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Under 23 · Premier League · 2022-23

Best U23 Young Centre-Backs in the Premier League

17 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Index

Best Young Centre-Backs in the Premier League (Jun 2026)

Ranked by Analytical Strength Index

Market Overview: Premier League Young Centre-Backs 2022-23

Our database tracked 17 Premier League Young Centre-Backs in the 2022-23 season, representing 10 clubs with a combined market value of £383.1M. The average market value for Premier League Young Centre-Backs was £22.5M, with the average age at 21 years old.

The most valuable young centre-back in the Premier League was Murillo, worth £55.0M and played for Nottingham Forest at 23 years old. The top 5 Young Centre-Backs averaged £48.0M in market value, including Levi Colwill and Leny Yoro.

Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young centre-back was Giovanni Leoni (19 years, Liverpool FC, £25.0M), while the oldest was Murillo (23 years, Nottingham Forest, £55.0M). Research shows Young Centre-Backs typically peak at age 27.

Historical analysis showed 17 Young Centre-Backs (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Premier League market for Young Centre-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2022-23 season.

💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.

Market Intelligence

Explore Market Size by Position in Premier League

Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Premier League Young Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 10 clubs with £383.1M combined value.

17
Players Tracked
🔍
Age: 1840
£0M–£200M
Showing 17 of 17

Age Distribution: Premier League Young Centre-Backs

The Premier League CB market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (10 players, 59% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at £271.0M, averaging £27.1M per player.

U21 years7 players (41%)
£112.1MAvg: £16.0M
Top player: Leny Yoro (£55.0M)
21-23 years10 players (59%)
£271.0MAvg: £27.1M
Top player: Murillo (£55.0M)

Top Young Centre-Backs by Age Bracket

U21 Years (7 players)

1. Leny Yoro(20yo)
£55.0M
2. Giovanni Leoni(19yo)
£25.0M
3. Jaydee Canvot(19yo)
£20.0M
4. Ayden Heaven(19yo)
£10.0M
5. Matai Akinmboni(19yo)
£1.0M

21-23 Years (10 players)

1. Murillo(23yo)
£55.0M
2. Levi Colwill(23yo)
£50.0M
3. Jarrad Branthwaite(23yo)
£45.0M
4. Abdukodir Khusanov(22yo)
£35.0M
5. Cristhian Mosquera(21yo)
£35.0M

Market Value Distribution

Elite Tier Concentration

27%of market value

The top 2 Young Centre-Backs (12% of players) control £105.0M

1. Murillo£55.0M
2. Levi Colwill£50.0M

Market Tiers

Elite (€50M+)3 players (18%)
£160.0M
Premium (€30-50M)3 players (18%)
£115.0M
High (€15-30M)2 players (12%)
£45.0M
Mid (€5-15M)5 players (29%)
£58.0M
Emerging (<€5M)4 players (24%)
£5.1M

Market structure shows distributed value with elite (€50m+) tier representing 18% of the Premier League CB pool.

Elite (€50M+)

1. Murillo
Nottingham Forest£55.0M
2. Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC£50.0M
3. Leny Yoro
Manchester United£55.0M

Premium (€30-50M)

1. Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC£45.0M
2. Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City£35.0M
3. Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal FC£35.0M

High (€15-30M)

1. Giovanni Leoni
Liverpool FC£25.0M
2. Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace£20.0M

Club Distribution: Premier League Young Centre-Backs

Among 10 Premier League clubs, Manchester United leads with 3 Young Centre-Backs worth £68.0M (averaging £22.7M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 100% of tracked Young Centre-Backs.

#1
Manchester United
3 players • £68.0M
#2
Nottingham Forest
3 players • £67.3M
#3
Chelsea FC
2 players • £62.0M
#4
Everton FC
1 players • £45.0M
#5
Manchester City
2 players • £35.8M
#6
Arsenal FC
1 players • £35.0M
#7
Crystal Palace
2 players • £32.0M
#8
Liverpool FC
1 players • £25.0M
#9
Burnley FC
1 players • £12.0M
#10
AFC Bournemouth
1 players • £1.0M

Manchester United (3 Young Centre-Backs)

Leny Yoro(20yo)
£55.0M
Ayden Heaven(19yo)
£10.0M
Tyler Fredricson(21yo)
£3.0M

Nottingham Forest (3 Young Centre-Backs)

Murillo(23yo)
£55.0M
Jair Cunha(21yo)
£12.0M
Zach Abbott(20yo)
£300K

Chelsea FC (2 Young Centre-Backs)

Levi Colwill(23yo)
£50.0M
Aarón Anselmino(21yo)
£12.0M

Everton FC (1 Young Centre-Backs)

Jarrad Branthwaite(23yo)
£45.0M

Player Rankings

Ranked by Analytical Strength Index. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.

