Best U23 Young Left-Backs in the Scottish Premiership
203 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Best Young Left-Backs in the Scottish Premiership (Apr 2026)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Market Overview: Scottish Premiership Young Left-Backs 2022-23
Our database tracked 202 Scottish Premiership Young Left-Backs in the 2022-23 season, representing 185 clubs with a combined market value of €937.7M. The average market value for Scottish Premiership Young Left-Backs was €4.6M, with the average age at 21.8 years old.
The most valuable young left-back in the Scottish Premiership was Nuno Mendes, worth €70.0M and played for Paris Saint-Germain at 23 years old. The top 5 Young Left-Backs averaged €53.0M in market value, including Alejandro Balde and Álvaro Carreras.
Age distribution showed the youngest tracked young left-back was Honest Ahanor (18 years, Atalanta BC, €20.0M), while the oldest was Nuno Mendes (23 years, Paris Saint-Germain, €70.0M). Research shows Young Left-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Historical analysis showed 202 Young Left-Backs (100%) increased in market value over the following 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, then-current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Scottish Premiership market for Young Left-Backs remained highly competitive with significant transfer activity in the 2022-23 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Scottish Premiership
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Scottish Premiership Young Left-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 185 clubs with €937.7M combined value.
Age Distribution: Scottish Premiership Young Left-Backs
The Scottish Premiership LB market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (168 players, 83% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at €777.6M, averaging €4.6M per player.
Top Young Left-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (34 players)
21-23 Years (168 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 21 Young Left-Backs (10% of players) control €597.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with elite (€50m+) tier representing 1% of the Scottish Premiership LB pool.
Elite (€50M+)
Premium (€30-50M)
High (€15-30M)
Club Distribution: Scottish Premiership Young Left-Backs
Among 185 Scottish Premiership clubs, Arsenal FC leads with 2 Young Left-Backs worth €80.0M (averaging €40.0M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 6% of tracked Young Left-Backs.
Arsenal FC (2 Young Left-Backs)
Paris Saint-Germain (1 Young Left-Backs)
FC Barcelona (1 Young Left-Backs)
Real Madrid (1 Young Left-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Nuno Mendes
Paris Saint-Germain • 23 years old
€60.5M
€70.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €78.0M
93.4
Alejandro Balde
FC Barcelona • 22 years old
€51.9M
€60.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €66.1M
90.8
Álvaro Carreras
Real Madrid • 23 years old
€43.2M
€50.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €55.7M
89.2
Milos Kerkez
Liverpool FC • 22 years old
€38.9M
€45.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €49.6M
87.3
Destiny Udogie
Tottenham Hotspur • 23 years old
€34.6M
€40.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €44.6M
86.2
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Arsenal FC • 19 years old
€38.9M
€45.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €55.8M
85.4
Riccardo Calafiori
Arsenal FC • 23 years old
€30.3M
€35.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €39.0M
84.7
Jorrel Hato
Chelsea FC • 20 years old
€30.3M
€35.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €41.8M
82.9
Lewis Hall
Newcastle United • 21 years old
€27.7M
€32.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €36.7M
82.3
Patrick Dorgu
Manchester United • 21 years old
€21.6M
€25.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €27.6M
75.7
Nathaniel Brown
Eintracht Frankfurt • 22 years old
€19.0M
€22.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €23.3M
74.6
Nico O'Reilly
Manchester City • 21 years old
€15.6M
