Best Centre-Backs in the Brasileirão (Oct 2025)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Market Overview: Brasileirão Centre-Backs 2025-26
Our database tracks 104 Brasileirão Centre-Backs in the 2025-26 season, representing 20 clubs with a combined market value of €240.5M. The average market value for Brasileirão Centre-Backs is €2.3M, with the average age at 27.7 years old.
The most valuable centre-back in the Brasileirão is Léo Ortiz, worth €15.0M and playing for CR Flamengo at 29 years old. The top 5 Centre-Backs average €10.8M in market value, including Vitão and Fabrício Bruno.
Age distribution shows the youngest tracked centre-back is Iván Román (19 years, Clube Atlético Mineiro, €1.5M), while the oldest is Gil (38 years, Santos FC, €200K). Research shows Centre-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Our 1-year forecast model projects 45 Centre-Backs (43%) will increase in market value over the next 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Brasileirão market for Centre-Backs remains actively developing with emerging talent in the 2025-26 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Brasileirão
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Brasileirão Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 20 clubs with €240.5M combined value.
Age Distribution: Brasileirão Centre-Backs
The Brasileirão CB market shows 5 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 30+ bracket (37 players, 36% of market). The 27-29 age group holds the most value at €78.2M, averaging €3.6M per player.
Top Centre-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (4 players)
21-23 Years (15 players)
24-26 Years (26 players)
27-29 Years (22 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 11 Centre-Backs (11% of players) control €91.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with high (€15-30m) tier representing 1% of the Brasileirão CB pool.
High (€15-30M)
Mid (€5-15M)
Emerging (<€5M)
Club Distribution: Brasileirão Centre-Backs
Among 20 Brasileirão clubs, CR Flamengo leads with 5 Centre-Backs worth €28.2M (averaging €5.6M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 51% of tracked Centre-Backs.
CR Flamengo (5 Centre-Backs)
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube (5 Centre-Backs)
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (5 Centre-Backs)
Sport Club Internacional (5 Centre-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Léo Ortiz
CR Flamengo • 29 years old
€15.0M
€15.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €14.2M
66.6
Vitão
Sport Club Internacional • 25 years old
€10.4M
€12.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €12.7M
66.0
Fabrício Bruno
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube • 29 years old
€10.0M
€10.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €9.5M
57.9
Santiago Ramos Mingo
Esporte Clube Bahia • 23 years old
€6.9M
€8.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €9.3M
57.3
Léo Pereira
CR Flamengo • 29 years old
€9.0M
€9.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €8.5M
56.6
Carlos Cuesta
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama • 26 years old
€6.1M
€7.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €7.2M
55.6
Robert Renan
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama • 22 years old
€6.5M
€7.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €9.1M
55.4
João Marcelo
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube • 25 years old
€4.8M
€5.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.8M
52.6
Lyanco
Clube Atlético Mineiro • 28 years old
€6.0M
€6.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €5.7M
52.3
Murilo
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras • 28 years old
€6.0M
€6.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €5.7M
52.3
Juan Pablo Freytes
Fluminense Football Club • 25 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.3M
51.5
Nahuel Ferraresi
São Paulo Futebol Clube • 26 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.1M
51.5
Micael
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras • 25 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.3M
51.5
David Ricardo
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas • 22 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €6.1M
50.4
Victor Gabriel
Sport Club Internacional • 21 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €6.3M
49.3
Wagner Leonardo
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense • 26 years old
€3.5M
€4.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.1M
48.7
Gabriel Xavier
Esporte Clube Bahia • 24 years old
€3.5M
€4.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.4M
48.7
Guzmán Rodríguez
Red Bull Bragantino • 25 years old
€3.5M
€4.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.2M
48.7
Alexander Barboza
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas • 30 years old
€5.0M
€5.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €4.7M
48.6
Alan Franco
São Paulo Futebol Clube • 29 years old
€4.5M
€4.5M
+0.0%
Expected: €4.3M
48.0