#1

Murillo

Nottingham Forest23 years old

£47.6M

£55.0M

+15.6%

£53.9M£68.6M

Expected: £61.3M

90.2

#2

Levi Colwill

Chelsea FC23 years old

£43.2M

£50.0M

+15.6%

£49.0M£62.4M

Expected: £55.7M

89.2

#3

Leny Yoro

Manchester United20 years old

£47.6M

£55.0M

+15.6%

£56.6M£74.7M

Expected: £65.6M

88.5

#4

Jarrad Branthwaite

Everton FC23 years old

£38.9M

£45.0M

+15.6%

£44.1M£56.2M

Expected: £50.1M

87.7

#5

Abdukodir Khusanov

Manchester City22 years old

£30.3M

£35.0M

+15.6%

£33.9M£43.2M

Expected: £38.6M

84.1

#6

Cristhian Mosquera

Arsenal FC21 years old

£30.3M

£35.0M

+15.6%

£34.6M£45.7M

Expected: £40.2M

83.5

#7

Giovanni Leoni

Liverpool FC19 years old

£21.6M

£25.0M

+15.6%

£25.7M£33.9M

Expected: £29.8M

74.5

#8

Jaydee Canvot

Crystal Palace19 years old

£17.3M

£20.0M

+15.6%

£20.5M£27.1M

Expected: £23.8M

71.6

#9

Bashir Humphreys

Burnley FC23 years old

£10.4M

£12.0M

+15.6%

£11.3M£14.4M

Expected: £12.8M

67.7

#10

Chadi Riad

Crystal Palace22 years old

£10.4M

£12.0M

+15.6%

£11.2M£14.2M

Expected: £12.7M

67.1

#11

Aarón Anselmino

Chelsea FC21 years old

£10.4M

£12.0M

+15.6%

£11.4M£15.1M

Expected: £13.2M

66.6

#12

Jair Cunha

Nottingham Forest21 years old

£10.4M

£12.0M

+15.6%

£11.4M£15.1M

Expected: £13.2M

66.4

#13

Ayden Heaven

Manchester United19 years old

£8.6M

£10.0M

+15.6%

£10.3M£13.6M

Expected: £11.9M

59.5

#14

Tyler Fredricson

Manchester United21 years old

£2.6M

£3.0M

+15.6%

£2.9M£3.8M

Expected: £3.3M

42.2

#15

Matai Akinmboni

AFC Bournemouth19 years old

£865K

£1.0M

+15.6%

£1.0M£1.4M

Expected: £1.2M

27.1

#16

Max Alleyne

Manchester City20 years old

£692K

£800K

+15.6%

£791K£1.0M

Expected: £917K

25.1

#17

Zach Abbott

Nottingham Forest20 years old

£259K

£300K

+15.6%

£297K£391K

Expected: £344K

12.7

Scout Tools

Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.

Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.

Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Manchester United's Leny Yoro at 20 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 5.50×. That means Leny Yoro is valued 5.50× higher than the median player in the U21 age bracket-representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.

In second is Liverpool FC's Giovanni Leoni, who is 19 years old, with a 2.50× PPVE. Third is Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace, who is 19 years old with a 2.00× PPVE.

How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 5.50× means the player is worth 450% more than typical players their age-making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.

