Best Left-Backs in the Brasileirão (Dec 2025)

Ranked by Analytical Strength Score

Market Overview: Brasileirão Left-Backs 2022-23

Our database tracked 48 Brasileirão Left-Backs in the 2022-23 season, representing 20 clubs with a combined market value of €138.6M. The average market value for Brasileirão Left-Backs was €2.9M, with the average age at 27.3 years old.

The most valuable left-back in the Brasileirão was Joaquín Piquerez, worth €15.0M and played for Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras at 27 years old. The top 5 Left-Backs averaged €9.0M in market value, including Guilherme Arana and Luciano Juba.

Age distribution showed the youngest tracked left-back was Vinicius Lira (18 years, Santos FC, €700K), while the oldest was Reinaldo (36 years, Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP), €400K). Research shows Left-Backs typically peak at age 27.

Historical analysis showed 16 Left-Backs (33%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Brasileirão market for Left-Backs remained actively developing with emerging talent in the 2022-23 season.

💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.

Market Intelligence

Explore Market Size by Position in Brasileirão

Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Brasileirão Left-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 20 clubs with €138.6M combined value.

Players Tracked

By League

Premier League La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1

By Position

GK CB LB RB CDM

More Positions

CM CAM LW RW ST

By Season

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23

Age Distribution: Brasileirão Left-Backs

The Brasileirão LB market shows 5 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 27-29 bracket (14 players, 29% of market). The 27-29 age group holds the most value at €58.3M, averaging €4.2M per player.

U21 years3 players (6%)

€4.2MAvg: €1.4M

Top player: Souza (€3.0M)

21-23 years8 players (17%)

€24.8MAvg: €3.1M

Top player: Cuiabano (€7.0M)

24-26 years9 players (19%)

€35.8MAvg: €4.0M

Top player: Luciano Juba (€8.0M)

27-29 years14 players (29%)

€58.3MAvg: €4.2M

Top player: Joaquín Piquerez (€15.0M)

30+ years14 players (29%)

€15.5MAvg: €1.1M

Top player: Alex Telles (€4.0M)

Top Left-Backs by Age Bracket

U21 Years (3 players)

1. Souza(19yo)

€3.0M

2. Vinicius Lira(18yo)

€700K

3. Maykon Jesus(20yo)

€500K

21-23 Years (8 players)

1. Cuiabano(22yo)

€7.0M

2. Kaiki(22yo)

€6.0M

3. Jefté(21yo)

€4.0M

4. Vanderlan(23yo)

€3.5M

5. Patryck(22yo)

€1.5M

24-26 Years (9 players)

1. Luciano Juba(26yo)

€8.0M

2. Alexandro Bernabei(25yo)

€7.0M

3. Lucas Piton(25yo)

€7.0M

4. Luan Cândido(24yo)

€4.0M

5. Matheus Bahia(26yo)

€2.5M

27-29 Years (14 players)

1. Joaquín Piquerez(27yo)

€15.0M

2. Guilherme Arana(28yo)

€8.0M

3. Ayrton Lucas(28yo)

€6.0M

4. Juninho Capixaba(28yo)

€6.0M

5. Matías Viña(28yo)

€5.0M

Market Value Distribution

Elite Tier Concentration

32%of market value

The top 5 Left-Backs (10% of players) control €45.0M

1. Joaquín Piquerez€15.0M

2. Guilherme Arana€8.0M

3. Luciano Juba€8.0M

4. Cuiabano€7.0M

5. Alexandro Bernabei€7.0M

Market Tiers

High (€15-30M)1 players (2%)

€15.0M

Mid (€5-15M)9 players (19%)

€60.0M

Emerging (<€5M)38 players (79%)

€63.6M

Market structure shows distributed value with high (€15-30m) tier representing 2% of the Brasileirão LB pool.

High (€15-30M)

1. Joaquín Piquerez

Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras€15.0M

Mid (€5-15M)

1. Guilherme Arana

Clube Atlético Mineiro€8.0M

2. Luciano Juba

Esporte Clube Bahia€8.0M

3. Cuiabano

Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas€7.0M

4. Alexandro Bernabei

Sport Club Internacional€7.0M

5. Lucas Piton

Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama€7.0M

Emerging (<€5M)

1. Luan Cândido

Sport Club do Recife€4.0M

2. Alex Telles

Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas€4.0M

3. Marlon

Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense€4.0M

4. Jefté

Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras€4.0M

5. Vanderlan

Red Bull Bragantino€3.5M

Club Distribution: Brasileirão Left-Backs

Among 20 Brasileirão clubs, Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras leads with 2 Left-Backs worth €19.0M (averaging €9.5M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 48% of tracked Left-Backs.

Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras

2 players • €19.0M

CR Flamengo

3 players • €12.8M

Esporte Clube Bahia

2 players • €11.5M

Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas

3 players • €11.3M

Clube Atlético Mineiro

2 players • €10.5M

Red Bull Bragantino

3 players • €10.3M

Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

3 players • €8.6M

Sport Club Internacional

1 players • €7.0M

São Paulo Futebol Clube

3 players • €7.0M

#10

Cruzeiro Esporte Clube

1 players • €6.0M

Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (2 Left-Backs)

Joaquín Piquerez(27yo)

€15.0M

Jefté(21yo)

€4.0M

CR Flamengo (3 Left-Backs)

Ayrton Lucas(28yo)

€6.0M

Matías Viña(28yo)

€5.0M

Alex Sandro(34yo)

€1.8M

Esporte Clube Bahia (2 Left-Backs)

Luciano Juba(26yo)

€8.0M

Iago(28yo)

€3.5M

Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas (3 Left-Backs)

Cuiabano(22yo)

€7.0M

Alex Telles(32yo)

€4.0M

Marçal(36yo)

€300K

Player Rankings

Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.

Joaquín Piquerez

Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras • 27 years old

€15.9M

€15.0M

-5.4%

€11.6M€14.7M

Expected: €13.1M

68.8

Guilherme Arana

Clube Atlético Mineiro • 28 years old

€10.3M

€8.0M

-22.6%

€6.2M€7.8M

Expected: €7.0M

57.5

Luciano Juba

Esporte Clube Bahia • 26 years old

€6.9M

€8.0M

+15.6%

€7.2M€9.2M

Expected: €8.2M

57.3

Cuiabano

Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas • 22 years old

€6.1M

€7.0M

+15.6%

€6.5M€8.3M

Expected: €7.4M

56.4

Alexandro Bernabei

Sport Club Internacional • 25 years old

€6.1M

€7.0M

+15.6%

€6.0M€7.7M

Expected: €6.8M

56.1

Lucas Piton

Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama • 25 years old

€6.1M

€7.0M

+15.6%

€6.0M€7.7M

Expected: €6.8M

56.1

Kaiki

Cruzeiro Esporte Clube • 22 years old

€5.2M

€6.0M

+15.6%

€5.6M€7.1M

Expected: €6.4M

54.5

Ayrton Lucas

CR Flamengo • 28 years old

€7.7M

€6.0M

-22.6%

€4.6M€5.9M

Expected: €5.3M

53.9

Juninho Capixaba

Red Bull Bragantino • 28 years old

€7.7M

€6.0M

-22.6%

€4.6M€5.9M

Expected: €5.3M

53.9

#10

Matías Viña

CR Flamengo • 28 years old

€6.5M

€5.0M

-22.6%

€3.9M€4.9M

Expected: €4.4M

51.7

#11

Luan Cândido

Sport Club do Recife • 24 years old

€3.5M

€4.0M

+15.6%

€3.6M€4.6M

Expected: €4.1M

49.6

#12

Alex Telles

Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas • 32 years old

€5.2M

€4.0M

-22.6%

€3.1M€3.9M

Expected: €3.5M

49.3

#13

Marlon

Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense • 28 years old

€5.2M

€4.0M

-22.6%

€3.1M€3.9M

Expected: €3.5M

48.9

#14

Jefté

Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras • 21 years old

€3.5M

€4.0M

+15.6%

€3.8M€5.0M

Expected: €4.4M

48.9

#15

Vanderlan

Red Bull Bragantino • 23 years old

€3.0M

€3.5M

+15.6%

€3.3M€4.2M

Expected: €3.7M

48.4

#16

Iago

Esporte Clube Bahia • 28 years old

€4.5M

€3.5M

-22.6%

€2.7M€3.4M

Expected: €3.1M

47.2

#17

Wendell

São Paulo Futebol Clube • 32 years old

€3.9M

€3.0M

-22.6%

€2.3M€2.9M

Expected: €2.6M

42.2

#18

Souza

Santos FC • 19 years old

€2.6M

€3.0M

+15.6%

€3.1M€4.1M

Expected: €3.6M

40.5

#19

Enzo Díaz

São Paulo Futebol Clube • 30 years old

€3.2M

€2.5M

-22.6%

€1.8M€2.3M

Expected: €2.1M

39.7

#20

Caio Paulista

Clube Atlético Mineiro • 27 years old

€2.6M

€2.5M

-5.4%

€1.9M€2.5M

Expected: €2.2M

39.3

Showing 1-20 of 48

