Under 23 · MLS · 2024-25

Best U23 Young Right-Backs in the MLS

2 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Score

Best Young Right-Backs in the MLS (Apr 2026)

Ranked by Analytical Strength Score

Market Overview: MLS Young Right-Backs 2024-25

Our database tracked 2 MLS Young Right-Backs in the 2024-25 season, representing 2 clubs with a combined market value of €1.4M. The average market value for MLS Young Right-Backs was €700K, with the average age at 22.0 years old.

The most valuable young right-back in the MLS was Willy Kumado, worth €1.2M and played for San Diego FC at 23 years old. The top 5 Young Right-Backs averaged €700K in market value, including Juan Mina.

Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young right-back was Juan Mina (21 years, New York Red Bulls, €200K), while the oldest was Willy Kumado (23 years, San Diego FC, €1.2M). Research shows Young Right-Backs typically peak at age 27.

Historical analysis showed 2 Young Right-Backs (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The MLS market for Young Right-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2024-25 season.

💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.

Market Intelligence

Explore Market Size by Position in MLS

Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all MLS Young Right-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 2 clubs with €1.4M combined value.

Players Tracked

By League

Premier League La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1

By Position

GK CB LB RB CDM

More Positions

CM CAM LW RW ST

By Season

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23

Age Distribution: MLS Young Right-Backs

The MLS RB market shows 1 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (2 players, 100% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at €1.4M, averaging €700K per player.

21-23 years2 players (100%)

€1.4MAvg: €700K

Top player: Willy Kumado (€1.2M)

Top Young Right-Backs by Age Bracket

21-23 Years (2 players)

1. Willy Kumado(23yo)

€1.2M

2. Juan Mina(21yo)

€200K

Market Value Distribution

Elite Tier Concentration

86%of market value

The top 1 Young Right-Backs (50% of players) control €1.2M

1. Willy Kumado€1.2M

Market Tiers

Emerging (<€5M)2 players (100%)

€1.4M

Market structure shows concentrated value with emerging (<€5m) tier representing 100% of the MLS RB pool.

Emerging (<€5M)

1. Willy Kumado

San Diego FC€1.2M

2. Juan Mina

New York Red Bulls€200K

Club Distribution: MLS Young Right-Backs

Among 2 MLS clubs, San Diego FC leads with 1 Young Right-Backs worth €1.2M (averaging €1.2M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 100% of tracked Young Right-Backs.

San Diego FC

1 players • €1.2M

New York Red Bulls

1 players • €200K

San Diego FC (1 Young Right-Backs)

Willy Kumado(23yo)

€1.2M

New York Red Bulls (1 Young Right-Backs)

Juan Mina(21yo)

€200K

Player Rankings

Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.

Willy Kumado

San Diego FC • 23 years old

€1.0M

€1.2M

+15.6%

€1.1M€1.4M

Expected: €1.3M

31.5

Juan Mina

New York Red Bulls • 21 years old

€173K

€200K

+15.6%

€190K€251K

Expected: €221K

8.0

Scout Tools

Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.

Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.

Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

2 pre-peak players found. PPVE compares market value to age bracket median to identify exceptional value opportunities.

PPVE by Age Bracket

Willy KumadoSan Diego FC

21-23 • 23yo1.00×

€1.2M • 0% above median

Juan MinaNew York Red Bulls

21-23 • 21yo0.17×

€200K • -83% above median

Rank	Player	Age	Bracket	Current Value	Bracket Median	PPVE
#1	Willy Kumado San Diego FC	23	21-23	€1.2M	€1.2M	1.00×
#2	Juan Mina New York Red Bulls	21	21-23	€200K	€1.2M	0.17×

Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.

Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

New York Red Bulls's Juan Mina leads with +30% RPP, projected to appreciate 30% over 5 years to peak.

How RPP is calculated: RPP compares current market value to forecasted peak value. Target players with RPP ≥50% who are 2-3 years from peak for significant value appreciation potential.