PPVE by Age Bracket

Leny YoroManchester United
U2120yo5.50×
£55.0M450% above median
Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC
U2119yo2.50×
£25.0M150% above median
Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace
U2119yo2.00×
£20.0M100% above median
MurilloNottingham Forest
21-2323yo1.57×
£55.0M57% above median
Levi ColwillChelsea FC
21-2323yo1.43×
£50.0M43% above median
Jarrad BranthwaiteEverton FC
21-2323yo1.29×
£45.0M29% above median
Ayden HeavenManchester United
U2119yo1.00×
£10.0M0% above median
Cristhian MosqueraArsenal FC
21-2321yo1.00×
£35.0M0% above median
Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City
21-2322yo1.00×
£35.0M0% above median
Aarón AnselminoChelsea FC
21-2321yo0.34×
£12.0M-66% above median
Bashir HumphreysBurnley FC
21-2323yo0.34×
£12.0M-66% above median
Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
21-2322yo0.34×
£12.0M-66% above median
Jair CunhaNottingham Forest
21-2321yo0.34×
£12.0M-66% above median
Matai AkinmboniAFC Bournemouth
U2119yo0.10×
£1.0M-90% above median
Tyler FredricsonManchester United
21-2321yo0.09×
£3.0M-91% above median
RankPlayerAgeBracketCurrent ValueBracket MedianPPVE
#1
Leny Yoro
Manchester United
20U21£55.0M£10.0M5.50×
#2
Giovanni Leoni
Liverpool FC
19U21£25.0M£10.0M2.50×
#3
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace
19U21£20.0M£10.0M2.00×
#4
Murillo
Nottingham Forest
2321-23£55.0M£35.0M1.57×
#5
Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC
2321-23£50.0M£35.0M1.43×
#6
Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC
2321-23£45.0M£35.0M1.29×
#7
Ayden Heaven
Manchester United
19U21£10.0M£10.0M1.00×
#8
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal FC
2121-23£35.0M£35.0M1.00×
#9
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City
2221-23£35.0M£35.0M1.00×
#10
Aarón Anselmino
Chelsea FC
2121-23£12.0M£35.0M0.34×
#11
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley FC
2321-23£12.0M£35.0M0.34×
#12
Chadi Riad
Crystal Palace
2221-23£12.0M£35.0M0.34×
#13
Jair Cunha
Nottingham Forest
2121-23£12.0M£35.0M0.34×
#14
Matai Akinmboni
AFC Bournemouth
19U21£1.0M£10.0M0.10×
#15
Tyler Fredricson
Manchester United
2121-23£3.0M£35.0M0.09×
#16
Max Alleyne
Manchester City
20U21£800K£10.0M0.08×
#17
Zach Abbott
Nottingham Forest
20U21£300K£10.0M0.03×

Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.

Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Liverpool FC's Giovanni Leoni at 19 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +40%. That means Giovanni Leoni is projected to appreciate 40% as they reach their peak age in 7 years-representing significant upside before entering their prime.

In second is AFC Bournemouth's Matai Akinmboni, who is 19 years old, with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace, who is 19 years old with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak).

How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 40% RPP means the player is expected to gain 40% value as they enter their prime-making them excellent growth investments.