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Esporte Clube Bahia's Santiago Ramos Mingo at 23 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 8.00×. That means Santiago Ramos Mingo is valued 8.00× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama's Robert Renan, who is 22 years old, with a 7.50× PPVE. Third is Vitão of Sport Club Internacional, who is 25 years old with a 6.00× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 8.00× means the player is worth 700% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Santiago Ramos Mingo Esporte Clube Bahia | 23 | 21-23 | €8.0M | €1.0M | 8.00× |
| #2 | Robert Renan Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | 22 | 21-23 | €7.5M | €1.0M | 7.50× |
| #3 | Vitão Sport Club Internacional | 25 | 24-26 | €12.0M | €2.0M | 6.00× |
| #4 | Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | 21 | 21-23 | €5.0M | €1.0M | 5.00× |
| #5 | David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 22 | 21-23 | €5.0M | €1.0M | 5.00× |
| #6 | Gustavo Martins Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 23 | 21-23 | €3.0M | €1.0M | 3.00× |
| #7 | João Marcelo Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 25 | 24-26 | €5.5M | €2.0M | 2.75× |
| #8 | Jonathan Jesus Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 21 | 21-23 | €2.5M | €1.0M | 2.50× |
| #9 | Juan Pablo Freytes Fluminense Football Club | 25 | 24-26 | €5.0M | €2.0M | 2.50× |
| #10 | Micael Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 25 | 24-26 | €5.0M | €2.0M | 2.50× |
| #11 | Guzmán Rodríguez Red Bull Bragantino | 25 | 24-26 | €4.0M | €2.0M | 2.00× |
| #12 | Gabriel Xavier Esporte Clube Bahia | 24 | 24-26 | €4.0M | €2.0M | 2.00× |
| #13 | Iván Román Clube Atlético Mineiro | 19 | U21 | €1.5M | €1.0M | 1.50× |
| #14 | Alexis Duarte Santos FC | 25 | 24-26 | €3.0M | €2.0M | 1.50× |
| #15 | Gastón Ávila Fortaleza Esporte Clube | 24 | 24-26 | €2.5M | €2.0M | 1.25× |
| #16 | Tchoca Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | 21 | 21-23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | 1.00× |
| #17 | Abner Esporte Clube Juventude | 21 | 21-23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | 1.00× |
| #18 | Luis Benedetti Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 19 | U21 | €1.0M | €1.0M | 1.00× |
| #19 | Lucas Halter Esporte Clube Vitória | 25 | 24-26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | 1.00× |
| #20 | Mateo Gamarra Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 24 | 24-26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | 1.00× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
No RPP data available (requires forecast values in database)
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Clube Atlético Mineiro's Iván Román has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 96.4. That means Iván Román has 36% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras's Luis Benedetti with a 96.4 RAU (36% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Luiz Gustavo of Esporte Clube Bahia with a 96.4 RAU (36% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 96.4 means the upside is 96.4× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Iván Román Clube Atlético Mineiro | €2.0M | €1.8M-2.3M | +36% | 96.4 |
| #2 | Luis Benedetti Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | €1.4M | €1.2M-1.6M | +36% | 96.4 |
| #3 | Luiz Gustavo Esporte Clube Bahia | €409K | €352K-465K | +36% | 96.4 |
| #4 | Viery Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €394K | €339K-448K | +31% | 86.2 |
| #5 | Tchoca Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | €1.3M | €1.1M-1.4M | +26% | 75.2 |
| #6 | Abner Esporte Clube Juventude | €1.3M | €1.1M-1.4M | +26% | 75.2 |
| #7 | Jonathan Jesus Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | €3.2M | €2.7M-3.6M | +26% | 75.2 |
| #8 | Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | €6.3M | €5.4M-7.2M | +26% | 75.2 |
| #9 | David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | €6.1M | €5.3M-6.8M | +21% | 72.7 |
| #10 | Cleiton CR Flamengo | €727K | €640K-814K | +21% | 72.7 |
| #11 | Robert Renan Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | €9.1M | €8.0M-10.2M | +21% | 72.7 |
| #12 | Marcos Paulo Esporte Clube Juventude | €363K | €320K-407K | +21% | 72.7 |
| #13 | Matheus Belém São Paulo Futebol Clube | €969K | €853K-1.1M | +21% | 72.7 |
| #14 | Gabriel Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | €848K | €746K-950K | +21% | 72.7 |
| #15 | Luisão Santos FC | €606K | €533K-678K | +21% | 72.7 |
| #16 | Cipriano Esporte Clube Juventude | €303K | €266K-339K | +21% | 72.7 |
| #17 | Marcos Victor Ceará Sporting Club | €522K | €460K-585K | +16% | 57.7 |
| #18 | Gustavo Martins Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €3.5M | €3.1M-3.9M | +16% | 57.7 |
| #19 | Santiago Ramos Mingo Esporte Clube Bahia | €9.3M | €8.2M-10.4M | +16% | 57.7 |
| #20 | Gustavo Marques Red Bull Bragantino | €1.6M | €1.4M-1.7M | +11% | 41.4 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: centre-back position shows weak depth (avg Z-score: -0.00). RPI: -0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Santos FC's Gil in the 30+ age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-16.6%. That means Alexander Barboza captures 19.0% of total market value while representing only 35.6% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.
