Best Centre-Backs in the Premier League (Oct 2026)

285 players tracked across 36 clubs. Updated October 2026.

Ranked by Analytical Strength Index

Market Overview: Premier League Centre-Backs (updated October 2026)

Our database tracks 285 Premier League Centre-Backs as of October 2026, representing 36 clubs with a combined market value of £2.5B. The average market value for Premier League Centre-Backs is £8.9M, with the average age at 29 years old.

The most valuable centre-back in the Premier League is William Saliba, worth £100.0M and playing for Arsenal FC at 25 years old. The top 5 Centre-Backs average £74.0M in market value, including Josko Gvardiol and Marc Guéhi.

Age distribution shows the youngest tracked centre-back is Luka Vuskovic (19 years, Tottenham Hotspur, £60.0M), while the oldest is Younès Kaboul (40 years, Watford FC, £1.5M). Research shows Centre-Backs typically peak at age 28.

Our 1-year forecast model projects 74 Centre-Backs (26%) will increase in market value over the next 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Premier League market for Centre-Backs remains highly competitive with significant transfer activity expected as of October 2026.

Market Intelligence

Explore Market Size by Position in Premier League

Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Premier League Centre-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 36 clubs with £2.5B combined value.

285

Players Tracked

Age Distribution: Premier League Centre-Backs

The Premier League CB market shows 5 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 30+ bracket (111 players, 39% of market). The 24-26 age group holds the most value at £1.0B, averaging £18.4M per player.

U21 years13 players (5%)

£224.5MAvg: £17.3M

Top player: Luka Vuskovic (£60.0M)

21-23 years42 players (15%)

£267.0MAvg: £6.4M

Top player: Levi Colwill (£50.0M)

24-26 years57 players (20%)

£1.0BAvg: £18.4M

Top player: William Saliba (£100.0M)

27-29 years62 players (22%)

£788.2MAvg: £12.7M

Top player: Gabriel (£75.0M)

30+ years111 players (39%)

£201.2MAvg: £1.8M

Top player: Joachim Andersen (£20.0M)

Top Centre-Backs by Age Bracket

U21 Years (13 players)

1. Luka Vuskovic(19yo)

£60.0M

2. Leny Yoro(20yo)

£50.0M

3. Ayden Heaven(20yo)

£30.0M

4. Jaydee Canvot(20yo)

£28.0M

5. Giovanni Leoni(19yo)

£25.0M

21-23 Years (42 players)

1. Levi Colwill(23yo)

£50.0M

2. Abdukodir Khusanov(22yo)

£50.0M

3. Cristhian Mosquera(22yo)

£40.0M

4. Mamadou Sarr(21yo)

£22.0M

5. Chadi Riad(23yo)

£15.0M

24-26 Years (57 players)

1. William Saliba(25yo)

£100.0M

2. Josko Gvardiol(24yo)

£70.0M

3. Marc Guéhi(26yo)

£70.0M

4. Micky van de Ven(25yo)

£50.0M

5. Piero Hincapié(24yo)

£50.0M

27-29 Years (62 players)

1. Gabriel(28yo)

£75.0M

2. Rúben Dias(29yo)

£55.0M

3. Ibrahima Konaté(27yo)

£45.0M

4. Cristian Romero(28yo)

£45.0M

5. Trevoh Chalobah(27yo)

£40.0M

Market Value Distribution

Elite Tier Concentration

54%of market value

The top 29 Centre-Backs (10% of players) control £1.4B

1. William Saliba£100.0M

2. Josko Gvardiol£70.0M

3. Marc Guéhi£70.0M

4. Gabriel£75.0M

5. Rúben Dias£55.0M

Market Tiers

Elite (€50M+)13 players (5%)

£780.0M

Premium (€30-50M)15 players (5%)

£572.0M

High (€15-30M)35 players (12%)

£715.0M

Mid (€5-15M)32 players (11%)

£267.0M

Emerging (<€5M)190 players (67%)

£196.3M

Market structure shows distributed value with elite (€50m+) tier representing 5% of the Premier League CB pool.