Recovery Potential by Player

Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC
7yr to peak+40%
£25.0M£41.5M
Matai AkinmboniAFC Bournemouth
7yr to peak+40%
£1.0M£1.7M
Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace
7yr to peak+40%
£20.0M£33.2M
Ayden HeavenManchester United
7yr to peak+40%
£10.0M£16.6M
Max AlleyneManchester City
6yr to peak+35%
£800K£1.2M
Leny YoroManchester United
6yr to peak+35%
£55.0M£85.0M
Zach AbbottNottingham Forest
6yr to peak+35%
£300K£464K
Cristhian MosqueraArsenal FC
5yr to peak+30%
£35.0M£50.3M
Aarón AnselminoChelsea FC
5yr to peak+30%
£12.0M£17.2M
Tyler FredricsonManchester United
5yr to peak+30%
£3.0M£4.3M
Jair CunhaNottingham Forest
5yr to peak+30%
£12.0M£17.2M
Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City
4yr to peak+25%
£35.0M£46.8M
Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
4yr to peak+25%
£12.0M£16.0M
Bashir HumphreysBurnley FC
3yr to peak+20%
£12.0M£14.9M
Jarrad BranthwaiteEverton FC
3yr to peak+20%
£45.0M£55.9M
RankPlayerAgeYears to PeakCurrentPeak ForecastRPP %
#1
Giovanni Leoni
Liverpool FC
197£25.0M£41.5M+40%
#2
Matai Akinmboni
AFC Bournemouth
197£1.0M£1.7M+40%
#3
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace
197£20.0M£33.2M+40%
#4
Ayden Heaven
Manchester United
197£10.0M£16.6M+40%
#5
Max Alleyne
Manchester City
206£800K£1.2M+35%
#6
Leny Yoro
Manchester United
206£55.0M£85.0M+35%
#7
Zach Abbott
Nottingham Forest
206£300K£464K+35%
#8
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal FC
215£35.0M£50.3M+30%
#9
Aarón Anselmino
Chelsea FC
215£12.0M£17.2M+30%
#10
Tyler Fredricson
Manchester United
215£3.0M£4.3M+30%
#11
Jair Cunha
Nottingham Forest
215£12.0M£17.2M+30%
#12
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City
224£35.0M£46.8M+25%
#13
Chadi Riad
Crystal Palace
224£12.0M£16.0M+25%
#14
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley FC
233£12.0M£14.9M+20%
#15
Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC
233£45.0M£55.9M+20%
#16
Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC
233£50.0M£62.2M+20%
#17
Murillo
Nottingham Forest
233£55.0M£68.4M+20%

Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.

Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Manchester United's Leny Yoro has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 58.7. That means Leny Yoro has 19% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty-representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.

In second is AFC Bournemouth's Matai Akinmboni with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty).

How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 58.7 means the upside is 58.7× greater than the uncertainty-making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.

Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player

Leny YoroManchester United
19% / ±0%58.7
Range: £56.6M - £74.7M
Matai AkinmboniAFC Bournemouth
19% / ±0%58.0
Range: £1.0M - £1.4M
Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace
19% / ±0%58.0
Range: £20.5M - £27.1M
Ayden HeavenManchester United
19% / ±0%58.0
Range: £10.3M - £13.6M
Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC
19% / ±0%58.0
Range: £25.7M - £33.9M
Cristhian MosqueraArsenal FC
15% / ±0%46.6
Range: £34.6M - £45.7M
Zach AbbottNottingham Forest
15% / ±0%46.3
Range: £297K - £391K
Max AlleyneManchester City
15% / ±0%46.3
Range: £791K - £1.0M
Levi ColwillChelsea FC
11% / ±0%42.8
Range: £49.0M - £62.4M
MurilloNottingham Forest
11% / ±0%42.8
Range: £53.9M - £68.6M
Jarrad BranthwaiteEverton FC
11% / ±0%42.8
Range: £44.1M - £56.2M
Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City
10% / ±0%38.4
Range: £33.9M - £43.2M
Aarón AnselminoChelsea FC
10% / ±0%33.7
Range: £11.4M - £15.1M
Tyler FredricsonManchester United
10% / ±0%33.7
Range: £2.9M - £3.8M
Jair CunhaNottingham Forest
10% / ±0%33.7
Range: £11.4M - £15.1M
RankPlayerExpectedRangeUpside %RAU
#1
Leny Yoro
Manchester United
£65.6M£56.6M-74.7M+19%58.7
#2
Matai Akinmboni
AFC Bournemouth
£1.2M£1.0M-1.4M+19%58.0
#3
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace
£23.8M£20.5M-27.1M+19%58.0
#4
Ayden Heaven
Manchester United
£11.9M£10.3M-13.6M+19%58.0
#5
Giovanni Leoni
Liverpool FC
£29.8M£25.7M-33.9M+19%58.0
#6
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal FC
£40.2M£34.6M-45.7M+15%46.6
#7
Zach Abbott
Nottingham Forest
£344K£297K-391K+15%46.3
#8
Max Alleyne
Manchester City
£917K£791K-1.0M+15%46.3
#9
Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC
£55.7M£49.0M-62.4M+11%42.8
#10
Murillo
Nottingham Forest
£61.3M£53.9M-68.6M+11%42.8
#11
Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC
£50.1M£44.1M-56.2M+11%42.8
#12
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City
£38.6M£33.9M-43.2M+10%38.4
#13
Aarón Anselmino
Chelsea FC
£13.2M£11.4M-15.1M+10%33.7
#14
Tyler Fredricson
Manchester United
£3.3M£2.9M-3.8M+10%33.7
#15
Jair Cunha
Nottingham Forest
£13.2M£11.4M-15.1M+10%33.7
#16
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley FC
£12.8M£11.3M-14.4M+7%27.5
#17
Chadi Riad
Crystal Palace
£12.7M£11.2M-14.2M+6%23.0

Roster Pressure Index (RPI)

Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.

