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Best Centre-Backs in the Liga Portugal 2 (Jul 2026)

Ranked by Analytical Strength Index

Market Overview: Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs 2024-25

Our database tracked 22 Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs in the 2024-25 season, representing 13 clubs with a combined market value of €7.3M. The average market value for Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs was €330K, with the average age at 24 years old.

The most valuable centre-back in the Liga Portugal 2 was Noah Madsen, worth €600K and played for CS Marítimo at 24 years old. The top 5 Centre-Backs averaged €560K in market value, including Emanuel Fernandes and José Sampaio.

Age distribution showed the youngest tracked centre-back was Rui Silva (19 years, SL Benfica B, €350K), while the oldest was João Miguel (32 years, FC Penafiel, €200K). Research shows Centre-Backs typically peak at age 27.

Historical analysis showed 16 Centre-Backs (73%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Liga Portugal 2 market for Centre-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2024-25 season.

Market Intelligence

Explore Market Size by Position in Liga Portugal 2

Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 13 clubs with €7.3M combined value.

22
Players Tracked

Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.

🔍
Age: 18–40
€0M–€200M
Showing 22 of 22

Age Distribution: Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs

The Liga Portugal 2 CB market shows 5 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (11 players, 50% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at €4.1M, averaging €377K per player.

U21 years2 players (9%)
675KAvg: €338K
Top player: Rui Silva (€350K)
21-23 years11 players (50%)
4.1MAvg: €377K
Top player: José Sampaio (€600K)
24-26 years4 players (18%)
1.3MAvg: €319K
Top player: Noah Madsen (€600K)
27-29 years3 players (14%)
700KAvg: €233K
Top player: Rúben Pereira (€350K)
30+ years2 players (9%)
450KAvg: €225K
Top player: Pedro Barcelos (€250K)

Top Centre-Backs by Age Bracket

U21 Years (2 players)

1. Rui Silva(19yo)
350K
2. Marlon Júnior(20yo)
325K

21-23 Years (11 players)

1. Emanuel Fernandes(23yo)
550K
2. José Sampaio(21yo)
600K
3. Afonso Silva(22yo)
550K
4. Lourenço(22yo)
500K
5. Kauan(23yo)
350K

24-26 Years (4 players)

1. Noah Madsen(24yo)
600K
2. João Pinto(25yo)
250K
3. Tiago Simões(26yo)
250K
4. Samy(26yo)
175K

27-29 Years (3 players)

1. Rúben Pereira(28yo)
350K
2. Alexandre Abel(28yo)
200K
3. Andrea Hristov(27yo)
150K

Market Value Distribution

Elite Tier Concentration

24%of market value

The top 3 Centre-Backs (14% of players) control €1.8M

1. Noah Madsen600K
2. Emanuel Fernandes550K
3. José Sampaio600K

Market Tiers

Emerging (<€5M)22 players (100%)
7.3M

Market structure shows concentrated value with emerging (<€5m) tier representing 100% of the Liga Portugal 2 CB pool.

Emerging (<€5M)

1. Noah Madsen
CS Marítimo600K
2. Emanuel Fernandes
CD Feirense550K
3. José Sampaio
FC Vizela600K
4. Afonso Silva
FC Felgueiras 1932550K
5. Lourenço
Leixões SC500K

Club Distribution: Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs

Among 13 Liga Portugal 2 clubs, FC Felgueiras 1932 leads with 4 Centre-Backs worth €1.3M (averaging €319K per player). The top 10 clubs account for 86% of tracked Centre-Backs.

#1
FC Felgueiras 1932
4 players • €1.3M
#2
Portimonense SAD
4 players • €1.0M
#3
FC Vizela
2 players • €750K
#4
CS Marítimo
1 players • €600K
#5
Académico Viseu FC
2 players • €600K
#6
CD Feirense
1 players • €550K
#7
FC Porto B
2 players • €550K
#8
Leixões SC
1 players • €500K
#9
FC Paços de Ferreira
1 players • €350K
#10
SL Benfica B
1 players • €350K

FC Felgueiras 1932 (4 Centre-Backs)

Afonso Silva(22yo)
550K
Mário Júnior(23yo)
300K
João Pinto(25yo)
250K
Dário(22yo)
175K

Portimonense SAD (4 Centre-Backs)

Marlon Júnior(20yo)
325K
Jarleysom(22yo)
300K
Alexandre Abel(28yo)
200K
Samy(26yo)
175K

FC Vizela (2 Centre-Backs)

José Sampaio(21yo)
600K
Andrea Hristov(27yo)
150K

CS Marítimo (1 Centre-Backs)

Noah Madsen(24yo)
600K

Player Rankings

Ranked by Analytical Strength Index. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.

