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Overvalued XI - Premier League 2025/26

Updated January 2025

Players commanding the highest cost per minute of playing time. Identifies valuation premiums and potential sell-high opportunities.

Overvalued XI

👥

11

++2↗

Overpriced Players

⚠️

546

-+3↘

Declining Value

📉

543

--4%↘

Total Exposure

💰

€0M

--8%↘

Overvalued XI Formation

1
Erling Haaland
Manchester City
54.0 min/€
2
Bukayo Saka
Arsenal FC
98.2 min/€
3
Alexander Isak
Liverpool FC
127.1 min/€
4
Declan Rice
Arsenal FC
90.0 min/€
5
Moisés Caicedo
Chelsea FC
108.0 min/€
6
Florian Wirtz
Liverpool FC
108.0 min/€
7
William Saliba
Arsenal FC
108.0 min/€
8
Gabriel
Arsenal FC
144.0 min/€
9
Nico O'Reilly
Manchester City
154.3 min/€
10
Josko Gvardiol
Manchester City
154.3 min/€
GK
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Manchester City
240.0 min/€

Bottom 15 by Minutes-per-€

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Complete Overvaluation Rankings

Player
Age
Minutes
Goals/90
Assists/90
Minutes-per-€
Momentum 90d
Forecast 12m
Amortization Load
Liquidity Score
Contract Expiry
Foot
Height
James Collins
West Ham United
431,0000.000.00
6666.7
0.0%
45.0%
C
€0.0M
70/100
2027-06-30right188 cm
Sean Maguire
West Ham United
321,0000.000.00
6666.7
0.0%
35.0%
C
€0.0M
70/100
2027-06-30right175 cm
Derrick Williams
Aston Villa
331,0000.000.00
6666.7
0.0%
35.0%
B
€0.0M
70/100
2027-06-30left180 cm

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PlayerAgeMinutesGoals/90Assists/90Minutes-per-€Momentum 90dForecast 12mAmortization LoadLiquidity ScoreContract ExpiryFootHeight

This Month's Movement

The market continues to show significant movement this month, with 0 notable risers and 0 players experiencing value declines. Top performers leads the momentum charts with a 0% increase over the past 90 days, while some players has seen the most significant decline at 0.0%. These movements reflect both performance trends and broader market sentiment shifts.

Value Efficiency Insights

Our Minutes-per-€ analysis reveals a clear efficiency hierarchy among players. The top quartile threshold sits at 2666.7 minutes per euro, with significant variance in amortization implications. Players exceeding this threshold typically offer better long-term value propositions, though contract length and wage structures must be carefully considered. The distribution shows a healthy spread, indicating market efficiency while still presenting opportunities for value identification.

Forecast Outlook

Looking ahead, our 12-month forecast models show 453 players with positive growth projections. Confidence levels vary significantly, with 401 players receiving high-confidence ratings. The resale uplift potential averages 15.0% over three years, suggesting strong long-term investment opportunities for clubs with patient capital.

Risk & Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity scores range from 70 to 70, with 0 players classified as "Gettable Now." Contract expiration dates cluster around 2027-2028, creating a natural transfer window opportunity. Players with shorter contracts show higher liquidity scores but may command premium fees due to reduced leverage.

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