Best U23 Young Centre-Backs in the Premier League
17 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Index
Best Young Centre-Backs in the Premier League (Jun 2026)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Index
Market Overview: Premier League Young Centre-Backs 2026-27
Our database tracked 17 Premier League Young Centre-Backs in the 2026-27 season, representing 10 clubs with a combined market value of £383.1M. The average market value for Premier League Young Centre-Backs was £22.5M, with the average age at 21 years old.
The most valuable young centre-back in the Premier League was Murillo, worth £55.0M and played for Nottingham Forest at 23 years old. The top 5 Young Centre-Backs averaged £48.0M in market value, including Levi Colwill and Leny Yoro.
Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young centre-back was Giovanni Leoni (19 years, Liverpool FC, £25.0M), while the oldest was Murillo (23 years, Nottingham Forest, £55.0M). Research shows Young Centre-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Historical analysis showed 17 Young Centre-Backs (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Premier League market for Young Centre-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2026-27 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Premier League
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Premier League Young Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 10 clubs with £383.1M combined value.
Age Distribution: Premier League Young Centre-Backs
The Premier League CB market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (10 players, 59% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at £271.0M, averaging £27.1M per player.
Top Young Centre-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (7 players)
21-23 Years (10 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 2 Young Centre-Backs (12% of players) control £105.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with elite (€50m+) tier representing 18% of the Premier League CB pool.
Elite (€50M+)
Premium (€30-50M)
High (€15-30M)
Club Distribution: Premier League Young Centre-Backs
Among 10 Premier League clubs, Manchester United leads with 3 Young Centre-Backs worth £68.0M (averaging £22.7M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 100% of tracked Young Centre-Backs.
Manchester United (3 Young Centre-Backs)
Nottingham Forest (3 Young Centre-Backs)
Chelsea FC (2 Young Centre-Backs)
Everton FC (1 Young Centre-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by Analytical Strength Index. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Murillo
Nottingham Forest • 23 years old
£47.6M
£55.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £61.3M
90.2
Levi Colwill
Chelsea FC • 23 years old
£43.2M
£50.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £55.7M
89.2
Leny Yoro
Manchester United • 20 years old
£47.6M
£55.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £65.6M
88.5
Jarrad Branthwaite
Everton FC • 23 years old
£38.9M
£45.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £50.1M
87.7
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City • 22 years old
£30.3M
£35.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £38.6M
84.1
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal FC • 21 years old
£30.3M
£35.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £40.2M
83.5
Giovanni Leoni
Liverpool FC • 19 years old
£21.6M
£25.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £29.8M
74.5
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace • 19 years old
£17.3M
£20.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £23.8M
71.6
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley FC • 23 years old
£10.4M
£12.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £12.8M
67.7
Chadi Riad
Crystal Palace • 22 years old
£10.4M
£12.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £12.7M
67.1
Aarón Anselmino
Chelsea FC • 21 years old
£10.4M
£12.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £13.2M
66.6
Jair Cunha
Nottingham Forest • 21 years old
£10.4M
£12.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £13.2M
66.4
Ayden Heaven
Manchester United • 19 years old
£8.6M
£10.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £11.9M
59.5
Tyler Fredricson
Manchester United • 21 years old
£2.6M
£3.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £3.3M
42.2
Matai Akinmboni
AFC Bournemouth • 19 years old
£865K
£1.0M
+15.6%
Expected: £1.2M
27.1
Max Alleyne
Manchester City • 20 years old
£692K
£800K
+15.6%
Expected: £917K
25.1
Zach Abbott
Nottingham Forest • 20 years old
£259K
£300K
+15.6%
Expected: £344K
12.7
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Manchester United's Leny Yoro at 20 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 5.50×. That means Leny Yoro is valued 5.50× higher than the median player in the U21 age bracket-representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Liverpool FC's Giovanni Leoni, who is 19 years old, with a 2.50× PPVE. Third is Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace, who is 19 years old with a 2.00× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 5.50× means the player is worth 450% more than typical players their age-making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Leny Yoro Manchester United | 20 | U21 | £55.0M | £10.0M | 5.50× |