#1

Noah Madsen

CS Marítimo24 years old

519K

600K

+15.6%

541K688K

Expected: €614K

22.4

#2

Emanuel Fernandes

CD Feirense23 years old

476K

550K

+15.6%

518K660K

Expected: €589K

21.8

#3

José Sampaio

FC Vizela21 years old

519K

600K

+15.6%

570K753K

Expected: €662K

21.7

#4

Afonso Silva

FC Felgueiras 193222 years old

476K

550K

+15.6%

512K652K

Expected: €582K

21.2

#5

Lourenço

Leixões SC22 years old

432K

500K

+15.6%

466K593K

Expected: €529K

20.0

#6

Kauan

FC Paços de Ferreira23 years old

303K

350K

+15.6%

330K420K

Expected: €375K

16.2

#7

Rúben Pereira

Académico Viseu FC28 years old

452K

350K

-22.6%

270K343K

Expected: €306K

15.0

#8

Mário Júnior

FC Felgueiras 193223 years old

259K

300K

+15.6%

283K360K

Expected: €321K

14.3

#9

Rui Silva

SL Benfica B19 years old

303K

350K

+15.6%

359K474K

Expected: €417K

13.7

#11

António Ribeiro

FC Porto B22 years old

259K

300K

+15.6%

279K356K

Expected: €318K

13.6

#10

Jarleysom

Portimonense SAD22 years old

259K

300K

+15.6%

279K356K

Expected: €318K

13.6

#12

Marlon Júnior

Portimonense SAD20 years old

281K

325K

+15.6%

321K424K

Expected: €373K

13.4

#13

Bruno Faria

Lusitânia FC Lourosa21 years old

238K

275K

+15.6%

261K345K

Expected: €303K

12.0

#14

João Pinto

FC Felgueiras 193225 years old

216K

250K

+15.6%

215K274K

Expected: €244K

11.0

#15

Pedro Barcelos

Académico Viseu FC30 years old

323K

250K

-22.6%

182K232K

Expected: €207K

11.0

#16

Luís Gomes

FC Porto B21 years old

216K

250K

+15.6%

238K314K

Expected: €276K

10.8

#17

Tiago Simões

GD Chaves26 years old

216K

250K

+15.6%

227K288K

Expected: €257K

10.6

#18

João Miguel

FC Penafiel32 years old

258K

200K

-22.6%

154K196K

Expected: €175K

8.5

#19

Alexandre Abel

Portimonense SAD28 years old

258K

200K

-22.6%

154K196K

Expected: €175K

8.0

#20

Dário

FC Felgueiras 193222 years old

151K

175K

+15.6%

163K207K

Expected: €185K

6.9

Showing 1-20 of 22

Scout Tools

Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.

Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.

Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

FC Vizela's José Sampaio at 21 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 2.00×. That means José Sampaio is valued 2.00× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket-representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.

In second is CD Feirense's Emanuel Fernandes, who is 23 years old, with a 1.83× PPVE. Third is Afonso Silva of FC Felgueiras 1932, who is 22 years old with a 1.83× PPVE.

How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 2.00× means the player is worth 100% more than typical players their age-making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.