What This Shows

Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.

How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.

Current market: young centre-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.

Position Depth Analysis

17
Total Players
0.00
Avg Z-Score
0.00
RPI Score
Weak DepthStrong Depth
-3.00+3.0

Highest Z-Scores

Murillo+1.71
Leny Yoro+1.71
Levi Colwill+1.45
Jarrad Branthwaite+1.19
Abdukodir Khusanov+0.66

Lowest Z-Scores

Zach Abbott-1.17
Max Alleyne-1.15
Matai Akinmboni-1.14
Tyler Fredricson-1.03
Ayden Heaven-0.66

Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.

Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Crystal Palace's Jaydee Canvot in the U21 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-11.9%. That means Leny Yoro captures 29.3% of total market value while representing only 41.2% of players in their age group-showing dominant elite status.

In second is Manchester United's Ayden Heaven with a +-11.9% ASC (29.3% value share vs 41.2% player share in U21 bracket). Third is Giovanni Leoni of Liverpool FC with a +-11.9% ASC (29.3% value vs 41.2% players in U21 bracket).

How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-11.9% ASC means the player captures -11.9% more market value than their numerical representation-indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.

Value Concentration by Player

Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace
U21-11.9%
29.3% value share / 41.2% player share
Ayden HeavenManchester United
U21-11.9%
29.3% value share / 41.2% player share
Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC
U21-11.9%
29.3% value share / 41.2% player share
Max AlleyneManchester City
U21-11.9%
29.3% value share / 41.2% player share
Leny YoroManchester United
U21-11.9%
29.3% value share / 41.2% player share
Zach AbbottNottingham Forest
U21-11.9%
29.3% value share / 41.2% player share
Matai AkinmboniAFC Bournemouth
U21-11.9%
29.3% value share / 41.2% player share
MurilloNottingham Forest
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
Aarón AnselminoChelsea FC
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
Bashir HumphreysBurnley FC
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
Levi ColwillChelsea FC
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
Cristhian MosqueraArsenal FC
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
Jarrad BranthwaiteEverton FC
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City
21-23+11.9%
70.7% value share / 58.8% player share
RankPlayerAge BracketValue SharePlayer ShareASC
#1
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace
U2129.3%41.2%-11.9%
#2
Ayden Heaven
Manchester United
U2129.3%41.2%-11.9%
#3
Giovanni Leoni
Liverpool FC
U2129.3%41.2%-11.9%
#4
Max Alleyne
Manchester City
U2129.3%41.2%-11.9%
#5
Leny Yoro
Manchester United
U2129.3%41.2%-11.9%
#6
Zach Abbott
Nottingham Forest
U2129.3%41.2%-11.9%
#7
Matai Akinmboni
AFC Bournemouth
U2129.3%41.2%-11.9%
#8
Murillo
Nottingham Forest
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#9
Aarón Anselmino
Chelsea FC
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#10
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley FC
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#11
Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#12
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal FC
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#13
Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#14
Chadi Riad
Crystal Palace
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#15
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#16
Tyler Fredricson
Manchester United
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%
#17
Jair Cunha
Nottingham Forest
21-2370.7%58.8%+11.9%

Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map

Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.

What This Shows

How to use:"Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets."Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months."Peak" = pay premium for proven performers."Aging" = short-term depth only.

Current market: 5 immediate targets, 12 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.