€18.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €19.8M
71.7
Matteo Ruggeri
Atlético de Madrid • 23 years old
€13.8M
€16.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €17.1M
71.2
Honest Ahanor
Atalanta BC • 18 years old
€17.3M
€20.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €24.7M
71.0
Quentin Merlin
Stade Rennais FC • 23 years old
€13.0M
€15.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €16.1M
70.4
Victor Kristiansen
Leicester City • 23 years old
€13.0M
€15.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €16.1M
70.1
Joaquin Seys
Club Brugge KV • 21 years old
€13.0M
€15.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €16.5M
68.9
Archie Brown
Fenerbahce • 23 years old
€8.6M
€10.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €10.7M
61.5
Samuel Iling-Junior
West Bromwich Albion • 22 years old
€8.6M
€10.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €10.6M
60.9
Tom Rothe
1.FC Union Berlin • 21 years old
€8.6M
€10.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €11.0M
60.6
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Paris Saint-Germain's Nuno Mendes at 23 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 70.00×. That means Nuno Mendes is valued 70.00× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is FC Barcelona's Alejandro Balde, who is 22 years old, with a 60.00× PPVE. Third is Myles Lewis-Skelly of Arsenal FC, who is 19 years old with a 56.25× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 70.00× means the player is worth 6900% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
| Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Nuno Mendes Paris Saint-Germain | 23 | 21-23 | €70.0M | €1.0M | 70.00× |
| #2 | Alejandro Balde FC Barcelona | 22 | 21-23 | €60.0M | €1.0M | 60.00× |
| #3 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | 19 | U21 | €45.0M | €800K | 56.25× |
| #4 | Álvaro Carreras Real Madrid | 23 | 21-23 | €50.0M | €1.0M | 50.00× |
| #5 | Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC | 22 | 21-23 | €45.0M | €1.0M | 45.00× |
| #6 | Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | 20 | U21 | €35.0M | €800K | 43.75× |
| #7 | Destiny Udogie Tottenham Hotspur | 23 | 21-23 | €40.0M | €1.0M | 40.00× |
| #8 | Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC | 23 | 21-23 | €35.0M | €1.0M | 35.00× |
| #9 | Lewis Hall Newcastle United | 21 | 21-23 | €32.0M | €1.0M | 32.00× |
| #10 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | 18 | U21 | €20.0M | €800K | 25.00× |
| #11 | Patrick Dorgu Manchester United | 21 | 21-23 | €25.0M | €1.0M | 25.00× |
| #12 | Nathaniel Brown Eintracht Frankfurt | 22 | 21-23 | €22.0M | €1.0M | 22.00× |
| #13 | Nico O'Reilly Manchester City | 21 | 21-23 | €18.0M | €1.0M | 18.00× |
| #14 | Matteo Ruggeri Atlético de Madrid | 23 | 21-23 | €16.0M | €1.0M | 16.00× |
| #15 | Quentin Merlin Stade Rennais FC | 23 | 21-23 | €15.0M | €1.0M | 15.00× |
| #16 | Victor Kristiansen Leicester City | 23 | 21-23 | €15.0M | €1.0M | 15.00× |
| #17 | Joaquin Seys Club Brugge KV | 21 | 21-23 | €15.0M | €1.0M | 15.00× |
| #18 | Niccolò Fortini ACF Fiorentina | 20 | U21 | €8.5M | €800K | 10.63× |
| #19 | Archie Brown Fenerbahce | 23 | 21-23 | €10.0M | €1.0M | 10.00× |
| #20 | Samuel Iling-Junior West Bromwich Albion | 22 | 21-23 | €10.0M | €1.0M | 10.00× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
Understanding Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Metalist Kharkiv's Kyrylo Digtyar at 18 years old has the highest Return-to-Peak Potential at +44%. That means Kyrylo Digtyar is projected to appreciate 44% as they reach their peak age in 8 years—representing significant upside before entering their prime.
In second is Santos FC's Vinicius Lira, who is 18 years old, with a +44% RPP (8 years to peak). Third is Honest Ahanor of Atalanta BC, who is 18 years old with a +44% RPP (8 years to peak).
How RPP is calculated: RPP compares a player's current market value to their forecasted peak value, calculating the percentage appreciation potential. A 44% RPP means the player is expected to gain 44% value as they enter their prime—making them excellent growth investments.