PPVE by Age Bracket

José SampaioFC Vizela
21-23 • 21yo2.00×
€600K • 100% above median
Emanuel FernandesCD Feirense
21-23 • 23yo1.83×
€550K • 83% above median
Afonso SilvaFC Felgueiras 1932
21-23 • 22yo1.83×
€550K • 83% above median
LourençoLeixões SC
21-23 • 22yo1.67×
€500K • 67% above median
KauanFC Paços de Ferreira
21-23 • 23yo1.17×
€350K • 17% above median
JarleysomPortimonense SAD
21-23 • 22yo1.00×
€300K • 0% above median
António RibeiroFC Porto B
21-23 • 22yo1.00×
€300K • 0% above median
Noah MadsenCS Marítimo
24-26 • 24yo1.00×
€600K • 0% above median
Mário JúniorFC Felgueiras 1932
21-23 • 23yo1.00×
€300K • 0% above median
Rui SilvaSL Benfica B
U21 • 19yo1.00×
€350K • 0% above median
Marlon JúniorPortimonense SAD
U21 • 20yo0.93×
€325K • -7% above median
Bruno FariaLusitânia FC Lourosa
21-23 • 21yo0.92×
€275K • -8% above median
Luís GomesFC Porto B
21-23 • 21yo0.83×
€250K • -17% above median
DárioFC Felgueiras 1932
21-23 • 22yo0.58×
€175K • -42% above median
João PintoFC Felgueiras 1932
24-26 • 25yo0.42×
€250K • -58% above median
RankPlayerAgeBracketCurrent ValueBracket MedianPPVE
#1
José Sampaio
FC Vizela
2121-23600K300K2.00×
#2
Emanuel Fernandes
CD Feirense
2321-23550K300K1.83×
#3
Afonso Silva
FC Felgueiras 1932
2221-23550K300K1.83×
#4
Lourenço
Leixões SC
2221-23500K300K1.67×
#5
Kauan
FC Paços de Ferreira
2321-23350K300K1.17×
#6
Jarleysom
Portimonense SAD
2221-23300K300K1.00×
#7
António Ribeiro
FC Porto B
2221-23300K300K1.00×
#8
Noah Madsen
CS Marítimo
2424-26600K600K1.00×
#9
Mário Júnior
FC Felgueiras 1932
2321-23300K300K1.00×
#10
Rui Silva
SL Benfica B
19U21350K350K1.00×
#11
Marlon Júnior
Portimonense SAD
20U21325K350K0.93×
#12
Bruno Faria
Lusitânia FC Lourosa
2121-23275K300K0.92×
#13
Luís Gomes
FC Porto B
2121-23250K300K0.83×
#14
Dário
FC Felgueiras 1932
2221-23175K300K0.58×
#15
João Pinto
FC Felgueiras 1932
2524-26250K600K0.42×

Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.

Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

SL Benfica B's Rui Silva at 19 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +40%. That means Rui Silva is projected to appreciate 40% as they reach their peak age in 7 years-representing significant upside before entering their prime.

In second is Portimonense SAD's Marlon Júnior, who is 20 years old, with a +35% RPP (6 years to peak). Third is Luís Gomes of FC Porto B, who is 21 years old with a +30% RPP (5 years to peak).

How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 40% RPP means the player is expected to gain 40% value as they enter their prime-making them excellent growth investments.

Recovery Potential by Player

Rui SilvaSL Benfica B
7yr to peak+40%
350K582K
Marlon JúniorPortimonense SAD
6yr to peak+35%
325K502K
Luís GomesFC Porto B
5yr to peak+30%
250K359K
José SampaioFC Vizela
5yr to peak+30%
600K862K
Bruno FariaLusitânia FC Lourosa
5yr to peak+30%
275K395K
DárioFC Felgueiras 1932
4yr to peak+25%
175K234K
LourençoLeixões SC
4yr to peak+25%
500K668K
JarleysomPortimonense SAD
4yr to peak+25%
300K401K
António RibeiroFC Porto B
4yr to peak+25%
300K401K
Afonso SilvaFC Felgueiras 1932
4yr to peak+25%
550K735K
KauanFC Paços de Ferreira
3yr to peak+20%
350K435K
Mário JúniorFC Felgueiras 1932
3yr to peak+20%
300K373K
Emanuel FernandesCD Feirense
3yr to peak+20%
550K684K
Noah MadsenCS Marítimo
2yr to peak+14%
600K694K
João PintoFC Felgueiras 1932
1yr to peak+7%
250K269K
RankPlayerAgeYears to PeakCurrentPeak ForecastRPP %
#1
Rui Silva
SL Benfica B
197350K582K+40%
#2
Marlon Júnior
Portimonense SAD
206325K502K+35%
#3
Luís Gomes
FC Porto B
215250K359K+30%
#4
José Sampaio
FC Vizela
215600K862K+30%
#5
Bruno Faria
Lusitânia FC Lourosa
215275K395K+30%
#6
Dário
FC Felgueiras 1932
224175K234K+25%
#7
Lourenço
Leixões SC
224500K668K+25%
#8
Jarleysom
Portimonense SAD
224300K401K+25%
#9
António Ribeiro
FC Porto B
224300K401K+25%
#10
Afonso Silva
FC Felgueiras 1932
224550K735K+25%
#11
Kauan
FC Paços de Ferreira
233350K435K+20%
#12
Mário Júnior
FC Felgueiras 1932
233300K373K+20%
#13
Emanuel Fernandes
CD Feirense
233550K684K+20%
#14
Noah Madsen
CS Marítimo
242600K694K+14%
#15
João Pinto
FC Felgueiras 1932
251250K269K+7%

Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.

Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

SL Benfica B's Rui Silva has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 58.0. That means Rui Silva has 19% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty-representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.

In second is Portimonense SAD's Marlon Júnior with a 46.3 RAU (15% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is José Sampaio of FC Vizela with a 33.7 RAU (10% upside, 0% uncertainty).

How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 58.0 means the upside is 58.0× greater than the uncertainty-making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.

Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player

Rui SilvaSL Benfica B
19% / ±0%58.0
Range: €359K - €474K
Marlon JúniorPortimonense SAD
15% / ±0%46.3
Range: €321K - €424K
José SampaioFC Vizela
10% / ±0%33.7
Range: €570K - €753K
Luís GomesFC Porto B
10% / ±0%33.7
Range: €238K - €314K
Bruno FariaLusitânia FC Lourosa
10% / ±0%33.7
Range: €261K - €345K
Mário JúniorFC Felgueiras 1932
7% / ±0%27.5
Range: €283K - €360K
Emanuel FernandesCD Feirense
7% / ±0%27.5
Range: €518K - €660K
KauanFC Paços de Ferreira
7% / ±0%27.5
Range: €330K - €420K
JarleysomPortimonense SAD
6% / ±0%23.0
Range: €279K - €356K
António RibeiroFC Porto B
6% / ±0%23.0
Range: €279K - €356K
DárioFC Felgueiras 1932
6% / ±0%23.0
Range: €163K - €207K
LourençoLeixões SC
6% / ±0%23.0
Range: €466K - €593K
Afonso SilvaFC Felgueiras 1932
6% / ±0%23.0
Range: €512K - €652K
SamyPortimonense SAD
3% / ±0%12.0
Range: €159K - €202K
Tiago SimõesGD Chaves
3% / ±0%12.0
Range: €227K - €288K
RankPlayerExpectedRangeUpside %RAU
#1
Rui Silva
SL Benfica B
417K359K-474K+19%58.0
#2
Marlon Júnior
Portimonense SAD
373K321K-424K+15%46.3
#3
José Sampaio
FC Vizela
662K570K-753K+10%33.7
#4
Luís Gomes
FC Porto B
276K238K-314K+10%33.7
#5
Bruno Faria
Lusitânia FC Lourosa
303K261K-345K+10%33.7
#6
Mário Júnior
FC Felgueiras 1932
321K283K-360K+7%27.5
#7
Emanuel Fernandes
CD Feirense
589K518K-660K+7%27.5
#8
Kauan
FC Paços de Ferreira
375K330K-420K+7%27.5
#9
Jarleysom
Portimonense SAD
318K279K-356K+6%23.0
#10
António Ribeiro
FC Porto B
318K279K-356K+6%23.0
#11
Dário
FC Felgueiras 1932
185K163K-207K+6%23.0
#12
Lourenço
Leixões SC
529K466K-593K+6%23.0
#13
Afonso Silva
FC Felgueiras 1932
582K512K-652K+6%23.0
#14
Samy
Portimonense SAD
180K159K-202K+3%12.0
#15
Tiago Simões
GD Chaves
257K227K-288K+3%12.0
#16
Noah Madsen
CS Marítimo
614K541K-688K+2%9.8

Roster Pressure Index (RPI)

Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.

What This Shows

Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.

How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.

Current market: centre-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.

