Best U23 Young Left-Backs in the Premier League
17 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Best Young Left-Backs in the Premier League (Apr 2026)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Market Overview: Premier League Young Left-Backs 2023-24
Our database tracked 17 Premier League Young Left-Backs in the 2023-24 season, representing 14 clubs with a combined market value of £316.4M. The average market value for Premier League Young Left-Backs was £18.6M, with the average age at 21.2 years old.
The most valuable young left-back in the Premier League was Milos Kerkez, worth £45.0M and played for Liverpool FC at 22 years old. The top 5 Young Left-Backs averaged £40.0M in market value, including Destiny Udogie and Myles Lewis-Skelly.
Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young left-back was Myles Lewis-Skelly (19 years, Arsenal FC, £45.0M), while the oldest was Destiny Udogie (23 years, Tottenham Hotspur, £40.0M). Research shows Young Left-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Historical analysis showed 17 Young Left-Backs (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Premier League market for Young Left-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2023-24 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Premier League
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Premier League Young Left-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 14 clubs with £316.4M combined value.
Age Distribution: Premier League Young Left-Backs
The Premier League LB market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (12 players, 71% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at £220.5M, averaging £18.4M per player.
Top Young Left-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (5 players)
21-23 Years (12 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 2 Young Left-Backs (12% of players) control £85.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with premium (€30-50m) tier representing 35% of the Premier League LB pool.
Premium (€30-50M)
High (€15-30M)
Mid (€5-15M)
Club Distribution: Premier League Young Left-Backs
Among 14 Premier League clubs, Arsenal FC leads with 2 Young Left-Backs worth £80.0M (averaging £40.0M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 76% of tracked Young Left-Backs.
Arsenal FC (2 Young Left-Backs)
Liverpool FC (1 Young Left-Backs)
Tottenham Hotspur (1 Young Left-Backs)
Chelsea FC (1 Young Left-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Milos Kerkez
Liverpool FC • 22 years old
£38.9M
£45.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £49.6M
87.3
Destiny Udogie
Tottenham Hotspur • 23 years old
£34.6M
£40.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £44.6M
86.2
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Arsenal FC • 19 years old
£38.9M
£45.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £55.8M
85.4
Riccardo Calafiori
Arsenal FC • 23 years old
£30.3M
£35.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £39.0M
84.7
Jorrel Hato
Chelsea FC • 20 years old
£30.3M
£35.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £41.8M
82.9
Lewis Hall
Newcastle United • 21 years old
£27.7M
£32.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £36.7M
82.3
Patrick Dorgu
Manchester United • 21 years old
£21.6M
£25.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £27.6M
75.7
Nico O'Reilly
Manchester City • 21 years old
£15.6M
£18.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £19.8M
71.7
Hugo Bueno
Wolverhampton Wanderers • 23 years old
£6.9M
£8.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £8.6M
59.0
Julio Soler
AFC Bournemouth • 21 years old
£6.9M
£8.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £8.8M
57.8
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley FC • 23 years old
£6.1M
£7.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £7.5M
57.4
Oliver Scarles
West Ham United • 20 years old
£6.9M
£8.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £9.2M
57.2
Diego León
Manchester United • 19 years old
£3.5M
£4.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £4.8M
48.1
Adam Aznou
Everton FC • 19 years old
£3.5M
£4.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £4.8M
48.0
Leo Hjelde
Sunderland AFC • 22 years old
£1.7M
£2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £2.1M
37.6
Alex Murphy
Newcastle United • 21 years old
£259K
£300K
+15.6%
Expected: £331K
13.3
Aventis Aventisyan
Without Club • 23 years old
£130K
£150K
+15.6%
Expected: £161K
5.6