Recovery Potential by Player
| Rank | Player | Age | Years to Peak | Current | Peak Forecast | RPP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Kyrylo Digtyar Metalist Kharkiv | 18 | 8 | €800K | €1.4M | +44% |
| #2 | Vinicius Lira Santos FC | 18 | 8 | €700K | €1.3M | +44% |
| #3 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | 18 | 8 | €20.0M | €35.7M | +44% |
| #4 | Diego León Manchester United | 19 | 7 | €4.0M | €6.6M | +40% |
| #5 | Juan Morán CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 19 | 7 | €700K | €1.2M | +40% |
| #6 | Almugera Kabar Borussia Dortmund | 19 | 7 | €1.0M | €1.7M | +40% |
| #7 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | 19 | 7 | €45.0M | €74.8M | +40% |
| #8 | Ishé Samuels-Smith Swansea City | 19 | 7 | €700K | €1.2M | +40% |
| #9 | Juho Lähteenmäki FC Nordsjaelland | 19 | 7 | €1.0M | €1.7M | +40% |
| #10 | Adam Aznou Everton FC | 19 | 7 | €4.0M | €6.6M | +40% |
| #11 | Nahuel Leivas Montevideo City Torque | 19 | 7 | €400K | €665K | +40% |
| #12 | Harry Amass Sheffield Wednesday | 19 | 7 | €5.0M | €8.3M | +40% |
| #13 | Souza Santos FC | 19 | 7 | €3.0M | €5.0M | +40% |
| #14 | Alexandro Maidana Club Guaraní | 20 | 6 | €350K | €541K | +35% |
| #15 | Davide Bartesaghi AC Milan | 20 | 6 | €3.0M | €4.6M | +35% |
| #16 | Mats Rots Twente Enschede FC | 20 | 6 | €3.0M | €4.6M | +35% |
| #17 | Maykon Jesus Esporte Clube Vitória | 20 | 6 | €500K | €773K | +35% |
| #18 | Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson FC Fredericia | 20 | 6 | €450K | €696K | +35% |
| #19 | Chissumba FC Alverca | 20 | 6 | €5.0M | €7.7M | +35% |
| #20 | Emran Soglo Zulte Waregem | 20 | 6 | €500K | €773K | +35% |
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Arsenal FC's Myles Lewis-Skelly has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 70.0. That means Myles Lewis-Skelly has 24% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Atalanta BC's Honest Ahanor with a 68.9 RAU (23% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Kyrylo Digtyar of Metalist Kharkiv with a 68.9 RAU (23% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 70.0 means the upside is 70.0× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
| Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | €55.8M | €48.1M-63.5M | +24% | 70.0 |
| #2 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | €24.7M | €21.3M-28.1M | +23% | 68.9 |
| #3 | Kyrylo Digtyar Metalist Kharkiv | €988K | €852K-1.1M | +23% | 68.9 |
| #4 | Vinicius Lira Santos FC | €864K | €745K-984K | +23% | 68.9 |
| #5 | Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | €41.8M | €36.0M-47.5M | +19% | 58.7 |
| #6 | Juan Morán CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | €833K | €718K-949K | +19% | 58.0 |
| #7 | Ishé Samuels-Smith Swansea City | €833K | €718K-949K | +19% | 58.0 |
| #8 | Diego León Manchester United | €4.8M | €4.1M-5.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #9 | Almugera Kabar Borussia Dortmund | €1.2M | €1.0M-1.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #10 | Juho Lähteenmäki FC Nordsjaelland | €1.2M | €1.0M-1.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #11 | Adam Aznou Everton FC | €4.8M | €4.1M-5.4M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #12 | Harry Amass Sheffield Wednesday | €6.0M | €5.1M-6.8M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #13 | Souza Santos FC | €3.6M | €3.1M-4.1M | +19% | 58.0 |
| #14 | Nahuel Leivas Montevideo City Torque | €476K | €411K-542K | +19% | 58.0 |
| #15 | Lewis Hall Newcastle United | €36.7M | €31.7M-41.8M | +15% | 46.6 |
| #16 | Maykon Jesus Esporte Clube Vitória | €573K | €494K-652K | +15% | 46.3 |
| #17 | Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson FC Fredericia | €516K | €445K-587K | +15% | 46.3 |
| #18 | Emran Soglo Zulte Waregem | €573K | €494K-652K | +15% | 46.3 |
| #19 | Oliver Scarles West Ham United | €9.2M | €7.9M-10.4M | +15% | 46.3 |
| #20 | Niccolò Fortini ACF Fiorentina | €9.7M | €8.4M-11.1M | +15% | 46.3 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: young left-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Sheffield Wednesday's Harry Amass in the U21 age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +0.2%. That means Myles Lewis-Skelly captures 17.1% of total market value while representing only 16.8% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.