Position Depth Analysis

22
Total Players
0.00
Avg Z-Score
0.00
RPI Score
Weak DepthStrong Depth
-3.00+3.0

Highest Z-Scores

Noah Madsen+1.96
José Sampaio+1.96
Emanuel Fernandes+1.60
Afonso Silva+1.60
Lourenço+1.24

Lowest Z-Scores

Andrea Hristov-1.30
Samy-1.12
Dário-1.12
Alexandre Abel-0.94
João Miguel-0.94

Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.

Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

FC Paços de Ferreira's Kauan in the 21-23 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +7.2%. That means Emanuel Fernandes captures 57.2% of total market value while representing only 50.0% of players in their age group-showing dominant elite status.

In second is Leixões SC's Lourenço with a +7.2% ASC (57.2% value share vs 50.0% player share in 21-23 bracket). Third is José Sampaio of FC Vizela with a +7.2% ASC (57.2% value vs 50.0% players in 21-23 bracket).

How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +7.2% ASC means the player captures 7.2% more market value than their numerical representation-indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.

Value Concentration by Player

KauanFC Paços de Ferreira
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
LourençoLeixões SC
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
José SampaioFC Vizela
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
Bruno FariaLusitânia FC Lourosa
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
JarleysomPortimonense SAD
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
DárioFC Felgueiras 1932
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
António RibeiroFC Porto B
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
Mário JúniorFC Felgueiras 1932
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
Emanuel FernandesCD Feirense
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
Afonso SilvaFC Felgueiras 1932
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
Luís GomesFC Porto B
21-23+7.2%
57.2% value share / 50.0% player share
Andrea HristovFC Vizela
27-29-4.0%
9.7% value share / 13.6% player share
Rúben PereiraAcadémico Viseu FC
27-29-4.0%
9.7% value share / 13.6% player share
Alexandre AbelPortimonense SAD
27-29-4.0%
9.7% value share / 13.6% player share
João MiguelFC Penafiel
30+-2.9%
6.2% value share / 9.1% player share
RankPlayerAge BracketValue SharePlayer ShareASC
#1
Kauan
FC Paços de Ferreira
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#2
Lourenço
Leixões SC
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#3
José Sampaio
FC Vizela
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#4
Bruno Faria
Lusitânia FC Lourosa
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#5
Jarleysom
Portimonense SAD
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#6
Dário
FC Felgueiras 1932
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#7
António Ribeiro
FC Porto B
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#8
Mário Júnior
FC Felgueiras 1932
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#9
Emanuel Fernandes
CD Feirense
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#10
Afonso Silva
FC Felgueiras 1932
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#11
Luís Gomes
FC Porto B
21-2357.2%50.0%+7.2%
#12
Andrea Hristov
FC Vizela
27-299.7%13.6%-4.0%
#13
Rúben Pereira
Académico Viseu FC
27-299.7%13.6%-4.0%
#14
Alexandre Abel
Portimonense SAD
27-299.7%13.6%-4.0%
#15
João Miguel
FC Penafiel
30+6.2%9.1%-2.9%
#16
Pedro Barcelos
Académico Viseu FC
30+6.2%9.1%-2.9%
#17
João Pinto
FC Felgueiras 1932
24-2617.6%18.2%-0.6%
#18
Tiago Simões
GD Chaves
24-2617.6%18.2%-0.6%
#19
Noah Madsen
CS Marítimo
24-2617.6%18.2%-0.6%
#20
Samy
Portimonense SAD
24-2617.6%18.2%-0.6%

Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map

Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.

What This Shows

How to use:"Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets."Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months."Peak" = pay premium for proven performers."Aging" = short-term depth only.

Current market: 1 immediate targets, 12 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 7 at peak.

BUY NOW - High Upside

Rui Silva
19yo • SL Benfica B
350K

WATCH LIST - High Upside

No players in this category

BUY NOW - Medium Upside

Emanuel Fernandes
23yo • CD Feirense
550K
José Sampaio
21yo • FC Vizela
600K
Afonso Silva
22yo • FC Felgueiras 1932
550K
Lourenço
22yo • Leixões SC
500K
Kauan
23yo • FC Paços de Ferreira
350K
Mário Júnior
23yo • FC Felgueiras 1932
300K
António Ribeiro
22yo • FC Porto B
300K
Jarleysom
22yo • Portimonense SAD
300K
Marlon Júnior
20yo • Portimonense SAD
325K
Bruno Faria
21yo • Lusitânia FC Lourosa
275K
Luís Gomes
21yo • FC Porto B
250K
Dário
22yo • FC Felgueiras 1932
175K

PEAK Players

Noah Madsen
24yo • CS Marítimo
600K
Rúben Pereira
28yo • Académico Viseu FC
350K
João Pinto
25yo • FC Felgueiras 1932
250K
Tiago Simões
26yo • GD Chaves
250K
Alexandre Abel
28yo • Portimonense SAD
200K
Samy
26yo • Portimonense SAD
175K
Andrea Hristov
27yo • FC Vizela
150K

Price vs Peer Z-Score

IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.

