Best Centre-Backs in the Premier League (Oct 2025)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Market Overview: Premier League Centre-Backs 2025-26
Our database tracks 110 Premier League Centre-Backs in the 2025-26 season, representing 29 clubs with a combined market value of £2.1B. The average market value for Premier League Centre-Backs is £19.1M, with the average age at 26.7 years old.
The most valuable centre-back in the Premier League is William Saliba, worth £80.0M and playing for Arsenal FC at 24 years old. The top 5 Centre-Backs average £71.0M in market value, including Josko Gvardiol and Gabriel Magalhães.
Age distribution shows the youngest tracked centre-back is Giovanni Leoni (18 years, Liverpool FC, £18.0M), while the oldest is Jonny Evans (37 years, Manchester United, £1.0M). Research shows Centre-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Our 1-year forecast model projects 57 Centre-Backs (52%) will increase in market value over the next 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Premier League market for Centre-Backs remains highly competitive with significant transfer activity expected in the 2025-26 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Premier League
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Premier League Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 29 clubs with £2.1B combined value.
Age Distribution: Premier League Centre-Backs
The Premier League CB market shows 5 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 24-26 bracket (35 players, 32% of market). The 24-26 age group holds the most value at £756.7M, averaging £21.6M per player.
Top Centre-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (8 players)
21-23 Years (14 players)
24-26 Years (35 players)
27-29 Years (27 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 11 Centre-Backs (10% of players) control £665.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with elite (€50m+) tier representing 11% of the Premier League CB pool.
Elite (€50M+)
Premium (€30-50M)
High (€15-30M)
Club Distribution: Premier League Centre-Backs
Among 29 Premier League clubs, Arsenal FC leads with 4 Centre-Backs worth £235.0M (averaging £58.8M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 47% of tracked Centre-Backs.
Arsenal FC (4 Centre-Backs)
Manchester City (5 Centre-Backs)
Chelsea FC (6 Centre-Backs)
Tottenham Hotspur (5 Centre-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
William Saliba
Arsenal FC • 24 years old
£69.2M
£80.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £92.5M
93.4
Josko Gvardiol
Manchester City • 23 years old
£64.9M
£75.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £90.6M
92.8
Gabriel Magalhães
Arsenal FC • 27 years old
£75.0M
£75.0M
+0.0%
Expected: £74.1M
92.1
Ibrahima Konaté
Liverpool FC • 26 years old
£51.9M
£60.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £64.3M
90.0
Rúben Dias
Manchester City • 28 years old
£65.0M
£65.0M
+0.0%
Expected: £64.2M
89.6
Murillo
Nottingham Forest • 23 years old
£47.6M
£55.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £66.5M
88.8
Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC • 22 years old
£47.6M
£55.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £69.3M
87.9
Piero Hincapié
Arsenal FC • 23 years old
£43.2M
£50.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £60.4M
87.8
Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC • 23 years old
£43.2M
£50.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £60.4M
87.6
Micky van de Ven
Tottenham Hotspur • 24 years old
£43.2M
£50.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £57.8M
87.6
Cristian Romero
Tottenham Hotspur • 27 years old
£50.0M
£50.0M
+0.0%
Expected: £49.4M
86.9
Marc Guéhi
Crystal Palace • 25 years old
£38.9M
£45.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £49.6M
86.3
Sven Botman
Newcastle United • 25 years old
£36.3M
£42.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £46.3M
85.4
Leny Yoro
Manchester United • 19 years old
£47.6M
£55.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £78.0M
84.6
Matthijs de Ligt
Manchester United • 26 years old
£32.9M
£38.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £40.7M
84.4
Lisandro Martínez
Manchester United • 27 years old
£40.0M
£40.0M
+0.0%
Expected: £39.5M
84.3
Ezri Konsa
Aston Villa • 27 years old
£35.0M
£35.0M
+0.0%
Expected: £34.6M
82.5
Jan Paul van Hecke
Brighton & Hove Albion • 25 years old
£27.7M
£32.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £35.3M
