Best U23 Young Centre-Backs in the Brasileirão
17 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Best Young Centre-Backs in the Brasileirão (Apr 2026)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Market Overview: Brasileirão Young Centre-Backs 2023-24
Our database tracked 17 Brasileirão Young Centre-Backs in the 2023-24 season, representing 14 clubs with a combined market value of €31.3M. The average market value for Brasileirão Young Centre-Backs was €1.8M, with the average age at 21.7 years old.
The most valuable young centre-back in the Brasileirão was Robert Renan, worth €7.5M and played for Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama at 22 years old. The top 5 Young Centre-Backs averaged €4.6M in market value, including David Ricardo and Victor Gabriel.
Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young centre-back was Iván Román (19 years, Clube Atlético Mineiro, €1.5M), while the oldest was David Ricardo (23 years, Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas, €5.0M). Research shows Young Centre-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Historical analysis showed 17 Young Centre-Backs (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Brasileirão market for Young Centre-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2023-24 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Brasileirão
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Brasileirão Young Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 14 clubs with €31.3M combined value.
Age Distribution: Brasileirão Young Centre-Backs
The Brasileirão CB market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (14 players, 82% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at €28.5M, averaging €2.0M per player.
Top Young Centre-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (3 players)
21-23 Years (14 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 2 Young Centre-Backs (12% of players) control €12.5M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with mid (€5-15m) tier representing 18% of the Brasileirão CB pool.
Mid (€5-15M)
Emerging (<€5M)
Club Distribution: Brasileirão Young Centre-Backs
Among 14 Brasileirão clubs, Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama leads with 1 Young Centre-Backs worth €7.5M (averaging €7.5M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 76% of tracked Young Centre-Backs.
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama (1 Young Centre-Backs)
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas (1 Young Centre-Backs)
Sport Club Internacional (1 Young Centre-Backs)
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense (2 Young Centre-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Robert Renan
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama • 22 years old
€6.5M
€7.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €7.9M
57.3
David Ricardo
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas • 23 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.4M
52.9
Victor Gabriel
Sport Club Internacional • 21 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.5M
51.7
Gustavo Martins
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense • 23 years old
€2.6M
€3.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €3.2M
42.9
Jonathan Jesus
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube • 21 years old
€2.2M
€2.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.8M
39.4
Iván Román
Clube Atlético Mineiro • 19 years old
€1.3M
€1.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €1.8M
31.8
Tchoca
Sport Club Corinthians Paulista • 22 years old
€865K
€1.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €1.1M
28.6
Abner
Esporte Clube Juventude • 22 years old
€865K
€1.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €1.1M
28.6
Luis Benedetti
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras • 19 years old
€865K
€1.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €1.2M
26.8
Matheus Belém
São Paulo Futebol Clube • 23 years old
€692K
€800K
+15.6%
Expected: €857K
26.5
Gabriel
Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) • 22 years old
€605K
€700K
+15.6%
Expected: €741K
24.2
Cleiton
CR Flamengo • 23 years old
€519K
€600K
+15.6%
Expected: €642K
22.9
Luisão
Santos FC • 22 years old
€432K
€500K
+15.6%
Expected: €529K
20.0
Marcos Paulo
Esporte Clube Juventude • 23 years old
€259K
€300K
+15.6%
Expected: €321K
14.3
Viery
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense • 21 years old
€259K
€300K
+15.6%
Expected: €331K
13.0
Luiz Gustavo
Esporte Clube Bahia • 20 years old
€259K
€300K
+15.6%
Expected: €344K
12.4
Cipriano
Esporte Clube Juventude • 23 years old
€216K
€250K
+15.6%
Expected: €268K
12.0
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama's Robert Renan at 22 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 7.50×. That means Robert Renan is valued 7.50× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Sport Club Internacional's Victor Gabriel, who is 21 years old, with a 5.00× PPVE. Third is David Ricardo of Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas, who is 23 years old with a 5.00× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 7.50× means the player is worth 650% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Robert Renan Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | 22 | 21-23 | €7.5M | €1.0M | 7.50× |