What This Shows

How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.

Current market: Position median is €275K. 0 undervalued, 0 premium.

Value Positioning vs Peers

João MiguelFC Penafiel
200K-1.00
Fair value
Marlon JúniorPortimonense SAD
325K-1.00
Fair value
DárioFC Felgueiras 1932
175K-0.45
Fair value
Andrea HristovFC Vizela
150K-0.25
Fair value
SamyPortimonense SAD
175K-0.21
Fair value
Luís GomesFC Porto B
250K-0.18
Fair value
Bruno FariaLusitânia FC Lourosa
275K-0.09
Fair value
JarleysomPortimonense SAD
300K0.00
Fair value
João PintoFC Felgueiras 1932
250K0.00
Fair value
António RibeiroFC Porto B
300K0.00
Fair value
Pedro BarcelosAcadémico Viseu FC
250K0.00
Fair value
Tiago SimõesGD Chaves
250K0.00
Fair value
Mário JúniorFC Felgueiras 1932
300K0.00
Fair value
Alexandre AbelPortimonense SAD
200K0.00
Fair value
Rui SilvaSL Benfica B
350K0.00
Fair value
PlayerMarket ValuePosition MedianZ-ScoreAssessment
João Miguel
FC Penafiel
200K300K-1.00Good Value
Marlon Júnior
Portimonense SAD
325K300K-1.00Good Value
Dário
FC Felgueiras 1932
175K300K-0.45Fair Value
Andrea Hristov
FC Vizela
150K300K-0.25Fair Value
Samy
Portimonense SAD
175K300K-0.21Fair Value
Luís Gomes
FC Porto B
250K300K-0.18Fair Value
Bruno Faria
Lusitânia FC Lourosa
275K300K-0.09Fair Value
Jarleysom
Portimonense SAD
300K300K0.00Fair Value
João Pinto
FC Felgueiras 1932
250K300K0.00Fair Value
António Ribeiro
FC Porto B
300K300K0.00Fair Value
Pedro Barcelos
Académico Viseu FC
250K300K0.00Fair Value
Tiago Simões
GD Chaves
250K300K0.00Fair Value
Mário Júnior
FC Felgueiras 1932
300K300K0.00Fair Value
Alexandre Abel
Portimonense SAD
200K300K0.00Fair Value
Rui Silva
SL Benfica B
350K300K0.00Fair Value
Kauan
FC Paços de Ferreira
350K300K+0.18Fair Value
Lourenço
Leixões SC
500K300K+0.73Above Market
Rúben Pereira
Académico Viseu FC
350K300K+0.75Above Market
Emanuel Fernandes
CD Feirense
550K300K+0.91Above Market
Afonso Silva
FC Felgueiras 1932
550K300K+0.91Above Market

How We Rank Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs

Our Analytical Strength Index is calibrated specifically for centre-backs, using position-specific age curves and playing time benchmarks. The model draws from academic research on player valuation (Franck & Nüesch, 2012) and age-performance curves (Dendir, 2016).

Scoring Components for CB

Historical Achievement Index (35%)

Peak career market value for Liga Portugal 2 centre-backs, reflecting proven track record and reputation. Uses log-scale to account for exponential value distribution at elite level.

Current Performance Proxy (30%)

Present market value for Liga Portugal 2 centre-backs, capturing recent form, injuries, and current performance level. Weighted to reflect age-related depreciation patterns.

Playing Time Utilization (18%)

Defenders with 2,500+ minutes score highest, indicating regular starting role and sustained performance.

Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%)

Defenders peak at 27 with 5.0%/year decline rate. Pre-peak players score higher on development trajectory.

Competition Level Adjustment (3%)

Liga Portugal 2 competition level factored into comparative strength assessment.