Elite (€50M+)

1. William Saliba

Arsenal FC£100.0M

2. Josko Gvardiol

Manchester City£70.0M

3. Marc Guéhi

Manchester City£70.0M

4. Gabriel

Arsenal FC£75.0M

5. Rúben Dias

Manchester City£55.0M

Premium (€30-50M)

1. Malick Thiaw

Newcastle United£45.0M

2. Jan Paul van Hecke

Brighton & Hove Albion£45.0M

3. Ibrahima Konaté

Liverpool FC£45.0M

4. Cristian Romero

Tottenham Hotspur£45.0M

5. Jarrad Branthwaite

Everton FC£40.0M

High (€15-30M)

1. Wesley Fofana

Chelsea FC£28.0M

2. Maxime Estève

Burnley FC£28.0M

3. Calvin Bassey

Fulham FC£28.0M

4. Chris Richards

Crystal Palace£28.0M

5. Nikola Milenković

Nottingham Forest£28.0M

Club Distribution: Premier League Centre-Backs

Among 36 Premier League clubs, Arsenal FC leads with 8 Centre-Backs worth £300.5M (averaging £37.6M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 37% of tracked Centre-Backs.

Arsenal FC

8 players • £300.5M

Manchester City

11 players • £296.6M

Tottenham Hotspur

12 players • £209.6M

Chelsea FC

12 players • £179.7M

Manchester United

11 players • £166.4M

Crystal Palace

11 players • £124.0M

Nottingham Forest

8 players • £114.6M

Liverpool FC

12 players • £113.2M

AFC Bournemouth

8 players • £94.8M

#10

Newcastle United

12 players • £93.3M

Arsenal FC (8 Centre-Backs)

William Saliba(25yo)

£100.0M

Gabriel(28yo)

£75.0M

Piero Hincapié(24yo)

£50.0M

Cristhian Mosquera(22yo)

£40.0M

Jakub Kiwior(26yo)

£35.0M

Manchester City (11 Centre-Backs)

Josko Gvardiol(24yo)

£70.0M

Marc Guéhi(26yo)

£70.0M

Rúben Dias(29yo)

£55.0M

Abdukodir Khusanov(22yo)

£50.0M

Manuel Akanji(31yo)

£17.0M

Tottenham Hotspur (12 Centre-Backs)

Luka Vuskovic(19yo)

£60.0M

Micky van de Ven(25yo)

£50.0M

Cristian Romero(28yo)

£45.0M

Kevin Danso(28yo)

£20.0M

Radu Drăgușin(24yo)

£16.0M

Chelsea FC (12 Centre-Backs)

Levi Colwill(23yo)

£50.0M

Trevoh Chalobah(27yo)

£40.0M

Wesley Fofana(25yo)

£28.0M

Mamadou Sarr(21yo)

£22.0M

Tosin Adarabioyo(29yo)

£16.0M

Scout Tools

Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.

Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.

Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Chelsea FC's Levi Colwill at 23 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 33.33×. That means Levi Colwill is valued 33.33× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket-representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.

In second is Manchester City's Abdukodir Khusanov, who is 22 years old, with a 33.33× PPVE. Third is Cristhian Mosquera of Arsenal FC, who is 22 years old with a 26.67× PPVE.

How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 33.33× means the player is worth 3233% more than typical players their age-making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.