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Arsenal FC's Myles Lewis-Skelly at 19 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 5.63×. That means Myles Lewis-Skelly is valued 5.63× higher than the median player in the U21 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Chelsea FC's Jorrel Hato, who is 20 years old, with a 4.38× PPVE. Third is Milos Kerkez of Liverpool FC, who is 22 years old with a 2.50× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 5.63× means the player is worth 463% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | 19 | U21 | £45.0M | £8.0M | 5.63× |
| #2 | Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | 20 | U21 | £35.0M | £8.0M | 4.38× |
| #3 | Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC | 22 | 21-23 | £45.0M | £18.0M | 2.50× |
| #4 | Destiny Udogie Tottenham Hotspur | 23 | 21-23 | £40.0M | £18.0M | 2.22× |
| #5 | Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC | 23 | 21-23 | £35.0M | £18.0M | 1.94× |
| #6 | Lewis Hall Newcastle United | 21 | 21-23 | £32.0M | £18.0M | 1.78× |
| #7 | Patrick Dorgu Manchester United | 21 | 21-23 | £25.0M | £18.0M | 1.39× |
| #8 | Nico O'Reilly Manchester City | 21 | 21-23 | £18.0M | £18.0M | 1.00× |
| #9 | Oliver Scarles West Ham United | 20 | U21 | £8.0M | £8.0M | 1.00× |
| #10 | Diego León Manchester United | 19 | U21 | £4.0M | £8.0M | 0.50× |
| #11 | Adam Aznou Everton FC | 19 | U21 | £4.0M | £8.0M | 0.50× |
| #12 | Julio Soler AFC Bournemouth | 21 | 21-23 | £8.0M | £18.0M | 0.44× |
| #13 | Hugo Bueno Wolverhampton Wanderers | 23 | 21-23 | £8.0M | £18.0M | 0.44× |
| #14 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | 23 | 21-23 | £7.0M | £18.0M | 0.39× |
| #15 | Leo Hjelde Sunderland AFC | 22 | 21-23 | £2.0M | £18.0M | 0.11× |
| #16 | Alex Murphy Newcastle United | 21 | 21-23 | £300K | £18.0M | 0.02× |
| #17 | Aventis Aventisyan Without Club | 23 | 21-23 | £150K | £18.0M | 0.01× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Manchester United's Diego León at 19 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +40%. That means Myles Lewis-Skelly is projected to appreciate 40% as they reach their peak age in 7 years—representing significant upside before entering their prime.
In second is Arsenal FC's Myles Lewis-Skelly, who is 19 years old, with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Adam Aznou of Everton FC, who is 19 years old with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak).
How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 40% RPP means the player is expected to gain 40% value as they enter their prime—making them excellent growth investments.
Recovery Potential by Player
| Rank | Player | Age | Years to Peak | Current | Peak Forecast | RPP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Diego León Manchester United | 19 | 7 | £4.0M | £6.6M | +40% |
| #2 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | 19 | 7 | £45.0M | £74.8M | +40% |
| #3 | Adam Aznou Everton FC | 19 | 7 | £4.0M | £6.6M | +40% |
| #4 | Oliver Scarles West Ham United | 20 | 6 | £8.0M | £12.4M | +35% |
| #5 | Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | 20 | 6 | £35.0M | £54.1M | +35% |
| #6 | Julio Soler AFC Bournemouth | 21 | 5 | £8.0M | £11.5M | +30% |
| #7 | Lewis Hall Newcastle United | 21 | 5 | £32.0M | £46.0M | +30% |
| #8 | Nico O'Reilly Manchester City | 21 | 5 | £18.0M | £25.9M | +30% |
| #9 | Alex Murphy Newcastle United | 21 | 5 | £300K | £431K | +30% |
| #10 | Patrick Dorgu Manchester United | 21 | 5 | £25.0M | £35.9M | +30% |
| #11 | Leo Hjelde Sunderland AFC | 22 | 4 | £2.0M | £2.7M | +25% |
| #12 | Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC | 22 | 4 | £45.0M | £60.2M | +25% |
| #13 | Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC | 23 | 3 | £35.0M | £43.5M | +20% |
| #14 | Aventis Aventisyan Without Club | 23 | 3 | £150K | £186K | +20% |
| #15 | Destiny Udogie Tottenham Hotspur | 23 | 3 | £40.0M | £49.7M | +20% |
| #16 | Hugo Bueno Wolverhampton Wanderers | 23 | 3 | £8.0M | £9.9M | +20% |
| #17 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | 23 | 3 | £7.0M | £8.7M | +20% |
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Arsenal FC's Myles Lewis-Skelly has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 70.0. That means Myles Lewis-Skelly has 24% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Chelsea FC's Jorrel Hato with a 58.7 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Diego León of Manchester United with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 70.0 means the upside is 70.0× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | £55.8M | £48.1M-63.5M | +24% | 70.0 |
| #2 | Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | £41.8M | £36.0M-47.5M | +19% | 58.7 |
| #3 | Diego León Manchester United | £4.8M | £4.1M-5.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #4 | Adam Aznou Everton FC | £4.8M | £4.1M-5.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #5 | Lewis Hall Newcastle United | £36.7M | £31.7M-41.8M | +15% | 46.6 |
| #6 | Oliver Scarles West Ham United | £9.2M | £7.9M-10.4M | +15% | 46.3 |