Performance Expectations Multiplier (2%)

Players at clubs with Champions League pedigree face higher performance standards and tactical complexity, contributing to development and market validation.

CB Performance Benchmarks

Peak Age: 27 years (balance of physicality and tactical intelligence)

Decline Rate: 5.0% per year (moderate decline as positioning offsets pace loss)

Optimal Minutes: 2,500 per season (regular starter with rotation management)

1-Year Market Value Forecast

Probabilistic model combining age-curve depreciation, value momentum, and playing time factors:

Age Factor: Defender -5.0%/year post-peak, +5%/year pre-peak

Value Trajectory: Near career peak (>95% of peak value): +3% momentum | Moderate decline: -5%

Playing Time Factor: Regular starters (+2%), Squad rotation (-2%)

Forecast Range: ±10% confidence interval

Research Foundation

Dendir (2016): Age-performance curves for centre-backs

Carmichael et al. (2011): Player depreciation in top leagues

Franck & Nüesch (2012): Hedonic pricing models for talent valuation

Szymanski, S. (2015). Money and Soccer: A Soccernomics Guide

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs in the 2024-25 season

Who are the most valuable Centre-Backs in the Liga Portugal 2 in 2024-25?

The most valuable centre-back in the Liga Portugal 2 in 2024-25 is Noah Madsen, who is worth €600K and plays for CS Marítimo. The second most valuable is Emanuel Fernandes (€550K, CD Feirense), followed by José Sampaio (€600K, FC Vizela). Our database tracks 22 Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs with comprehensive market valuations updated for the 2024-25 season.

How are Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs ranked?

Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs are ranked by our proprietary Analytical Strength Index, which is specifically calibrated for Centre-Backs. The score combines six factors: Historical Achievement Index (35%) measuring peak career value, Current Performance Proxy (30%) reflecting recent market signals, Playing Time Utilization (18%) tracking minutes played, Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%) using position-specific peak ages, League Quality Coefficient (3%) for Liga Portugal 2 competition level, and Club Tier Multiplier (2%) accounting for club prestige. This methodology is grounded in academic research including work by Dendir (2016) on age-performance curves and Franck & Nüesch (2012) on hedonic pricing models.

What age do Centre-Backs peak?

Defenders typically peak at age 27, with a decline rate of 5.0% per year after peak. Research shows defenders balance physical attributes with tactical intelligence, allowing them to maintain high performance through their late 20s. The optimal playing time for peak performance is around 2,500 minutes per season.

How much does it cost to sign a top centre-back from the Liga Portugal 2?

Transfer fees for Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs vary significantly based on market value, contract length, and club bargaining position. For the top-ranked centre-back Noah Madsen (market value: €600K), estimated transfer fees would range from €480K to €840K depending on contract situation. Players with longer contracts (3+ years) command premium fees (1.2-1.4× market value), while those in the final year may be available for 0.8-1.1× market value. Our fee estimates are derived from historical transfer patterns and contract-clock modifiers validated against actual Liga Portugal 2 transactions.

What is the value forecast for Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs?

Our 1-year forecast model projects market value changes for Liga Portugal 2 Centre-Backs based on age-curve depreciation, historical trajectory, and playing time adjustments. The forecast combines three factors: age-based appreciation/depreciation (pre-peak players gain ~5% per year toward peak age, post-peak players decline at position-specific rates), market trajectory momentum (comparing current to peak value), and playing time confidence (regular starters receive +2% boost). Forecast confidence intervals account for position-specific volatility-defenders have ±10% volatility. Young players (under 22) and older players (over 32) receive 1.15× uncertainty multipliers due to unpredictable development or decline patterns.

Where does the Liga Portugal 2 centre-back data come from?

Our Liga Portugal 2 centre-back data is sourced from Football Analytics AI's proprietary Transfer Intelligence Database, which aggregates market valuations, player statistics, contract information, and transfer histories from multiple industry sources. Market values are updated regularly based on player performance, injuries, contract negotiations, and transfer market activity. We enhance this data with our proprietary analytics including position-specific scoring algorithms, age-performance curves calibrated to academic research, and statistical forecast models. All data is validated against official Liga Portugal 2 sources and updated monthly for the 2024-25 season to ensure accuracy for recruitment and investment decisions.