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Under 23 · Bundesliga · updated October 2026

Best U23 Young Right-Backs in the Bundesliga

15 players aged 23 or under · ranked by Analytical Strength Index

Best Young Right-Backs in the Bundesliga (Oct 2026)

15 players tracked across 12 clubs. Updated October 2026.

Ranked by Analytical Strength Index

Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.

🔍
Age: 18–40
€0M–€200M
Showing 15 of 15

Player Rankings

Ranked by Analytical Strength Index. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.

#1
A

Arthur

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 23 years old

59.1

ASI

Current Value

€8.0M

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

€7.0M - €8.5M

#2
J

Joe Scally

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 23 years old

57.4

ASI

Current Value

€7.0M

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

€6.1M - €7.5M

#3
K

Kosta Nedeljkovic

RB Leipzig · 20 years old

54.6

ASI

Current Value

€6.0M

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

€5.9M - €7.4M

#4
E

Elias Baum

Eintracht Frankfurt · 20 years old

49.4

ASI

Current Value

€4.0M

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

€3.9M - €4.9M

#5
W

William Mikelbrencis

Hamburger SV · 22 years old

42.8

ASI

Current Value

€3.0M

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

€2.7M - €3.3M

#6
J

Jan Bürger

VfL Wolfsburg · 19 years old

41.9

ASI

Current Value

€3.0M

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

#7
L

Luca Erlein

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · 19 years old

31.3

ASI

Current Value

€1.3M

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

#8
K

Kacper Koscierski

VfL Bochum · 19 years old

23.5

ASI

Current Value

€700K

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

#9
F

Fin Stevens

FC St. Pauli · 23 years old

20.4

ASI

Current Value

€500K

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

#10
S

Simon Walde

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 21 years old

19.8

ASI

Current Value

€500K

% Change

+15.6%

1yr Forecast Range

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Market Overview: Bundesliga Young Right-Backs (updated October 2026)

Our database tracks 15 Bundesliga Young Right-Backs as of October 2026, representing 12 clubs with a combined market value of €35.5M. The average market value for Bundesliga Young Right-Backs is €2.4M, with the average age at 21 years old.

The most valuable young right-back in the Bundesliga is Arthur, worth €8.0M and playing for Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 23 years old. The top 5 Young Right-Backs average €5.6M in market value, including Joe Scally and Kosta Nedeljkovic.

Age distribution shows the youngest tracked young right-back is Jan Bürger (19 years, VfL Wolfsburg, €3.0M), while the oldest is Arthur (23 years, Bayer 04 Leverkusen, €8.0M). Research shows Young Right-Backs typically peak at age 28.

Our 1-year forecast model projects 9 Young Right-Backs (60%) will increase in market value over the next 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Bundesliga market for Young Right-Backs remains actively developing with emerging talent as of October 2026.

Market Intelligence

Explore Market Size by Position in Bundesliga

Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Bundesliga Young Right-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 12 clubs with €35.5M combined value.

15
Players Tracked

Age Distribution: Bundesliga Young Right-Backs

The Bundesliga RB market shows 2 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 21-23 bracket (9 players, 60% of market). The 21-23 age group holds the most value at €20.0M, averaging €2.2M per player.

U21 years6 players (40%)
€15.5MAvg: €2.6M
Top player: Kosta Nedeljkovic (€6.0M)
21-23 years9 players (60%)
€20.0MAvg: €2.2M
Top player: Arthur (€8.0M)

Top Young Right-Backs by Age Bracket

U21 Years (6 players)

1. Kosta Nedeljkovic(20yo)
€6.0M
2. Elias Baum(20yo)
€4.0M
3. Jan Bürger(19yo)
€3.0M
4. Luca Erlein(19yo)
€1.3M
5. Kacper Koscierski(19yo)
€700K

21-23 Years (9 players)

1. Arthur(23yo)
€8.0M
2. Joe Scally(23yo)
€7.0M
3. William Mikelbrencis(22yo)
€3.0M
4. Fin Stevens(23yo)
€500K
5. Simon Walde(21yo)
€500K

Market Value Distribution

Elite Tier Concentration

42%of market value

The top 2 Young Right-Backs (13% of players) control €15.0M

1. Arthur€8.0M
2. Joe Scally€7.0M

Market Tiers

Mid (€5-15M)3 players (20%)
€21.0M
Emerging (<€5M)12 players (80%)
€14.5M

Market structure shows distributed value with mid (€5-15m) tier representing 20% of the Bundesliga RB pool.