In second is Fluminense Football Club's Manoel with a +-16.6% ASC (19.0% value share vs 35.6% player share in 30+ bracket). Third is Robert Arboleda of São Paulo Futebol Clube with a +-16.6% ASC (19.0% value vs 35.6% players in 30+ bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-16.6% ASC means the player captures -16.6% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Gil Santos FC | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #2 | Manoel Fluminense Football Club | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #3 | Robert Arboleda São Paulo Futebol Clube | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #4 | Walter Kannemann Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #5 | Danilo CR Flamengo | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #6 | Pablo CR Flamengo | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #7 | Vitor Hugo Clube Atlético Mineiro | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #8 | Marllon Ceará Sporting Club | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #9 | André Ramalho Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #10 | Rodrigo Ely Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #11 | Wilker Ángel Esporte Clube Juventude | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #12 | Bastos Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #13 | Gustavo Henrique Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #14 | Gustavo Gómez Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #15 | Lucas Villalba Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #16 | Jemerson Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #17 | Emanuel Brítez Fortaleza Esporte Clube | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #18 | Júnior Alonso Clube Atlético Mineiro | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #19 | Fabián Balbuena Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
| #20 | Rafael Thyere Sport Club do Recife | 30+ | 19.0% | 35.6% | -16.6% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 19 immediate targets, 18 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 22 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is €600K. 0 undervalued, 9 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Renzo Sport Club do Recife | €250K | €1.4M | -0.88 | Good Value |
Victor Gabriel Sport Club Internacional | €5.0M | €1.4M | -0.83 | Good Value |
David Ricardo Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | €5.0M | €1.4M | -0.83 | Good Value |
Cipriano Esporte Clube Juventude | €250K | €1.4M | -0.82 | Good Value |
Jemmes Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | €400K | €1.4M | -0.80 | Good Value |
Lyanco Clube Atlético Mineiro | €6.0M | €1.4M | -0.75 | Good Value |
Murilo Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | €6.0M | €1.4M | -0.75 | Good Value |
João Victor Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | €750K | €1.4M | -0.75 | Good Value |
Marcos Paulo Esporte Clube Juventude | €300K | €1.4M | -0.73 | Good Value |
Gabriel Lacerda Ceará Sporting Club | €550K | €1.4M | -0.72 | Good Value |
Zé Marcos Esporte Clube Vitória | €900K | €1.4M | -0.60 | Good Value |
Edu Ribeiro Esporte Clube Vitória | €800K | €1.4M | -0.60 | Good Value |
Eduardo Red Bull Bragantino | €900K | €1.4M | -0.60 | Good Value |
Willian Machado Ceará Sporting Club | €900K | €1.4M | -0.60 | Good Value |
Luiz Gustavo Esporte Clube Bahia | €300K | €1.4M | -0.58 | Good Value |
Viery Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €300K | €1.4M | -0.58 | Good Value |
Clayton Sport Club Internacional | €1.0M | €1.4M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Sabino São Paulo Futebol Clube | €1.0M | €1.4M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Lucas Freitas Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | €1.0M | €1.4M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Alix Red Bull Bragantino | €1.0M | €1.4M | -0.50 | Fair Value |