PPVE by Age Bracket

Levi ColwillChelsea FC

21-23 • 23yo33.33x

£50.0M • 3233% above median

Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City

21-23 • 22yo33.33x

£50.0M • 3233% above median

Cristhian MosqueraArsenal FC

21-23 • 22yo26.67x

£40.0M • 2567% above median

Luka VuskovicTottenham Hotspur

U21 • 19yo15.00x

£60.0M • 1400% above median

Mamadou SarrChelsea FC

21-23 • 21yo14.67x

£22.0M • 1367% above median

Leny YoroManchester United

U21 • 20yo12.50x

£50.0M • 1150% above median

Chadi RiadCrystal Palace

21-23 • 23yo10.00x

£15.0M • 900% above median

Jair CunhaNottingham Forest

21-23 • 21yo10.00x

£15.0M • 900% above median

William SalibaArsenal FC

24-26 • 25yo8.33x

£100.0M • 733% above median

Bashir HumphreysBurnley FC

21-23 • 23yo8.00x

£12.0M • 700% above median

Ayden HeavenManchester United

U21 • 20yo7.50x

£30.0M • 650% above median

Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace

U21 • 20yo7.00x

£28.0M • 600% above median

Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC

U21 • 19yo6.25x

£25.0M • 525% above median

Josko GvardiolManchester City

24-26 • 24yo5.83x

£70.0M • 483% above median

Max AlleyneManchester City

21-23 • 21yo5.33x

£8.0M • 433% above median

Rank	Player	Age	Bracket	Current Value	Bracket Median	PPVE
#1	Levi Colwill Chelsea FC	23	21-23	£50.0M	£1.5M	33.33x
#2	Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City	22	21-23	£50.0M	£1.5M	33.33x
#3	Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal FC	22	21-23	£40.0M	£1.5M	26.67x
#4	Luka Vuskovic Tottenham Hotspur	19	U21	£60.0M	£4.0M	15.00x
#5	Mamadou Sarr Chelsea FC	21	21-23	£22.0M	£1.5M	14.67x
#6	Leny Yoro Manchester United	20	U21	£50.0M	£4.0M	12.50x
#7	Chadi Riad Crystal Palace	23	21-23	£15.0M	£1.5M	10.00x
#8	Jair Cunha Nottingham Forest	21	21-23	£15.0M	£1.5M	10.00x
#9	William Saliba Arsenal FC	25	24-26	£100.0M	£12.0M	8.33x
#10	Bashir Humphreys Burnley FC	23	21-23	£12.0M	£1.5M	8.00x
#11	Ayden Heaven Manchester United	20	U21	£30.0M	£4.0M	7.50x
#12	Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace	20	U21	£28.0M	£4.0M	7.00x
#13	Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC	19	U21	£25.0M	£4.0M	6.25x
#14	Josko Gvardiol Manchester City	24	24-26	£70.0M	£12.0M	5.83x
#15	Max Alleyne Manchester City	21	21-23	£8.0M	£1.5M	5.33x
#16	Veljko Milosavljevic AFC Bournemouth	19	U21	£20.0M	£4.0M	5.00x
#17	Ashley Phillips Tottenham Hotspur	21	21-23	£7.0M	£1.5M	4.67x
#18	Murillo Nottingham Forest	24	24-26	£50.0M	£12.0M	4.17x
#19	Micky van de Ven Tottenham Hotspur	25	24-26	£50.0M	£12.0M	4.17x
#20	Piero Hincapié Arsenal FC	24	24-26	£50.0M	£12.0M	4.17x

Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.

Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

West Ham United's Ezra Mayers at 19 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +48%. That means Ezra Mayers is projected to appreciate 48% as they reach their peak age in 7 years-representing significant upside before entering their prime.

In second is Liverpool FC's Amara Nallo, who is 19 years old, with a +48% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Luka Vuskovic of Tottenham Hotspur, who is 19 years old with a +48% RPP (7 years to peak).

How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 48% RPP means the player is expected to gain 48% value as they enter their prime-making them excellent growth investments.