BUY NOW - High Upside

Leny Yoro
20yo • Manchester United
£55.0M
Giovanni Leoni
19yo • Liverpool FC
£25.0M
Jaydee Canvot
19yo • Crystal Palace
£20.0M
Ayden Heaven
19yo • Manchester United
£10.0M
Matai Akinmboni
19yo • AFC Bournemouth
£1.0M

WATCH LIST - High Upside

No players in this category

BUY NOW - Medium Upside

Murillo
23yo • Nottingham Forest
£55.0M
Levi Colwill
23yo • Chelsea FC
£50.0M
Jarrad Branthwaite
23yo • Everton FC
£45.0M
Abdukodir Khusanov
22yo • Manchester City
£35.0M
Cristhian Mosquera
21yo • Arsenal FC
£35.0M
Bashir Humphreys
23yo • Burnley FC
£12.0M
Chadi Riad
22yo • Crystal Palace
£12.0M
Aarón Anselmino
21yo • Chelsea FC
£12.0M
Jair Cunha
21yo • Nottingham Forest
£12.0M
Tyler Fredricson
21yo • Manchester United
£3.0M
Max Alleyne
20yo • Manchester City
£800K
Zach Abbott
20yo • Nottingham Forest
£300K

PEAK Players

No players in this category

Price vs Peer Z-Score

IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.

What This Shows

How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.

Current market: Position median is £55.0M. 0 undervalued, 0 premium.

Value Positioning vs Peers

Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace
£20.0M-1.00
Fair value
Levi ColwillChelsea FC
£50.0M-1.00
Fair value
Zach AbbottNottingham Forest
£300K-0.71
Fair value
MurilloNottingham Forest
£55.0M0.00
Fair value
Ayden HeavenManchester United
£10.0M0.00
Fair value
Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC
£25.0M0.00
Fair value
Aarón AnselminoChelsea FC
£12.0M0.00
Fair value
Bashir HumphreysBurnley FC
£12.0M0.00
Fair value
Cristhian MosqueraArsenal FC
£35.0M0.00
Fair value
Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
£12.0M0.00
Fair value
Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City
£35.0M0.00
Fair value
Max AlleyneManchester City
£800K0.00
Fair value
Tyler FredricsonManchester United
£3.0M0.00
Fair value
Leny YoroManchester United
£55.0M0.00
Fair value
Jair CunhaNottingham Forest
£12.0M0.00
Fair value
PlayerMarket ValuePosition MedianZ-ScoreAssessment
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace
£20.0M£12.0M-1.00Good Value
Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC
£50.0M£12.0M-1.00Good Value
Zach Abbott
Nottingham Forest
£300K£12.0M-0.71Good Value
Murillo
Nottingham Forest
£55.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Ayden Heaven
Manchester United
£10.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Giovanni Leoni
Liverpool FC
£25.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Aarón Anselmino
Chelsea FC
£12.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley FC
£12.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal FC
£35.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Chadi Riad
Crystal Palace
£12.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City
£35.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Max Alleyne
Manchester City
£800K£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Tyler Fredricson
Manchester United
£3.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Leny Yoro
Manchester United
£55.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Jair Cunha
Nottingham Forest
£12.0M£12.0M0.00Fair Value
Matai Akinmboni
AFC Bournemouth
£1.0M£12.0M+0.29Fair Value
Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC
£45.0M£12.0M+1.00Above Market

How We Rank Premier League Young Centre-Backs

Our Analytical Strength Index is calibrated specifically for young centre-backs, using position-specific age curves and playing time benchmarks. The model draws from academic research on player valuation (Franck & Nüesch, 2012) and age-performance curves (Dendir, 2016).

Scoring Components for CB

Historical Achievement Index (35%)

Peak career market value for Premier League young centre-backs, reflecting proven track record and reputation. Uses log-scale to account for exponential value distribution at elite level.

Current Performance Proxy (30%)

Present market value for Premier League young centre-backs, capturing recent form, injuries, and current performance level. Weighted to reflect age-related depreciation patterns.

Playing Time Utilization (18%)

Defenders with 2,500+ minutes score highest, indicating regular starting role and sustained performance.

Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%)

Defenders peak at 27 with 5.0%/year decline rate. Pre-peak players score higher on development trajectory.

Competition Level Adjustment (3%)

Premier League receives Top 5 European league premium for competitive intensity and quality of opposition.

Performance Expectations Multiplier (2%)

Players at clubs with Champions League pedigree face higher performance standards and tactical complexity, contributing to development and market validation.