82.1
Nikola Milenković
Nottingham Forest • 28 years old
£35.0M
£35.0M
+0.0%
Expected: £34.6M
81.7
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City • 21 years old
£30.3M
£35.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £46.0M
81.2
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Manchester United's Leny Yoro at 19 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 11.00×. That means Leny Yoro is valued 11.00× higher than the median player in the U21 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Liverpool FC's Giovanni Leoni, who is 18 years old, with a 3.60× PPVE. Third is William Saliba of Arsenal FC, who is 24 years old with a 3.20× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 11.00× means the player is worth 1000% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | Leny Yoro Manchester United | 19 | U21 | £55.0M | £5.0M | 11.00× |
#2 | Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC | 18 | U21 | £18.0M | £5.0M | 3.60× |
#3 | William Saliba Arsenal FC | 24 | 24-26 | £80.0M | £25.0M | 3.20× |
#4 | Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest | 20 | U21 | £13.0M | £5.0M | 2.60× |
#5 | Josko Gvardiol Manchester City | 23 | 21-23 | £75.0M | £30.0M | 2.50× |
#6 | Micky van de Ven Tottenham Hotspur | 24 | 24-26 | £50.0M | £25.0M | 2.00× |
#7 | Murillo Nottingham Forest | 23 | 21-23 | £55.0M | £30.0M | 1.83× |
#8 | Levi Colwill Chelsea FC | 22 | 21-23 | £55.0M | £30.0M | 1.83× |
#9 | Marc Guéhi Crystal Palace | 25 | 24-26 | £45.0M | £25.0M | 1.80× |
#10 | Sven Botman Newcastle United | 25 | 24-26 | £42.0M | £25.0M | 1.68× |
#11 | Piero Hincapié Arsenal FC | 23 | 21-23 | £50.0M | £30.0M | 1.67× |
#12 | Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | 23 | 21-23 | £50.0M | £30.0M | 1.67× |
#13 | Jan Paul van Hecke Brighton & Hove Albion | 25 | 24-26 | £32.0M | £25.0M | 1.28× |
#14 | Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City | 21 | 21-23 | £35.0M | £30.0M | 1.17× |
#15 | Bafodé Diakité AFC Bournemouth | 24 | 24-26 | £28.0M | £25.0M | 1.12× |
#16 | Nathan Collins Brentford FC | 24 | 24-26 | £28.0M | £25.0M | 1.12× |
#17 | Ayden Heaven Manchester United | 19 | U21 | £5.0M | £5.0M | 1.00× |
#18 | Maxence Lacroix Crystal Palace | 25 | 24-26 | £25.0M | £25.0M | 1.00× |
#19 | Calvin Bassey Fulham FC | 25 | 24-26 | £25.0M | £25.0M | 1.00× |
#20 | Wesley Fofana Chelsea FC | 24 | 24-26 | £25.0M | £25.0M | 1.00× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
No RPP data available (requires forecast values in database)
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Manchester United's Leny Yoro has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 106.9. That means Leny Yoro has 42% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Liverpool FC's Giovanni Leoni with a 105.9 RAU (41% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Ayden Heaven of Manchester United with a 96.4 RAU (36% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 106.9 means the upside is 106.9× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | Leny Yoro Manchester United | £78.0M | £67.2M-88.8M | +42% | 106.9 |
#2 | Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC | £25.4M | £21.9M-28.9M | +41% | 105.9 |
#3 | Ayden Heaven Manchester United | £6.8M | £5.9M-7.8M | +36% | 96.4 |
#4 | Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace | £5.5M | £4.7M-6.2M | +36% | 96.4 |
#5 | Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth | £1.4M | £1.2M-1.6M | +36% | 96.4 |
#6 | Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest | £409K | £352K-465K | +36% | 96.4 |
#7 | Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City | £46.0M | £39.6M-52.3M | +31% | 86.4 |
#8 | Tyler Fredricson Manchester United | £3.9M | £3.4M-4.5M | +31% | 86.2 |
#9 | Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest | £17.1M | £14.7M-19.4M | +31% | 86.2 |
#10 | Levi Colwill Chelsea FC | £69.3M | £61.0M-77.7M | +26% | 86.2 |
#11 | Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC | £37.9M | £32.6M-43.1M | +26% | 75.2 |
#12 | Lamare Bogarde Aston Villa | £7.6M | £6.5M-8.6M | +26% | 75.2 |
#13 | Diego Coppola Brighton & Hove Albion | £12.6M | £10.9M-14.4M | +26% | 75.2 |
#14 | Chadi Riad Crystal Palace | £18.2M | £16.0M-20.3M | +21% | 72.7 |
#15 | Josko Gvardiol Manchester City | £90.6M | £79.7M-101.5M | +21% | 71.8 |
#16 | Murillo Nottingham Forest | £66.5M | £58.5M-74.4M | +21% | 71.8 |
#17 | Piero Hincapié Arsenal FC | £60.4M | £53.2M-67.7M | +21% | 71.8 |
