Best U23 Young Goalkeepers in the Bundesliga
11 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Best Young Goalkeepers in the Bundesliga (Apr 2026)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Market Overview: Bundesliga Young Goalkeepers 2023-24
Our database tracked 11 Bundesliga Young Goalkeepers in the 2023-24 season, representing 10 clubs with a combined market value of €38.6M. The average market value for Bundesliga Young Goalkeepers was €3.5M, with the average age at 21.9 years old.
The most valuable young goalkeeper in the Bundesliga was Noah Atubolu, worth €18.0M and played for SC Freiburg at 23 years old. The top 5 Young Goalkeepers averaged €7.2M in market value, including Jonas Urbig and Kauã Santos.
Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young goalkeeper was Tiago Pereira Cardoso (20 years, Borussia Mönchengladbach, €1.5M), while the oldest was Noah Atubolu (23 years, SC Freiburg, €18.0M). Research shows Young Goalkeepers typically peak at age 29.
Historical analysis showed 11 Young Goalkeepers (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Bundesliga market for Young Goalkeepers remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2023-24 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Bundesliga
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Bundesliga Young Goalkeepers. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 10 clubs with €38.6M combined value.
Age Distribution: Bundesliga Young Goalkeepers
The Bundesliga GK market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (10 players, 91% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at €37.1M, averaging €3.7M per player.
Top Young Goalkeepers by Age Bracket
U21 Years (1 players)
21-23 Years (10 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 2 Young Goalkeepers (18% of players) control €30.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with high (€15-30m) tier representing 9% of the Bundesliga GK pool.
High (€15-30M)
Mid (€5-15M)
Emerging (<€5M)
Club Distribution: Bundesliga Young Goalkeepers
Among 10 Bundesliga clubs, SC Freiburg leads with 1 Young Goalkeepers worth €18.0M (averaging €18.0M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 100% of tracked Young Goalkeepers.
SC Freiburg (1 Young Goalkeepers)
Bayern Munich (1 Young Goalkeepers)
Eintracht Frankfurt (1 Young Goalkeepers)
SV Werder Bremen (1 Young Goalkeepers)
Player Rankings
Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Noah Atubolu
SC Freiburg • 23 years old
€15.6M
€18.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €20.6M
72.9
Jonas Urbig
Bayern Munich • 22 years old
€10.4M
€12.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €14.3M
67.7
Kauã Santos
Eintracht Frankfurt • 23 years old
€2.2M
€2.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.9M
40.7
Mio Backhaus
SV Werder Bremen • 22 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.4M
37.6
Tiago Pereira Cardoso
Borussia Mönchengladbach • 20 years old
€1.3M
€1.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €1.9M
33.5
Daniil Khudyakov
SK Sturm Graz • 22 years old
€692K
€800K
+15.6%
Expected: €953K
25.5
Frank Feller
1.FC Heidenheim 1846 • 22 years old
€432K
€500K
+15.6%
Expected: €595K
19.7
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann
TSV Hartberg • 22 years old
€432K
€500K
+15.6%
Expected: €595K
19.4
Matteo Bignetti
SK Sturm Graz • 21 years old
€346K
€400K
+15.6%
Expected: €494K
16.3
Lúkas Petersson
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim • 22 years old
€216K
€250K
+15.6%
Expected: €298K
10.7
Silas Ostrzinski
Borussia Dortmund • 22 years old
€173K
€200K
+15.6%
Expected: €238K
7.8
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
SC Freiburg's Noah Atubolu at 23 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 22.50×. That means Noah Atubolu is valued 22.50× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Bayern Munich's Jonas Urbig, who is 22 years old, with a 15.00× PPVE. Third is Kauã Santos of Eintracht Frankfurt, who is 23 years old with a 3.13× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 22.50× means the player is worth 2150% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg | 23 | 21-23 | €18.0M | €800K | 22.50× |
| #2 | Jonas Urbig Bayern Munich | 22 | 21-23 | €12.0M | €800K | 15.00× |
| #3 | Kauã Santos Eintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 21-23 | €2.5M | €800K | 3.13× |
| #4 | Mio Backhaus SV Werder Bremen | 22 | 21-23 | €2.0M | €800K | 2.50× |
| #5 | Daniil Khudyakov SK Sturm Graz | 22 | 21-23 | €800K | €800K | 1.00× |
| #6 | Tiago Pereira Cardoso Borussia Mönchengladbach | 20 | U21 | €1.5M | €1.5M | 1.00× |
| #7 | Tom Ritzy Hülsmann TSV Hartberg | 22 | 21-23 | €500K | €800K | 0.63× |
| #8 | Frank Feller 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 | 22 | 21-23 | €500K | €800K | 0.63× |
| #9 | Matteo Bignetti SK Sturm Graz | 21 | 21-23 | €400K | €800K | 0.50× |
| #10 | Lúkas Petersson TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 22 | 21-23 | €250K | €800K | 0.31× |
| #11 | Silas Ostrzinski Borussia Dortmund | 22 | 21-23 | €200K | €800K | 0.25× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Borussia Mönchengladbach's Tiago Pereira Cardoso at 20 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +48%. That means Tiago Pereira Cardoso is projected to appreciate 48% as they reach their peak age in 6 years—representing significant upside before entering their prime.