Recovery Potential by Player

Juan MinaNew York Red Bulls

5yr to peak+30%

€200K → €287K

Willy KumadoSan Diego FC

3yr to peak+20%

€1.2M → €1.5M

Rank	Player	Age	Years to Peak	Current	Peak Forecast	RPP %
#1	Juan Mina New York Red Bulls	21	5	€200K	€287K	+30%
#2	Willy Kumado San Diego FC	23	3	€1.2M	€1.5M	+20%

Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.

Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

New York Red Bulls's Juan Mina leads with 33.7 RAU (10% upside vs 0% uncertainty).

How RAU is calculated: RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %. Higher RAU means better risk-reward. Target RAU ≥2.0 for strong appreciation with manageable risk.

Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player

Juan MinaNew York Red Bulls

↑10% / ±0%33.7

Range: €190K - €251K

Willy KumadoSan Diego FC

↑7% / ±0%27.5

Range: €1.1M - €1.4M

Rank	Player	Expected	Range	Upside %	RAU
#1	Juan Mina New York Red Bulls	€221K	€190K-251K	+10%	33.7
#2	Willy Kumado San Diego FC	€1.3M	€1.1M-1.4M	+7%	27.5

Roster Pressure Index (RPI)

Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.

What This Shows

Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.

How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.

Current market: young right-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.

Position Depth Analysis

Total Players

0.00

Avg Z-Score

0.00

RPI Score

Weak DepthStrong Depth

-3.00+3.0

Highest Z-Scores

Willy Kumado+1.00

Juan Mina+-1.00

Lowest Z-Scores

Juan Mina-1.00

Willy Kumado1.00

Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.

Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

New York Red Bulls's Juan Mina leads with +0.0% ASC (100.0% value share vs 100.0% player share in 21-23 bracket).

How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. ASC > +15% indicates elite players dominating their age group—marquee signings.

Value Concentration by Player

Juan MinaNew York Red Bulls

21-230.0%

100.0% value share / 100.0% player share

Willy KumadoSan Diego FC

21-230.0%

100.0% value share / 100.0% player share

Rank	Player	Age Bracket	Value Share	Player Share	ASC
#1	Juan Mina New York Red Bulls	21-23	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%
#2	Willy Kumado San Diego FC	21-23	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%

Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map

Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.

What This Shows

How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.

Current market: 0 immediate targets, 2 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.

BUY NOW - High Upside

No players in this category

WATCH LIST - High Upside

No players in this category

BUY NOW - Medium Upside

Willy Kumado

23yo • San Diego FC

€1.2M

Juan Mina

21yo • New York Red Bulls

€200K

PEAK Players

No players in this category

Price vs Peer Z-Score

IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.

What This Shows

How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.

Current market: Position median is €1.2M. 0 undervalued, 0 premium.

Value Positioning vs Peers

Juan MinaNew York Red Bulls

€200K-1.00

Fair value

Willy KumadoSan Diego FC

€1.2M0.00

Fair value

Player	Market Value	Position Median	Z-Score	Assessment
Juan Mina New York Red Bulls	€200K	€1.2M	-1.00	Good Value
Willy Kumado San Diego FC	€1.2M	€1.2M	0.00	Fair Value

How We Rank MLS Young Right-Backs

Our Analytical Strength Score is calibrated specifically for young right-backs, using position-specific age curves and playing time benchmarks. The model draws from academic research on player valuation (Franck & Nüesch, 2012) and age-performance curves (Dendir, 2016).

Scoring Components for RB

Historical Achievement Index (35%)

Peak career market value for MLS young right-backs, reflecting proven track record and reputation. Uses log-scale to account for exponential value distribution at elite level.

Current Performance Proxy (30%)

Present market value for MLS young right-backs, capturing recent form, injuries, and current performance level. Weighted to reflect age-related depreciation patterns.

Playing Time Utilization (18%)

Defenders with 2,500+ minutes score highest, indicating regular starting role and sustained performance.

Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%)

Defenders peak at 27 with 5.0%/year decline rate. Pre-peak players score higher on development trajectory.

Competition Level Adjustment (3%)

MLS competition level factored into comparative strength assessment.

Performance Expectations Multiplier (2%)

Players at clubs with Champions League pedigree face higher performance standards and tactical complexity, contributing to development and market validation.