| #7 | Destiny Udogie Tottenham Hotspur | £44.6M | £39.2M-49.9M | +11% | 42.8 |
| #8 | Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC | £39.0M | £34.3M-43.7M | +11% | 42.8 |
| #9 | Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC | £49.6M | £43.6M-55.5M | +10% | 38.4 |
| #10 | Alex Murphy Newcastle United | £331K | £285K-376K | +10% | 33.7 |
| #11 | Patrick Dorgu Manchester United | £27.6M | £23.8M-31.4M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #12 | Nico O'Reilly Manchester City | £19.8M | £17.1M-22.6M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #13 | Julio Soler AFC Bournemouth | £8.8M | £7.6M-10.0M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #14 | Hugo Bueno Wolverhampton Wanderers | £8.6M | £7.5M-9.6M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #15 | Aventis Aventisyan Without Club | £161K | £141K-180K | +7% | 27.5 |
| #16 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | £7.5M | £6.6M-8.4M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #17 | Leo Hjelde Sunderland AFC | £2.1M | £1.9M-2.4M | +6% | 23.0 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: young left-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Manchester United's Diego León in the U21 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +0.9%. That means Myles Lewis-Skelly captures 30.3% of total market value while representing only 29.4% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.
In second is Arsenal FC's Myles Lewis-Skelly with a +0.9% ASC (30.3% value share vs 29.4% player share in U21 bracket). Third is Jorrel Hato of Chelsea FC with a +0.9% ASC (30.3% value vs 29.4% players in U21 bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +0.9% ASC means the player captures 0.9% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Diego León Manchester United | U21 | 30.3% | 29.4% | +0.9% |
| #2 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | U21 | 30.3% | 29.4% | +0.9% |
| #3 | Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | U21 | 30.3% | 29.4% | +0.9% |
| #4 | Oliver Scarles West Ham United | U21 | 30.3% | 29.4% | +0.9% |
| #5 | Adam Aznou Everton FC | U21 | 30.3% | 29.4% | +0.9% |
| #6 | Julio Soler AFC Bournemouth | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #7 | Aventis Aventisyan Without Club | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #8 | Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #9 | Destiny Udogie Tottenham Hotspur | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #10 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #11 | Leo Hjelde Sunderland AFC | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #12 | Lewis Hall Newcastle United | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #13 | Hugo Bueno Wolverhampton Wanderers | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #14 | Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #15 | Nico O'Reilly Manchester City | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #16 | Alex Murphy Newcastle United | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
| #17 | Patrick Dorgu Manchester United | 21-23 | 69.7% | 70.6% | -0.9% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 4 immediate targets, 13 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
No players in this category
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is £150K. 0 undervalued, 0 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | £7.0M | £8.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Nico O'Reilly Manchester City | £18.0M | £8.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | £35.0M | £8.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Lewis Hall Newcastle United | £32.0M | £8.0M | -0.80 | Good Value |
Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC | £35.0M | £8.0M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Aventis Aventisyan Without Club | £150K | £8.0M | -0.08 | Fair Value |
Julio Soler AFC Bournemouth | £8.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Diego León Manchester United | £4.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Destiny Udogie Tottenham Hotspur | £40.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Hugo Bueno Wolverhampton Wanderers | £8.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | £45.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Alex Murphy Newcastle United | £300K | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Oliver Scarles West Ham United | £8.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Patrick Dorgu Manchester United | £25.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Adam Aznou Everton FC | £4.0M | £8.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC | £45.0M | £8.0M | +0.50 | Fair Value |
Leo Hjelde Sunderland AFC | £2.0M | £8.0M | +0.92 | Above Market |