CB Performance Benchmarks

Peak Age: 27 years (balance of physicality and tactical intelligence)

Decline Rate: 5.0% per year (moderate decline as positioning offsets pace loss)

Optimal Minutes: 2,500 per season (regular starter with rotation management)

1-Year Market Value Forecast

Probabilistic model combining age-curve depreciation, value momentum, and playing time factors:

Age Factor: Defender -5.0%/year post-peak, +5%/year pre-peak

Value Trajectory: Near career peak (>95% of peak value): +3% momentum | Moderate decline: -5%

Playing Time Factor: Regular starters (+2%), Squad rotation (-2%)

Forecast Range: ±10% confidence interval

Research Foundation

• Dendir (2016): Age-performance curves for young centre-backs

• Carmichael et al. (2011): Player depreciation in Premier League

• Franck & Nüesch (2012): Hedonic pricing models for talent valuation

• Szymanski, S. (2015). Money and Soccer: A Soccernomics Guide

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about Premier League Young Centre-Backs in the 2022-23 season

Who are the most valuable Young Centre-Backs in the Premier League in 2022-23?

The most valuable young centre-back in the Premier League in 2022-23 is Murillo, who is worth £55.0M and plays for Nottingham Forest. The second most valuable is Levi Colwill (£50.0M, Chelsea FC), followed by Leny Yoro (£55.0M, Manchester United). Our database tracks 17 Premier League Young Centre-Backs with comprehensive market valuations updated for the 2022-23 season.

How are Premier League Young Centre-Backs ranked?

Premier League Young Centre-Backs are ranked by our proprietary Analytical Strength Index, which is specifically calibrated for Young Centre-Backs. The score combines six factors: Historical Achievement Index (35%) measuring peak career value, Current Performance Proxy (30%) reflecting recent market signals, Playing Time Utilization (18%) tracking minutes played, Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%) using position-specific peak ages, League Quality Coefficient (3%) for Premier League competition level, and Club Tier Multiplier (2%) accounting for club prestige. This methodology is grounded in academic research including work by Dendir (2016) on age-performance curves and Franck & Nüesch (2012) on hedonic pricing models.

What age do Young Centre-Backs peak?

Defenders typically peak at age 27, with a decline rate of 5.0% per year after peak. Research shows defenders balance physical attributes with tactical intelligence, allowing them to maintain high performance through their late 20s. The optimal playing time for peak performance is around 2,500 minutes per season.

How much does it cost to sign a top young centre-back from the Premier League?

Transfer fees for Premier League Young Centre-Backs vary significantly based on market value, contract length, and club bargaining position. For the top-ranked young centre-back Murillo (market value: £55.0M), estimated transfer fees would range from £44.0M to £77.0M depending on contract situation. Players with longer contracts (3+ years) command premium fees (1.2-1.4× market value), while those in the final year may be available for 0.8-1.1× market value. Our fee estimates are derived from historical transfer patterns and contract-clock modifiers validated against actual Premier League transactions.

What is the value forecast for Premier League Young Centre-Backs?

Our 1-year forecast model projects market value changes for Premier League Young Centre-Backs based on age-curve depreciation, historical trajectory, and playing time adjustments. The forecast combines three factors: age-based appreciation/depreciation (pre-peak players gain ~5% per year toward peak age, post-peak players decline at position-specific rates), market trajectory momentum (comparing current to peak value), and playing time confidence (regular starters receive +2% boost). Forecast confidence intervals account for position-specific volatility-defenders have ±10% volatility. Young players (under 22) and older players (over 32) receive 1.15× uncertainty multipliers due to unpredictable development or decline patterns.

Where does the Premier League young centre-back data come from?

Our Premier League young centre-back data is sourced from Football Analytics AI's proprietary Transfer Intelligence Database, which aggregates market valuations, player statistics, contract information, and transfer histories from multiple industry sources. Market values are updated regularly based on player performance, injuries, contract negotiations, and transfer market activity. We enhance this data with our proprietary analytics including position-specific scoring algorithms, age-performance curves calibrated to academic research, and statistical forecast models. All data is validated against official Premier League sources and updated monthly for the 2022-23 season to ensure accuracy for recruitment and investment decisions.