| #2 | Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | 21 | 21-23 | €5.0M | €1.0M | 5.00× |
| #3 | David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 23 | 21-23 | €5.0M | €1.0M | 5.00× |
| #4 | Gustavo Martins Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 23 | 21-23 | €3.0M | €1.0M | 3.00× |
| #5 | Jonathan Jesus Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 21 | 21-23 | €2.5M | €1.0M | 2.50× |
| #6 | Iván Román Clube Atlético Mineiro | 19 | U21 | €1.5M | €1.0M | 1.50× |
| #7 | Tchoca Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 21-23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | 1.00× |
| #8 | Abner Esporte Clube Juventude | 22 | 21-23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | 1.00× |
| #9 | Luis Benedetti Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 19 | U21 | €1.0M | €1.0M | 1.00× |
| #10 | Matheus Belém São Paulo Futebol Clube | 23 | 21-23 | €800K | €1.0M | 0.80× |
| #11 | Gabriel Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | 22 | 21-23 | €700K | €1.0M | 0.70× |
| #12 | Cleiton CR Flamengo | 23 | 21-23 | €600K | €1.0M | 0.60× |
| #13 | Luisão Santos FC | 22 | 21-23 | €500K | €1.0M | 0.50× |
| #14 | Luiz Gustavo Esporte Clube Bahia | 20 | U21 | €300K | €1.0M | 0.30× |
| #15 | Viery Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 21 | 21-23 | €300K | €1.0M | 0.30× |
| #16 | Marcos Paulo Esporte Clube Juventude | 23 | 21-23 | €300K | €1.0M | 0.30× |
| #17 | Cipriano Esporte Clube Juventude | 23 | 21-23 | €250K | €1.0M | 0.25× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras's Luis Benedetti at 19 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +40%. That means Luis Benedetti is projected to appreciate 40% as they reach their peak age in 7 years—representing significant upside before entering their prime.
In second is Clube Atlético Mineiro's Iván Román, who is 19 years old, with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Luiz Gustavo of Esporte Clube Bahia, who is 20 years old with a +35% RPP (6 years to peak).
How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 40% RPP means the player is expected to gain 40% value as they enter their prime—making them excellent growth investments.
Recovery Potential by Player
| Rank | Player | Age | Years to Peak | Current | Peak Forecast | RPP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Luis Benedetti Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 19 | 7 | €1.0M | €1.7M | +40% |
| #2 | Iván Román Clube Atlético Mineiro | 19 | 7 | €1.5M | €2.5M | +40% |
| #3 | Luiz Gustavo Esporte Clube Bahia | 20 | 6 | €300K | €464K | +35% |
| #4 | Jonathan Jesus Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 21 | 5 | €2.5M | €3.6M | +30% |
| #5 | Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | 21 | 5 | €5.0M | €7.2M | +30% |
| #6 | Viery Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 21 | 5 | €300K | €431K | +30% |
| #7 | Gabriel Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | 22 | 4 | €700K | €936K | +25% |
| #8 | Tchoca Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 4 | €1.0M | €1.3M | +25% |
| #9 | Abner Esporte Clube Juventude | 22 | 4 | €1.0M | €1.3M | +25% |
| #10 | Luisão Santos FC | 22 | 4 | €500K | €668K | +25% |
| #11 | Robert Renan Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | 22 | 4 | €7.5M | €10.0M | +25% |
| #12 | Gustavo Martins Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 23 | 3 | €3.0M | €3.7M | +20% |
| #13 | Cleiton CR Flamengo | 23 | 3 | €600K | €746K | +20% |
| #14 | Marcos Paulo Esporte Clube Juventude | 23 | 3 | €300K | €373K | +20% |
| #15 | David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 23 | 3 | €5.0M | €6.2M | +20% |
| #16 | Cipriano Esporte Clube Juventude | 23 | 3 | €250K | €311K | +20% |
| #17 | Matheus Belém São Paulo Futebol Clube | 23 | 3 | €800K | €995K | +20% |
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras's Luis Benedetti has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 58.0. That means Luis Benedetti has 19% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Clube Atlético Mineiro's Iván Román with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Luiz Gustavo of Esporte Clube Bahia with a 46.3 RAU (15% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 58.0 means the upside is 58.0× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Luis Benedetti Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | €1.2M | €1.0M-1.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #2 | Iván Román Clube Atlético Mineiro | €1.8M | €1.5M-2.0M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #3 | Luiz Gustavo Esporte Clube Bahia | €344K | €297K-391K | +15% | 46.3 |