#18 | Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | £60.4M | £53.2M-67.7M | +21% | 71.8 |
#19 | Maxime Estève Burnley FC | £23.2M | £20.4M-26.0M | +16% | 57.7 |
#20 | Radu Drăgușin Tottenham Hotspur | £29.0M | £25.5M-32.5M | +16% | 57.7 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: centre-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Everton FC's Michael Keane in the 30+ age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-15.7%. That means Nathan Aké captures 8.0% of total market value while representing only 23.6% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.
In second is Without Club's Craig Dawson with a +-15.7% ASC (8.0% value share vs 23.6% player share in 30+ bracket). Third is Ali Gabr of Pyramids FC with a +-15.7% ASC (8.0% value vs 23.6% players in 30+ bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-15.7% ASC means the player captures -15.7% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | Michael Keane Everton FC | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#2 | Craig Dawson Without Club | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#3 | Ali Gabr Pyramids FC | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#4 | Nermin Zolotić FC Noah Yerevan | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#5 | Dan Burn Newcastle United | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#6 | Fabian Schär Newcastle United | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#7 | Virgil van Dijk Liverpool FC | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#8 | Willy Boly Nottingham Forest | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#9 | Lewis Dunk Brighton & Hove Albion | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#10 | Anton Bratkov FC Urartu Yerevan | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#11 | Sergiy Vakulenko FC Pyunik Yerevan | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#12 | James Tarkowski Everton FC | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#13 | Nathan Aké Manchester City | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#14 | Harry Maguire Manchester United | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#15 | Jamaal Lascelles Newcastle United | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#16 | Victor Lindelöf Aston Villa | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#17 | John Stones Manchester City | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#18 | Ben Davies Tottenham Hotspur | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#19 | Gonçalo Silva FC Noah Yerevan | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
#20 | Adam Webster Brighton & Hove Albion | 30+ | 8.0% | 23.6% | -15.7% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 24 immediate targets, 20 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 37 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is £60.0M. 0 undervalued, 3 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan Paul van Hecke Brighton & Hove Albion | £32.0M | £17.0M | -1.43 | Good Value |
Chadi Riad Crystal Palace | £15.0M | £17.0M | -1.40 | Good Value |
Ayden Heaven Manchester United | £5.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Virgil van Dijk Liverpool FC | £23.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Takehiro Tomiyasu Without Club | £18.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Jaka Bijol Leeds United | £18.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Pascal Struijk Leeds United | £18.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Malick Thiaw Newcastle United | £18.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Lamare Bogarde Aston Villa | £6.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC | £30.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Piero Hincapié Arsenal FC | £50.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | £50.0M | £17.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest | £300K | £17.0M | -0.90 | Good Value |
Joe Worrall Burnley FC | £5.0M | £17.0M | -0.83 | Good Value |
Ethan Ampadu Leeds United | £20.0M | £17.0M | -0.71 | Good Value |
Michael Keane Everton FC | £5.0M | £17.0M | -0.67 | Good Value |
Tyrone Mings Aston Villa | £5.0M | £17.0M | -0.67 | Good Value |
Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth | £1.0M | £17.0M | -0.67 | Good Value |
Jorge Cuenca Fulham FC | £5.0M | £17.0M | -0.63 | Good Value |
Cristian Romero Tottenham Hotspur | £50.0M | £17.0M | -0.60 | Good Value |