| #2 | Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC | 19 | U21 | £25.0M | £10.0M | 2.50× |
| #3 | Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace | 19 | U21 | £20.0M | £10.0M | 2.00× |
| #4 | Murillo Nottingham Forest | 23 | 21-23 | £55.0M | £35.0M | 1.57× |
| #5 | Levi Colwill Chelsea FC | 23 | 21-23 | £50.0M | £35.0M | 1.43× |
| #6 | Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | 23 | 21-23 | £45.0M | £35.0M | 1.29× |
| #7 | Ayden Heaven Manchester United | 19 | U21 | £10.0M | £10.0M | 1.00× |
| #8 | Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC | 21 | 21-23 | £35.0M | £35.0M | 1.00× |
| #9 | Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City | 22 | 21-23 | £35.0M | £35.0M | 1.00× |
| #10 | Aarón Anselmino Chelsea FC | 21 | 21-23 | £12.0M | £35.0M | 0.34× |
| #11 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | 23 | 21-23 | £12.0M | £35.0M | 0.34× |
| #12 | Chadi Riad Crystal Palace | 22 | 21-23 | £12.0M | £35.0M | 0.34× |
| #13 | Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest | 21 | 21-23 | £12.0M | £35.0M | 0.34× |
| #14 | Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth | 19 | U21 | £1.0M | £10.0M | 0.10× |
| #15 | Tyler Fredricson Manchester United | 21 | 21-23 | £3.0M | £35.0M | 0.09× |
| #16 | Max Alleyne Manchester City | 20 | U21 | £800K | £10.0M | 0.08× |
| #17 | Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest | 20 | U21 | £300K | £10.0M | 0.03× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Liverpool FC's Giovanni Leoni at 19 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +40%. That means Giovanni Leoni is projected to appreciate 40% as they reach their peak age in 7 years-representing significant upside before entering their prime.
In second is AFC Bournemouth's Matai Akinmboni, who is 19 years old, with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace, who is 19 years old with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak).
How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 40% RPP means the player is expected to gain 40% value as they enter their prime-making them excellent growth investments.
Recovery Potential by Player
| Rank | Player | Age | Years to Peak | Current | Peak Forecast | RPP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC | 19 | 7 | £25.0M | £41.5M | +40% |
| #2 | Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | £1.0M | £1.7M | +40% |
| #3 | Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace | 19 | 7 | £20.0M | £33.2M | +40% |
| #4 | Ayden Heaven Manchester United | 19 | 7 | £10.0M | £16.6M | +40% |
| #5 | Max Alleyne Manchester City | 20 | 6 | £800K | £1.2M | +35% |
| #6 | Leny Yoro Manchester United | 20 | 6 | £55.0M | £85.0M | +35% |
| #7 | Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest | 20 | 6 | £300K | £464K | +35% |
| #8 | Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC | 21 | 5 | £35.0M | £50.3M | +30% |
| #9 | Aarón Anselmino Chelsea FC | 21 | 5 | £12.0M | £17.2M | +30% |
| #10 | Tyler Fredricson Manchester United | 21 | 5 | £3.0M | £4.3M | +30% |
| #11 | Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest | 21 | 5 | £12.0M | £17.2M | +30% |
| #12 | Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City | 22 | 4 | £35.0M | £46.8M | +25% |
| #13 | Chadi Riad Crystal Palace | 22 | 4 | £12.0M | £16.0M | +25% |
| #14 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | 23 | 3 | £12.0M | £14.9M | +20% |
| #15 | Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | 23 | 3 | £45.0M | £55.9M | +20% |
| #16 | Levi Colwill Chelsea FC | 23 | 3 | £50.0M | £62.2M | +20% |
| #17 | Murillo Nottingham Forest | 23 | 3 | £55.0M | £68.4M | +20% |
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Manchester United's Leny Yoro has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 58.7. That means Leny Yoro has 19% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty-representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is AFC Bournemouth's Matai Akinmboni with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 58.7 means the upside is 58.7× greater than the uncertainty-making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Leny Yoro Manchester United | £65.6M | £56.6M-74.7M | +19% | 58.7 |
| #2 | Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth | £1.2M | £1.0M-1.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #3 | Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace | £23.8M | £20.5M-27.1M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #4 | Ayden Heaven Manchester United | £11.9M | £10.3M-13.6M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #5 | Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC | £29.8M | £25.7M-33.9M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #6 | Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC | £40.2M | £34.6M-45.7M | +15% | 46.6 |
