awareness. The optimal playing time for peak performance is around 2,400-2,500 minutes per season.
How much does it cost to sign a top midfielder from the Liga Portugal?
Transfer fees for Liga Portugal Midfielders vary significantly based on market value, contract length, and club bargaining position. For the top-ranked midfielder Fredrik Aursnes (market value: €17.0M), estimated transfer fees would range from €13.6M to €23.8M depending on contract situation. Players with longer contracts (3+ years) command premium fees (1.2-1.4× market value), while those in the final year may be available for 0.8-1.1× market value. Our fee estimates are derived from historical transfer patterns and contract-clock modifiers validated against actual Liga Portugal transactions.
What is the value forecast for Liga Portugal Midfielders?
Our 1-year forecast model projects market value changes for Liga Portugal Midfielders based on age-curve depreciation, historical trajectory, and playing time adjustments. The forecast combines three factors: age-based appreciation/depreciation (pre-peak players gain ~5% per year toward peak age, post-peak players decline at position-specific rates), market trajectory momentum (comparing current to peak value), and playing time confidence (regular starters receive +2% boost). Forecast confidence intervals account for position-specific volatility-midfielders have ±12-15% volatility. Young players (under 22) and older players (over 32) receive 1.15× uncertainty multipliers due to unpredictable development or decline patterns.
Where does the Liga Portugal midfielder data come from?
Our Liga Portugal midfielder data is sourced from Football Analytics AI's proprietary Transfer Intelligence Database, which aggregates market valuations, player statistics, contract information, and transfer histories from multiple industry sources. Market values are updated regularly based on player performance, injuries, contract negotiations, and transfer market activity. We enhance this data with our proprietary analytics including position-specific scoring algorithms, age-performance curves calibrated to academic research, and statistical forecast models. All data is validated against official Liga Portugal sources and updated monthly for the 2023-24 season to ensure accuracy for recruitment and investment decisions.