| #4 | Jonathan Jesus Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | €2.8M | €2.4M-3.1M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #5 | Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | €5.5M | €4.8M-6.3M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #6 | Viery Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €331K | €285K-376K | +10% | 33.7 |
| #7 | Cipriano Esporte Clube Juventude | €268K | €236K-300K | +7% | 27.5 |
| #8 | Cleiton CR Flamengo | €642K | €565K-719K | +7% | 27.5 |
| #9 | Marcos Paulo Esporte Clube Juventude | €321K | €283K-360K | +7% | 27.5 |
| #10 | David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | €5.4M | €4.7M-6.0M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #11 | Gustavo Martins Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €3.2M | €2.8M-3.6M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #12 | Matheus Belém São Paulo Futebol Clube | €857K | €754K-959K | +7% | 27.5 |
| #13 | Gabriel Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | €741K | €652K-830K | +6% | 23.0 |
| #14 | Tchoca Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | €1.1M | €931K-1.2M | +6% | 23.0 |
| #15 | Abner Esporte Clube Juventude | €1.1M | €931K-1.2M | +6% | 23.0 |
| #16 | Luisão Santos FC | €529K | €466K-593K | +6% | 23.0 |
| #17 | Robert Renan Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | €7.9M | €7.0M-8.9M | +6% | 23.0 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: young centre-back position shows weak depth (avg Z-score: -0.00). RPI: -0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Clube Atlético Mineiro's Iván Román in the U21 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-8.7%. That means Iván Román captures 9.0% of total market value while representing only 17.6% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.
In second is Esporte Clube Bahia's Luiz Gustavo with a +-8.7% ASC (9.0% value share vs 17.6% player share in U21 bracket). Third is Luis Benedetti of Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras with a +-8.7% ASC (9.0% value vs 17.6% players in U21 bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-8.7% ASC means the player captures -8.7% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Iván Román Clube Atlético Mineiro | U21 | 9.0% | 17.6% | -8.7% |
| #2 | Luiz Gustavo Esporte Clube Bahia | U21 | 9.0% | 17.6% | -8.7% |
| #3 | Luis Benedetti Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | U21 | 9.0% | 17.6% | -8.7% |
| #4 | Tchoca Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #5 | Jonathan Jesus Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #6 | Abner Esporte Clube Juventude | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #7 | Luisão Santos FC | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #8 | Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #9 | Gustavo Martins Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #10 | Cleiton CR Flamengo | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #11 | Viery Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #12 | Robert Renan Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #13 | Marcos Paulo Esporte Clube Juventude | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #14 | Matheus Belém São Paulo Futebol Clube | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #15 | David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #16 | Cipriano Esporte Clube Juventude | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
| #17 | Gabriel Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | 21-23 | 91.0% | 82.4% | +8.7% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 2 immediate targets, 15 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
No players in this category
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is €5.0M. 0 undervalued, 2 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cipriano Esporte Clube Juventude | €250K | €1.0M | -0.64 | Good Value |
Luiz Gustavo Esporte Clube Bahia | €300K | €1.0M | -0.58 | Good Value |
Viery Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €300K | €1.0M | -0.57 | Good Value |
Marcos Paulo Esporte Clube Juventude | €300K | €1.0M | -0.57 | Good Value |
Luisão Santos FC | €500K | €1.0M | -0.29 | Fair Value |
Cleiton CR Flamengo | €600K | €1.0M | -0.14 | Fair Value |
Luis Benedetti Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | €1.0M | €1.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | €5.0M | €1.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | €5.0M | €1.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Gabriel Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | €700K | €1.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Matheus Belém São Paulo Futebol Clube | €800K | €1.0M | +0.14 | Fair Value |
Iván Román Clube Atlético Mineiro | €1.5M | €1.0M | +0.42 | Fair Value |
Tchoca Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | €1.0M | €1.0M | +0.43 | Fair Value |
Abner Esporte Clube Juventude | €1.0M | €1.0M | +0.43 | Fair Value |
Robert Renan Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | €7.5M | €1.0M | +1.00 | Above Market |
Jonathan Jesus Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | €2.5M | €1.0M | +2.57 | Premium |
Gustavo Martins Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €3.0M | €1.0M | +3.29 | Premium |