| #7 | Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest | £344K | £297K-391K | +15% | 46.3 |
| #8 | Max Alleyne Manchester City | £917K | £791K-1.0M | +15% | 46.3 |
| #9 | Levi Colwill Chelsea FC | £55.7M | £49.0M-62.4M | +11% | 42.8 |
| #10 | Murillo Nottingham Forest | £61.3M | £53.9M-68.6M | +11% | 42.8 |
| #11 | Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | £50.1M | £44.1M-56.2M | +11% | 42.8 |
| #12 | Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City | £38.6M | £33.9M-43.2M | +10% | 38.4 |
| #13 | Aarón Anselmino Chelsea FC | £13.2M | £11.4M-15.1M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #14 | Tyler Fredricson Manchester United | £3.3M | £2.9M-3.8M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #15 | Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest | £13.2M | £11.4M-15.1M | +10% | 33.7 |
| #16 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | £12.8M | £11.3M-14.4M | +7% | 27.5 |
| #17 | Chadi Riad Crystal Palace | £12.7M | £11.2M-14.2M | +6% | 23.0 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: young centre-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Crystal Palace's Jaydee Canvot in the U21 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-11.9%. That means Leny Yoro captures 29.3% of total market value while representing only 41.2% of players in their age group-showing dominant elite status.
In second is Manchester United's Ayden Heaven with a +-11.9% ASC (29.3% value share vs 41.2% player share in U21 bracket). Third is Giovanni Leoni of Liverpool FC with a +-11.9% ASC (29.3% value vs 41.2% players in U21 bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-11.9% ASC means the player captures -11.9% more market value than their numerical representation-indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace | U21 | 29.3% | 41.2% | -11.9% |
| #2 | Ayden Heaven Manchester United | U21 | 29.3% | 41.2% | -11.9% |
| #3 | Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC | U21 | 29.3% | 41.2% | -11.9% |
| #4 | Max Alleyne Manchester City | U21 | 29.3% | 41.2% | -11.9% |
| #5 | Leny Yoro Manchester United | U21 | 29.3% | 41.2% | -11.9% |
| #6 | Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest | U21 | 29.3% | 41.2% | -11.9% |
| #7 | Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth | U21 | 29.3% | 41.2% | -11.9% |
| #8 | Murillo Nottingham Forest | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #9 | Aarón Anselmino Chelsea FC | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #10 | Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #11 | Levi Colwill Chelsea FC | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #12 | Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #13 | Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #14 | Chadi Riad Crystal Palace | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #15 | Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #16 | Tyler Fredricson Manchester United | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
| #17 | Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest | 21-23 | 70.7% | 58.8% | +11.9% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use:"Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets."Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months."Peak" = pay premium for proven performers."Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 5 immediate targets, 12 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
No players in this category
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is £55.0M. 0 undervalued, 0 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace | £20.0M | £12.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Levi Colwill Chelsea FC | £50.0M | £12.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest | £300K | £12.0M | -0.71 | Good Value |
Murillo Nottingham Forest | £55.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Ayden Heaven Manchester United | £10.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC | £25.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Aarón Anselmino Chelsea FC | £12.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC | £12.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC | £35.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Chadi Riad Crystal Palace | £12.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City | £35.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Max Alleyne Manchester City | £800K | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Tyler Fredricson Manchester United | £3.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Leny Yoro Manchester United | £55.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest | £12.0M | £12.0M | 0.00 | Fair Value |
Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth | £1.0M | £12.0M | +0.29 | Fair Value |
Jarrad Branthwaite Everton FC | £45.0M | £12.0M | +1.00 | Above Market |