RB Performance Benchmarks

Peak Age: 27 years (balance of physicality and tactical intelligence)

Decline Rate: 5.0% per year (moderate decline as positioning offsets pace loss)

Optimal Minutes: 2,500 per season (regular starter with rotation management)

1-Year Market Value Forecast

Probabilistic model combining age-curve depreciation, value momentum, and playing time factors:

• Age Factor: Defender -5.0%/year post-peak, +5%/year pre-peak

• Value Trajectory: Near career peak (>95% of peak value): +3% momentum | Moderate decline: -5%

• Playing Time Factor: Regular starters (+2%), Squad rotation (-2%)

• Forecast Range: ±10% confidence interval

Research Foundation

• Dendir (2016): Age-performance curves for young right-backs

• Carmichael et al. (2011): Player depreciation in top leagues

• Franck & Nüesch (2012): Hedonic pricing models for talent valuation

• Szymanski, S. (2015). Money and Soccer: A Soccernomics Guide

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about MLS Young Right-Backs in the 2024-25 season

Who are the most valuable Young Right-Backs in the MLS in 2024-25?

The most valuable young right-back in the MLS in 2024-25 is Willy Kumado, who is worth €1.2M and plays for San Diego FC. The second most valuable is Juan Mina (€200K, New York Red Bulls). Our database tracks 2 MLS Young Right-Backs with comprehensive market valuations updated for the 2024-25 season.

How are MLS Young Right-Backs ranked?

MLS Young Right-Backs are ranked by our proprietary Analytical Strength Score, which is specifically calibrated for Young Right-Backs. The score combines six factors: Historical Achievement Index (35%) measuring peak career value, Current Performance Proxy (30%) reflecting recent market signals, Playing Time Utilization (18%) tracking minutes played, Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%) using position-specific peak ages, League Quality Coefficient (3%) for MLS competition level, and Club Tier Multiplier (2%) accounting for club prestige. This methodology is grounded in academic research including work by Dendir (2016) on age-performance curves and Franck & Nüesch (2012) on hedonic pricing models.

What age do Young Right-Backs peak?

Defenders typically peak at age 27, with a decline rate of 5.0% per year after peak. Research shows defenders balance physical attributes with tactical intelligence, allowing them to maintain high performance through their late 20s. The optimal playing time for peak performance is around 2,500 minutes per season.

How much does it cost to sign a top young right-back from the MLS?

Transfer fees for MLS Young Right-Backs vary significantly based on market value, contract length, and club bargaining position. For the top-ranked young right-back Willy Kumado (market value: €1.2M), estimated transfer fees would range from €960K to €1.7M depending on contract situation. Players with longer contracts (3+ years) command premium fees (1.2-1.4× market value), while those in the final year may be available for 0.8-1.1× market value. Our fee estimates are derived from historical transfer patterns and contract-clock modifiers validated against actual MLS transactions.

What is the value forecast for MLS Young Right-Backs?

Our 1-year forecast model projects market value changes for MLS Young Right-Backs based on age-curve depreciation, historical trajectory, and playing time adjustments. The forecast combines three factors: age-based appreciation/depreciation (pre-peak players gain ~5% per year toward peak age, post-peak players decline at position-specific rates), market trajectory momentum (comparing current to peak value), and playing time confidence (regular starters receive +2% boost). Forecast confidence intervals account for position-specific volatility—defenders have ±10% volatility. Young players (under 22) and older players (over 32) receive 1.15× uncertainty multipliers due to unpredictable development or decline patterns.

Where does the MLS young right-back data come from?

Our MLS young right-back data is sourced from APE Global Capital's proprietary Transfer Intelligence Database, which aggregates market valuations, player statistics, contract information, and transfer histories from multiple industry sources. Market values are updated regularly based on player performance, injuries, contract negotiations, and transfer market activity. We enhance this data with our proprietary analytics including position-specific scoring algorithms, age-performance curves calibrated to academic research, and statistical forecast models. All data is validated against official MLS sources and updated monthly for the 2024-25 season to ensure accuracy for recruitment and investment decisions.