Scout Tools

Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.

Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.

Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Santos FC's Souza at 19 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 4.29×. That means Souza is valued 4.29× higher than the median player in the U21 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.

In second is Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas's Cuiabano, who is 22 years old, with a 2.00× PPVE. Third is Lucas Piton of Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama, who is 25 years old with a 1.75× PPVE.

How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 4.29× means the player is worth 329% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.

PPVE by Age Bracket

SouzaSantos FC

U21 • 19yo4.29×

€3.0M • 329% above median

CuiabanoBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas

21-23 • 22yo2.00×

€7.0M • 100% above median

Lucas PitonClube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

24-26 • 25yo1.75×

€7.0M • 75% above median

Alexandro BernabeiSport Club Internacional

24-26 • 25yo1.75×

€7.0M • 75% above median

KaikiCruzeiro Esporte Clube

21-23 • 22yo1.71×

€6.0M • 71% above median

JeftéSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras

21-23 • 21yo1.14×

€4.0M • 14% above median

Vinicius LiraSantos FC

U21 • 18yo1.00×

€700K • 0% above median

Luan CândidoSport Club do Recife

24-26 • 24yo1.00×

€4.0M • 0% above median

VanderlanRed Bull Bragantino

21-23 • 23yo1.00×

€3.5M • 0% above median

Maykon JesusEsporte Clube Vitória

U21 • 20yo0.71×

€500K • -29% above median

RamonEsporte Clube Vitória

24-26 • 24yo0.50×

€2.0M • -50% above median

Lucas EstevesGrêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense

24-26 • 25yo0.45×

€1.8M • -55% above median

PatryckSão Paulo Futebol Clube

21-23 • 22yo0.43×

€1.5M • -57% above median

WeversonFortaleza Esporte Clube

24-26 • 25yo0.38×

€1.5M • -63% above median

RiquelmeClube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

21-23 • 23yo0.34×

€1.2M • -66% above median

Rank	Player	Age	Bracket	Current Value	Bracket Median	PPVE
#1	Souza Santos FC	19	U21	€3.0M	€700K	4.29×
#2	Cuiabano Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas	22	21-23	€7.0M	€3.5M	2.00×
#3	Lucas Piton Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama	25	24-26	€7.0M	€4.0M	1.75×
#4	Alexandro Bernabei Sport Club Internacional	25	24-26	€7.0M	€4.0M	1.75×
#5	Kaiki Cruzeiro Esporte Clube	22	21-23	€6.0M	€3.5M	1.71×
#6	Jefté Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras	21	21-23	€4.0M	€3.5M	1.14×
#7	Vinicius Lira Santos FC	18	U21	€700K	€700K	1.00×
#8	Luan Cândido Sport Club do Recife	24	24-26	€4.0M	€4.0M	1.00×
#9	Vanderlan Red Bull Bragantino	23	21-23	€3.5M	€3.5M	1.00×
#10	Maykon Jesus Esporte Clube Vitória	20	U21	€500K	€700K	0.71×
#11	Ramon Esporte Clube Vitória	24	24-26	€2.0M	€4.0M	0.50×
#12	Lucas Esteves Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense	25	24-26	€1.8M	€4.0M	0.45×
#13	Patryck São Paulo Futebol Clube	22	21-23	€1.5M	€3.5M	0.43×
#14	Weverson Fortaleza Esporte Clube	25	24-26	€1.5M	€4.0M	0.38×
#15	Riquelme Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama	23	21-23	€1.2M	€3.5M	0.34×
#16	Kevyson Sport Club do Recife	21	21-23	€800K	€3.5M	0.23×
#17	Guilherme Lopes Red Bull Bragantino	23	21-23	€800K	€3.5M	0.23×

Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.

Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Santos FC's Vinicius Lira at 18 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +44%. That means Vinicius Lira is projected to appreciate 44% as they reach their peak age in 8 years—representing significant upside before entering their prime.

In second is Santos FC's Souza, who is 19 years old, with a +40% RPP (7 years to peak). Third is Maykon Jesus of Esporte Clube Vitória, who is 20 years old with a +35% RPP (6 years to peak).

How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 44% RPP means the player is expected to gain 44% value as they enter their prime—making them excellent growth investments.

Recovery Potential by Player

Vinicius LiraSantos FC

8yr to peak+44%

€700K → €1.3M

SouzaSantos FC

7yr to peak+40%

€3.0M → €5.0M

Maykon JesusEsporte Clube Vitória

6yr to peak+35%

€500K → €773K

JeftéSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras

5yr to peak+30%

€4.0M → €5.7M

KevysonSport Club do Recife

5yr to peak+30%

€800K → €1.1M

CuiabanoBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas

4yr to peak+25%

€7.0M → €9.4M

PatryckSão Paulo Futebol Clube

4yr to peak+25%

€1.5M → €2.0M

KaikiCruzeiro Esporte Clube

4yr to peak+25%

€6.0M → €8.0M

RiquelmeClube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

3yr to peak+20%

€1.2M → €1.5M

Guilherme LopesRed Bull Bragantino

3yr to peak+20%

€800K → €995K

VanderlanRed Bull Bragantino

3yr to peak+20%

€3.5M → €4.4M

Luan CândidoSport Club do Recife

2yr to peak+14%

€4.0M → €4.6M

RamonEsporte Clube Vitória

2yr to peak+14%

€2.0M → €2.3M

WeversonFortaleza Esporte Clube

1yr to peak+7%

€1.5M → €1.6M

Lucas PitonClube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

1yr to peak+7%

€7.0M → €7.5M

Rank	Player	Age	Years to Peak	Current	Peak Forecast	RPP %
#1	Vinicius Lira Santos FC	18	8	€700K	€1.3M	+44%
#2	Souza Santos FC	19	7	€3.0M	€5.0M	+40%
#3	Maykon Jesus Esporte Clube Vitória	20	6	€500K	€773K	+35%
#4	Jefté Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras	21	5	€4.0M	€5.7M	+30%
#5	Kevyson Sport Club do Recife	21	5	€800K	€1.1M	+30%
#6	Cuiabano Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas	22	4	€7.0M	€9.4M	+25%
#7	Patryck São Paulo Futebol Clube	22	4	€1.5M	€2.0M	+25%
#8	Kaiki Cruzeiro Esporte Clube	22	4	€6.0M	€8.0M	+25%
#9	Riquelme Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama	23	3	€1.2M	€1.5M	+20%
#10	Guilherme Lopes Red Bull Bragantino	23	3	€800K	€995K	+20%
#11	Vanderlan Red Bull Bragantino	23	3	€3.5M	€4.4M	+20%
#12	Luan Cândido Sport Club do Recife	24	2	€4.0M	€4.6M	+14%
#13	Ramon Esporte Clube Vitória	24	2	€2.0M	€2.3M	+14%
#14	Weverson Fortaleza Esporte Clube	25	1	€1.5M	€1.6M	+7%
#15	Lucas Piton Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama	25	1	€7.0M	€7.5M	+7%
#16	Alexandro Bernabei Sport Club Internacional	25	1	€7.0M	€7.5M	+7%
#17	Lucas Esteves Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense	25	1	€1.8M	€1.9M	+7%

Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.

Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Santos FC's Vinicius Lira has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 68.9. That means Vinicius Lira has 23% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.

In second is Santos FC's Souza with a 58.0 RAU (19% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Maykon Jesus of Esporte Clube Vitória with a 46.3 RAU (15% upside, 0% uncertainty).

How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 68.9 means the upside is 68.9× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.

Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player

Vinicius LiraSantos FC

↑23% / ±0%68.9

Range: €745K - €984K

SouzaSantos FC

↑19% / ±0%58.0

Range: €3.1M - €4.1M

Maykon JesusEsporte Clube Vitória

↑15% / ±0%46.3

Range: €494K - €652K

JeftéSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras

↑10% / ±0%33.7

Range: €3.8M - €5.0M

KevysonSport Club do Recife

↑10% / ±0%33.7

Range: €760K - €1.0M

RiquelmeClube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

↑7% / ±0%27.5

Range: €1.1M - €1.4M

VanderlanRed Bull Bragantino

↑7% / ±0%27.5

Range: €3.3M - €4.2M

Guilherme LopesRed Bull Bragantino

↑7% / ±0%27.5

Range: €754K - €959K

CuiabanoBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas

↑6% / ±0%23.0

Range: €6.5M - €8.3M

PatryckSão Paulo Futebol Clube

↑6% / ±0%23.0

Range: €1.4M - €1.8M

KaikiCruzeiro Esporte Clube

↑6% / ±0%23.0

Range: €5.6M - €7.1M

Matheus BahiaCeará Sporting Club

↑3% / ±0%12.0

Range: €2.3M - €2.9M

Matheus BiduSport Club Corinthians Paulista

↑3% / ±0%12.0

Range: €1.8M - €2.3M

Luciano JubaEsporte Clube Bahia

↑3% / ±0%12.0

Range: €7.2M - €9.2M

Luan CândidoSport Club do Recife

↑2% / ±0%9.8

Range: €3.6M - €4.6M

Rank	Player	Expected	Range	Upside %	RAU
#1	Vinicius Lira Santos FC	€864K	€745K-984K	+23%	68.9
#2	Souza Santos FC	€3.6M	€3.1M-4.1M	+19%	58.0
#3	Maykon Jesus Esporte Clube Vitória	€573K	€494K-652K	+15%	46.3
#4	Jefté Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras	€4.4M	€3.8M-5.0M	+10%	33.7
#5	Kevyson Sport Club do Recife	€882K	€760K-1.0M	+10%	33.7
#6	Riquelme Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama	€1.3M	€1.1M-1.4M	+7%	27.5
#7	Vanderlan Red Bull Bragantino	€3.7M	€3.3M-4.2M	+7%	27.5
#8	Guilherme Lopes Red Bull Bragantino	€857K	€754K-959K	+7%	27.5
#9	Cuiabano Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas	€7.4M	€6.5M-8.3M	+6%	23.0
#10	Patryck São Paulo Futebol Clube	€1.6M	€1.4M-1.8M	+6%	23.0
#11	Kaiki Cruzeiro Esporte Clube	€6.4M	€5.6M-7.1M	+6%	23.0
#12	Matheus Bahia Ceará Sporting Club	€2.6M	€2.3M-2.9M	+3%	12.0
#13	Matheus Bidu Sport Club Corinthians Paulista	€2.1M	€1.8M-2.3M	+3%	12.0
#14	Luciano Juba Esporte Clube Bahia	€8.2M	€7.2M-9.2M	+3%	12.0
#15	Luan Cândido Sport Club do Recife	€4.1M	€3.6M-4.6M	+2%	9.8
#16	Ramon Esporte Clube Vitória	€2.0M	€1.8M-2.3M	+2%	9.8

Roster Pressure Index (RPI)

Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.

What This Shows

Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.

How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.

Current market: left-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.

Position Depth Analysis

Total Players

0.00

Avg Z-Score

0.00

RPI Score

Weak DepthStrong Depth

-3.00+3.0

Highest Z-Scores

Joaquín Piquerez+4.22

Guilherme Arana+1.78

Luciano Juba+1.78

Cuiabano+1.43

Alexandro Bernabei+1.43

Lowest Z-Scores

Alan Ruschel-0.95

Bruno Pacheco-0.90

Marçal-0.90

Diogo Barbosa-0.88

Igor Cariús-0.87

Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.

Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas's Marçal in the 30+ age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-18.0%. That means Alex Telles captures 11.2% of total market value while representing only 29.2% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.

In second is Fortaleza Esporte Clube's Diogo Barbosa with a +-18.0% ASC (11.2% value share vs 29.2% player share in 30+ bracket). Third is Renê of Fluminense Football Club with a +-18.0% ASC (11.2% value vs 29.2% players in 30+ bracket).

How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-18.0% ASC means the player captures -18.0% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.