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Overvalued XI - Bundesliga 2025/26

Updated January 2025

Players commanding the highest cost per minute of playing time. Identifies valuation premiums and potential sell-high opportunities.

Overvalued XI

👥

11

++2↗

Overpriced Players

⚠️

539

-+3↘

Declining Value

📉

587

--4%↘

Total Exposure

💰

€0M

--8%↘

Overvalued XI Formation

1
Michael Olise
Bayern Munich
72.0 min/€
2
Yan Diomande
RB Leipzig
120.0 min/€
3
Luis Díaz
Bayern Munich
154.3 min/€
4
Jamal Musiala
Bayern Munich
108.0 min/€
5
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Bayern Munich
120.0 min/€
6
Lennart Karl
Bayern Munich
180.0 min/€
7
Dayot Upamecano
Bayern Munich
154.3 min/€
8
Nico Schlotterbeck
Borussia Dortmund
196.4 min/€
9
Castello Lukeba
RB Leipzig
216.0 min/€
10
Jarell Quansah
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
240.0 min/€
GK
Gregor Kobel
Borussia Dortmund
270.0 min/€

Bottom 15 by Minutes-per-€

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Complete Overvaluation Rankings

Player
Age
Minutes
Goals/90
Assists/90
Minutes-per-€
Momentum 90d
Forecast 12m
Amortization Load
Liquidity Score
Contract Expiry
Foot
Height
Lion Semic
Borussia Dortmund
231,0000.000.00
13333.3
0.0%
10.0%
B
€0.0M
70/100
2027-06-30both169 cm
Jairo Samperio
1.FSV Mainz 05
331,0000.000.00
13333.3
0.0%
35.0%
C
€0.0M
70/100
2027-06-30right172 cm
Fabian Klos
Arminia Bielefeld
381,0000.000.00
13333.3
0.0%
45.0%
C
€0.0M
70/100
2027-06-30right194 cm

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PlayerAgeMinutesGoals/90Assists/90Minutes-per-€Momentum 90dForecast 12mAmortization LoadLiquidity ScoreContract ExpiryFootHeight

This Month's Movement

The market continues to show significant movement this month, with 0 notable risers and 0 players experiencing value declines. Top performers leads the momentum charts with a 0% increase over the past 90 days, while some players has seen the most significant decline at 0.0%. These movements reflect both performance trends and broader market sentiment shifts.

Value Efficiency Insights

Our Minutes-per-€ analysis reveals a clear efficiency hierarchy among players. The top quartile threshold sits at 6666.7 minutes per euro, with significant variance in amortization implications. Players exceeding this threshold typically offer better long-term value propositions, though contract length and wage structures must be carefully considered. The distribution shows a healthy spread, indicating market efficiency while still presenting opportunities for value identification.

Forecast Outlook

Looking ahead, our 12-month forecast models show 413 players with positive growth projections. Confidence levels vary significantly, with 362 players receiving high-confidence ratings. The resale uplift potential averages 15.0% over three years, suggesting strong long-term investment opportunities for clubs with patient capital.

Risk & Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity scores range from 70 to 70, with 0 players classified as "Gettable Now." Contract expiration dates cluster around 2027-2028, creating a natural transfer window opportunity. Players with shorter contracts show higher liquidity scores but may command premium fees due to reduced leverage.

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