In second is SK Sturm Graz's Matteo Bignetti, who is 21 years old, with a +44% RPP (5 years to peak). Third is Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen, who is 22 years old with a +40% RPP (4 years to peak).
How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 48% RPP means the player is expected to gain 48% value as they enter their prime—making them excellent growth investments.
Recovery Potential by Player
| Rank | Player | Age | Years to Peak | Current | Peak Forecast | RPP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Tiago Pereira Cardoso Borussia Mönchengladbach | 20 | 6 | €1.5M | €2.9M | +48% |
| #2 | Matteo Bignetti SK Sturm Graz | 21 | 5 | €400K | €715K | +44% |
| #3 | Mio Backhaus SV Werder Bremen | 22 | 4 | €2.0M | €3.3M | +40% |
| #4 | Tom Ritzy Hülsmann TSV Hartberg | 22 | 4 | €500K | €831K | +40% |
| #5 | Silas Ostrzinski Borussia Dortmund | 22 | 4 | €200K | €332K | +40% |
| #6 | Lúkas Petersson TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 22 | 4 | €250K | €415K | +40% |
| #7 | Daniil Khudyakov SK Sturm Graz | 22 | 4 | €800K | €1.3M | +40% |
| #8 | Frank Feller 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 | 22 | 4 | €500K | €831K | +40% |
| #9 | Jonas Urbig Bayern Munich | 22 | 4 | €12.0M | €19.9M | +40% |
| #10 | Kauã Santos Eintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 3 | €2.5M | €3.9M | +35% |
| #11 | Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg | 23 | 3 | €18.0M | €27.8M | +35% |
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Borussia Mönchengladbach's Tiago Pereira Cardoso has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 118.5. That means Tiago Pereira Cardoso has 28% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is SK Sturm Graz's Matteo Bignetti with a 103.3 RAU (23% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen with a 100.1 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 118.5 means the upside is 118.5× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Tiago Pereira Cardoso Borussia Mönchengladbach | €1.9M | €1.7M-2.1M | +28% | 118.5 |
| #2 | Matteo Bignetti SK Sturm Graz | €494K | €448K-539K | +23% | 103.3 |
| #3 | Mio Backhaus SV Werder Bremen | €2.4M | €2.2M-2.6M | +19% | 100.1 |
| #4 | Tom Ritzy Hülsmann TSV Hartberg | €595K | €548K-643K | +19% | 100.1 |
| #5 | Lúkas Petersson TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | €298K | €274K-321K | +19% | 100.1 |
| #6 | Frank Feller 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 | €595K | €548K-643K | +19% | 100.1 |
| #7 | Silas Ostrzinski Borussia Dortmund | €238K | €219K-257K | +19% | 100.1 |
| #8 | Daniil Khudyakov SK Sturm Graz | €953K | €876K-1.0M | +19% | 100.1 |
| #9 | Jonas Urbig Bayern Munich | €14.3M | €13.1M-15.4M | +19% | 100.1 |
| #10 | Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg | €20.6M | €19.0M-22.3M | +15% | 79.9 |
| #11 | Kauã Santos Eintracht Frankfurt | €2.9M | €2.6M-3.1M | +15% | 79.9 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: young goalkeeper position shows weak depth (avg Z-score: -0.00). RPI: -0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
SC Freiburg's Noah Atubolu in the 21-23 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +5.2%. That means Noah Atubolu captures 96.1% of total market value while representing only 90.9% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.
In second is Bayern Munich's Jonas Urbig with a +5.2% ASC (96.1% value share vs 90.9% player share in 21-23 bracket). Third is Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen with a +5.2% ASC (96.1% value vs 90.9% players in 21-23 bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +5.2% ASC means the player captures 5.2% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #2 | Jonas Urbig Bayern Munich | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #3 | Mio Backhaus SV Werder Bremen | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #4 | Matteo Bignetti SK Sturm Graz | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #5 | Tom Ritzy Hülsmann TSV Hartberg | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #6 | Silas Ostrzinski Borussia Dortmund | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #7 | Lúkas Petersson TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #8 | Daniil Khudyakov SK Sturm Graz | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #9 | Frank Feller 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #10 | Kauã Santos Eintracht Frankfurt | 21-23 | 96.1% | 90.9% | +5.2% |
| #11 | Tiago Pereira Cardoso Borussia Mönchengladbach | U21 | 3.9% | 9.1% | -5.2% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 9 immediate targets, 2 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
No players in this category
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is €400K. 0 undervalued, 0 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Silas Ostrzinski Borussia Dortmund | €200K | €800K | -0.19 | Fair Value |
Lúkas Petersson TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | €250K | €800K | -0.16 | Fair Value |
Matteo Bignetti SK Sturm Graz | €400K | €800K | -0.06 | Fair Value |
Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg | €18.0M | €800K | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Jonas Urbig Bayern Munich | €12.0M | €800K | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann TSV Hartberg | €500K | €800K | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Frank Feller 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 | €500K | €800K | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Tiago Pereira Cardoso Borussia Mönchengladbach | €1.5M | €800K | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Daniil Khudyakov SK Sturm Graz | €800K | €800K | +0.19 | Fair Value |
Mio Backhaus SV Werder Bremen | €2.0M | €800K | +0.94 | Above Market |
Kauã Santos Eintracht Frankfurt | €2.5M | €800K | +1.25 | Above Market |