Recovery Potential by Player

Ezra MayersWest Ham United

7yr to peak+48%

£2.0M → £3.8M

Amara NalloLiverpool FC

7yr to peak+48%

£1.0M → £1.9M

Luka VuskovicTottenham Hotspur

7yr to peak+48%

£60.0M → £115.3M

Joachim Kayi SandaSouthampton FC

7yr to peak+48%

£1.2M → £2.3M

Veljko MilosavljevicAFC Bournemouth

7yr to peak+48%

£20.0M → £38.4M

Matai AkinmboniAFC Bournemouth

7yr to peak+48%

£1.0M → £1.9M

Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC

7yr to peak+48%

£25.0M → £48.0M

Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace

6yr to peak+44%

£28.0M → £50.0M

Ayden HeavenManchester United

6yr to peak+44%

£30.0M → £53.6M

Leny YoroManchester United

6yr to peak+44%

£50.0M → £89.4M

Dylan LawlorCardiff City

6yr to peak+44%

£1.8M → £3.2M

Zach AbbottNottingham Forest

6yr to peak+44%

£4.0M → £7.1M

Harrison Murray-CampbellChelsea FC

6yr to peak+44%

£500K → £894K

Tyler BindonSheffield United

5yr to peak+40%

£3.5M → £5.8M

Billy GeeChelsea FC

5yr to peak+40%

£250K → £415K

Rank	Player	Age	Years to Peak	Current	Peak Forecast	RPP %
#1	Ezra Mayers West Ham United	19	7	£2.0M	£3.8M	+48%
#2	Amara Nallo Liverpool FC	19	7	£1.0M	£1.9M	+48%
#3	Luka Vuskovic Tottenham Hotspur	19	7	£60.0M	£115.3M	+48%
#4	Joachim Kayi Sanda Southampton FC	19	7	£1.2M	£2.3M	+48%
#5	Veljko Milosavljevic AFC Bournemouth	19	7	£20.0M	£38.4M	+48%
#6	Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth	19	7	£1.0M	£1.9M	+48%
#7	Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC	19	7	£25.0M	£48.0M	+48%
#8	Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace	20	6	£28.0M	£50.0M	+44%
#9	Ayden Heaven Manchester United	20	6	£30.0M	£53.6M	+44%
#10	Leny Yoro Manchester United	20	6	£50.0M	£89.4M	+44%
#11	Dylan Lawlor Cardiff City	20	6	£1.8M	£3.2M	+44%
#12	Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest	20	6	£4.0M	£7.1M	+44%
#13	Harrison Murray-Campbell Chelsea FC	20	6	£500K	£894K	+44%
#14	Tyler Bindon Sheffield United	21	5	£3.5M	£5.8M	+40%
#15	Billy Gee Chelsea FC	21	5	£250K	£415K	+40%
#16	Max Alleyne Manchester City	21	5	£8.0M	£13.3M	+40%
#17	Kaelan Casey West Ham United	21	5	£1.0M	£1.7M	+40%
#18	Ashley Phillips Tottenham Hotspur	21	5	£7.0M	£11.6M	+40%
#19	Josh Feeney Aston Villa	21	5	£500K	£831K	+40%
#20	Mamadou Sarr Chelsea FC	21	5	£22.0M	£36.6M	+40%

Unlock Return-to-Peak analysis for Premier League Centre-Backs.

Upgrade to Fan

Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.

Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Liverpool FC's Giovanni Leoni has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 40.4. That means Giovanni Leoni has 10% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty-representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.

In second is AFC Bournemouth's Veljko Milosavljevic with a 40.4 RAU (10% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Ezra Mayers of West Ham United with a 40.4 RAU (10% upside, 0% uncertainty).

How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 40.4 means the upside is 40.4× greater than the uncertainty-making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.

Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player

Giovanni LeoniLiverpool FC

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £24.4M - £30.7M

Veljko MilosavljevicAFC Bournemouth

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £19.5M - £24.6M

Ezra MayersWest Ham United

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £2.0M - £2.5M

Amara NalloLiverpool FC

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £976K - £1.2M

Zach AbbottNottingham Forest

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £3.9M - £4.9M

Harrison Murray-CampbellChelsea FC

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £488K - £615K

Matai AkinmboniAFC Bournemouth

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £976K - £1.2M

Joachim Kayi SandaSouthampton FC

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £1.2M - £1.5M

Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £27.3M - £34.4M

Dylan LawlorCardiff City

↑10% / ±0%40.4

Range: £1.8M - £2.2M

Luka VuskovicTottenham Hotspur

↑6% / ±0%22.9

Range: £56.1M - £70.6M

Leny YoroManchester United

↑6% / ±0%22.9

Range: £46.7M - £58.9M

Malick ThiawNewcastle United

↑3% / ±0%13.2

Range: £41.6M - £50.8M

Jan Paul van HeckeBrighton & Hove Albion

↑3% / ±0%13.2

Range: £41.6M - £50.8M

Maxence LacroixCrystal Palace

↑3% / ±0%13.2

Range: £46.2M - £56.5M

Rank	Player	Expected	Range	Upside %	RAU
#1	Giovanni Leoni Liverpool FC	£27.6M	£24.4M-30.7M	+10%	40.4
#2	Veljko Milosavljevic AFC Bournemouth	£22.1M	£19.5M-24.6M	+10%	40.4
#3	Ezra Mayers West Ham United	£2.2M	£2.0M-2.5M	+10%	40.4
#4	Amara Nallo Liverpool FC	£1.1M	£976K-1.2M	+10%	40.4
#5	Zach Abbott Nottingham Forest	£4.4M	£3.9M-4.9M	+10%	40.4
#6	Harrison Murray-Campbell Chelsea FC	£551K	£488K-615K	+10%	40.4
#7	Matai Akinmboni AFC Bournemouth	£1.1M	£976K-1.2M	+10%	40.4
#8	Joachim Kayi Sanda Southampton FC	£1.3M	£1.2M-1.5M	+10%	40.4
#9	Jaydee Canvot Crystal Palace	£30.9M	£27.3M-34.4M	+10%	40.4
#10	Dylan Lawlor Cardiff City	£2.0M	£1.8M-2.2M	+10%	40.4
#11	Luka Vuskovic Tottenham Hotspur	£63.3M	£56.1M-70.6M	+6%	22.9
#12	Leny Yoro Manchester United	£52.8M	£46.7M-58.9M	+6%	22.9
#13	Malick Thiaw Newcastle United	£46.2M	£41.6M-50.8M	+3%	13.2
#14	Jan Paul van Hecke Brighton & Hove Albion	£46.2M	£41.6M-50.8M	+3%	13.2
#15	Maxence Lacroix Crystal Palace	£51.4M	£46.2M-56.5M	+3%	13.2
#16	Micky van de Ven Tottenham Hotspur	£51.4M	£46.2M-56.5M	+3%	13.2
#17	Sven Botman Newcastle United	£35.9M	£32.4M-39.5M	+3%	13.2
#18	Marc Guéhi Manchester City	£71.9M	£64.7M-79.1M	+3%	13.2
#19	Jakub Kiwior Arsenal FC	£35.9M	£32.4M-39.5M	+3%	13.2
#20	Ben Cabango Swansea City	£9.2M	£8.3M-10.1M	+2%	11.8

Unlock Risk-Adjusted Upside for Premier League Centre-Backs.

Upgrade to Fan

Roster Pressure Index (RPI)

Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.

What This Shows

Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.

How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.

Current market: centre-back position shows weak depth (avg Z-score: -0.00). RPI: -0.00.

Position Depth Analysis

285

Total Players

-0.00

Avg Z-Score

-0.00

RPI Score

Weak DepthStrong Depth

-3.00+3.0

Highest Z-Scores

William Saliba+5.92

Gabriel+4.29

Josko Gvardiol+3.97

Marc Guéhi+3.97

Luka Vuskovic+3.32

Lowest Z-Scores

Darnell Johnson-0.57

Kyle Jameson-0.57

Scott Harrison-0.57

Richard Nartey-0.57

Niall Mason-0.57

Unlock Roster Pressure Index for Premier League Centre-Backs.

Upgrade to Fan

Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.

Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Huddersfield Town's Michael Hefele in the 30+ age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-31.0%. That means Michael Hefele captures 8.0% of total market value while representing only 38.9% of players in their age group-showing dominant elite status.

In second is Stoke City's Dionatan Teixeira with a +-31.0% ASC (8.0% value share vs 38.9% player share in 30+ bracket). Third is Kevin Long of Burnley FC with a +-31.0% ASC (8.0% value vs 38.9% players in 30+ bracket).

How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-31.0% ASC means the player captures -31.0% more market value than their numerical representation-indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.