In second is Olimpia Asunción's Tobías Morinigo with a +0.2% ASC (17.1% value share vs 16.8% player share in U21 bracket). Third is Justin Bourgault of Stade Brestois 29 with a +0.2% ASC (17.1% value vs 16.8% players in U21 bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +0.2% ASC means the player captures 0.2% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
| Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Harry Amass Sheffield Wednesday | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #2 | Tobías Morinigo Olimpia Asunción | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #3 | Justin Bourgault Stade Brestois 29 | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #4 | Kyrylo Digtyar Metalist Kharkiv | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #5 | Honest Ahanor Atalanta BC | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #6 | Souza Santos FC | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #7 | Joe Johnson Luton Town | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #8 | Lucas Velásquez Huachipato FC | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #9 | Mahamadou Nagida Stade Rennais FC | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #10 | Cristian Vedia Club Independiente Petrolero | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #11 | Maykon Jesus Esporte Clube Vitória | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #12 | Vinicius Lira Santos FC | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #13 | Diego León Manchester United | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #14 | Juan Morán CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #15 | Alexandro Maidana Club Guaraní | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #16 | Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson FC Fredericia | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #17 | Almugera Kabar Borussia Dortmund | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #18 | Davide Bartesaghi AC Milan | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #19 | Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal FC | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
| #20 | Chissumba FC Alverca | U21 | 17.1% | 16.8% | +0.2% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 14 immediate targets, 188 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 0 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
No players in this category
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is €500K. 0 undervalued, 25 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
| Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jorrel Hato Chelsea FC | €35.0M | €1.0M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Harry Amass Sheffield Wednesday | €5.0M | €1.0M | -0.86 | Good Value |
Chissumba FC Alverca | €5.0M | €1.0M | -0.86 | Good Value |
Lewis Hall Newcastle United | €32.0M | €1.0M | -0.80 | Good Value |
Josh Doig US Sassuolo | €5.0M | €1.0M | -0.67 | Good Value |
Mathias Løvik Parma Calcio 1913 | €5.0M | €1.0M | -0.67 | Good Value |
Nazinho Cercle Brugge | €5.0M | €1.0M | -0.67 | Good Value |
Jordan Bos Feyenoord Rotterdam | €5.0M | €1.0M | -0.67 | Good Value |
Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC | €35.0M | €1.0M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Mario Mitaj Al-Ittihad Club | €5.5M | €1.0M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Álvaro Carreras Real Madrid | €50.0M | €1.0M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Rodrigo Gelado Athletic Club | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
Augusto Dabó Beroe Stara Zagora | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
Caio Gomes Brusque Futebol Clube (SC) | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
Lorenzo Youndje KAS Eupen | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
Hélder Sá Rio Ave FC U23 | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
James Furlong Hull City | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
Sebastián Cavero Universidad César Vallejo | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
Doron Leidner Hapoel Tel Aviv | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |
Owen Dodgson Stockport County | €300K | €1.0M | -0.45 | Fair Value |