Mid (€5-15M)

1. Arthur
Bayer 04 Leverkusen€8.0M
2. Joe Scally
Borussia Mönchengladbach€7.0M
3. Kosta Nedeljkovic
RB Leipzig€6.0M

Emerging (<€5M)

1. Elias Baum
Eintracht Frankfurt€4.0M
2. William Mikelbrencis
Hamburger SV€3.0M
3. Jan Bürger
VfL Wolfsburg€3.0M
4. Luca Erlein
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€1.3M
5. Kacper Koscierski
VfL Bochum€700K

Club Distribution: Bundesliga Young Right-Backs

Among 12 Bundesliga clubs, Bayer 04 Leverkusen leads with 1 Young Right-Backs worth €8.0M (averaging €8.0M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 80% of tracked Young Right-Backs.

#1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 players • €8.0M
#2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 players • €7.5M
#3
RB Leipzig
1 players • €6.0M
#4
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 players • €4.0M
#5
Hamburger SV
1 players • €3.0M
#6
VfL Wolfsburg
1 players • €3.0M
#7
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1 players • €1.3M
#8
VfL Bochum
1 players • €700K
#9
VfB Stuttgart
2 players • €650K
#10
FC St. Pauli
1 players • €500K

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1 Young Right-Backs)

Arthur(23yo)
€8.0M

Borussia Mönchengladbach (2 Young Right-Backs)

Joe Scally(23yo)
€7.0M
Simon Walde(21yo)
€500K

RB Leipzig (1 Young Right-Backs)

Kosta Nedeljkovic(20yo)
€6.0M

Eintracht Frankfurt (1 Young Right-Backs)

Elias Baum(20yo)
€4.0M

Scout Tools

Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.

Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.

Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's Arthur at 23 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 16.00×. That means Arthur is valued 16.00× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket-representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.

In second is Borussia Mönchengladbach's Joe Scally, who is 23 years old, with a 14.00× PPVE. Third is William Mikelbrencis of Hamburger SV, who is 22 years old with a 6.00× PPVE.

How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 16.00× means the player is worth 1500% more than typical players their age-making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.

PPVE by Age Bracket

ArthurBayer 04 Leverkusen
21-23 • 23yo16.00x
€8.0M • 1500% above median
Joe ScallyBorussia Mönchengladbach
21-23 • 23yo14.00x
€7.0M • 1300% above median
William MikelbrencisHamburger SV
21-23 • 22yo6.00x
€3.0M • 500% above median
Kosta NedeljkovicRB Leipzig
U21 • 20yo2.00x
€6.0M • 100% above median
Elias BaumEintracht Frankfurt
U21 • 20yo1.33x
€4.0M • 33% above median
Jan BürgerVfL Wolfsburg
U21 • 19yo1.00x
€3.0M • 0% above median
Fin StevensFC St. Pauli
21-23 • 23yo1.00x
€500K • 0% above median
Simon WaldeBorussia Mönchengladbach
21-23 • 21yo1.00x
€500K • 0% above median
Julian EitschbergerHertha BSC
21-23 • 22yo0.70x
€350K • -30% above median
Lion SemicBorussia Dortmund
21-23 • 23yo0.60x
€300K • -40% above median
Luca ErleinTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
U21 • 19yo0.43x
€1.3M • -57% above median
Niklas JessenBorussia Dortmund
21-23 • 23yo0.40x
€200K • -60% above median
Mattis HoppeVfB Stuttgart
21-23 • 23yo0.30x
€150K • -70% above median
Kacper KoscierskiVfL Bochum
U21 • 19yo0.23x
€700K • -77% above median
Christopher OlivierVfB Stuttgart
U21 • 20yo0.17x
€500K • -83% above median
RankPlayerAgeBracketCurrent ValueBracket MedianPPVE
#1
Arthur
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2321-23€8.0M€500K16.00x
#2
Joe Scally
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2321-23€7.0M€500K14.00x
#3
William Mikelbrencis
Hamburger SV
2221-23€3.0M€500K6.00x
#4
Kosta Nedeljkovic
RB Leipzig
20U21€6.0M€3.0M2.00x
#5
Elias Baum
Eintracht Frankfurt
20U21€4.0M€3.0M1.33x
#6
Jan Bürger
VfL Wolfsburg
19U21€3.0M€3.0M1.00x
#7
Fin Stevens
FC St. Pauli
2321-23€500K€500K1.00x
#8
Simon Walde
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2121-23€500K€500K1.00x
#9
Julian Eitschberger
Hertha BSC
2221-23€350K€500K0.70x
#10
Lion Semic
Borussia Dortmund
2321-23€300K€500K0.60x
#11
Luca Erlein
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
19U21€1.3M€3.0M0.43x
#12
Niklas Jessen
Borussia Dortmund
2321-23€200K€500K0.40x
#13
Mattis Hoppe
VfB Stuttgart
2321-23€150K€500K0.30x
#14
Kacper Koscierski
VfL Bochum
19U21€700K€3.0M0.23x
#15
Christopher Olivier
VfB Stuttgart
20U21€500K€3.0M0.17x

Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)

Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.

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Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)

Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.

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Roster Pressure Index (RPI)

Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.

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Age-Share Concentration (ASC)

Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.

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Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map

Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.

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Price vs Peer Z-Score

IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.

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How We Rank Bundesliga Young Right-Backs

Our Analytical Strength Index is calibrated specifically for young right-backs, using position-specific age curves and playing time benchmarks. The model draws from academic research on player valuation (Franck & Nüesch, 2012) and age-performance curves (Dendir, 2016).

Scoring Components for RB

Historical Achievement Index (35%)

Peak career market value for Bundesliga young right-backs, reflecting proven track record and reputation. Uses log-scale to account for exponential value distribution at elite level.

Current Performance Proxy (30%)

Present market value for Bundesliga young right-backs, capturing recent form, injuries, and current performance level. Weighted to reflect age-related depreciation patterns.

Playing Time Utilization (18%)

Defenders with 2,500+ minutes score highest, indicating regular starting role and sustained performance.

Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%)

Defenders peak at 28 with 5.0%/year decline rate. Pre-peak players score higher on development trajectory.

Competition Level Adjustment (3%)

Bundesliga receives Top 5 European league premium for competitive intensity and quality of opposition.

Performance Expectations Multiplier (2%)

Players at clubs with Champions League pedigree face higher performance standards and tactical complexity, contributing to development and market validation.

RB Performance Benchmarks

Peak Age: 28 years (balance of physicality and tactical intelligence)

Decline Rate: Widening steps, not a flat rate: about -5% at 29, -10% at 30, steeper from 31 (positioning offsets pace loss)

Optimal Minutes: 2,500 per season (regular starter with rotation management)

1-Year Market Value Forecast

Probabilistic model combining age-curve depreciation, value momentum, and playing time factors:

• Age Factor: Compounding and banded around a peak of 28: +25%/year through age 21, +15% at 22-23, +10% up to the year before peak, then -5%, -10% and steeper with each later band. Growth is damped above €30M.

• Value Trajectory: Near career peak (>95% of peak value): +3% momentum | Moderate decline: -5%

• Playing Time Factor: Regular starters (+2%), Squad rotation (-2%)

• Forecast Range: ±10% confidence interval

Research Foundation

• Dendir (2016): Age-performance curves for young right-backs

• Carmichael et al. (2011): Player depreciation in top leagues

• Franck & Nüesch (2012): Hedonic pricing models for talent valuation

• Szymanski, S. (2015). Money and Soccer: A Soccernomics Guide

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about Bundesliga Young Right-Backs, updated October 2026

Who are the most valuable Young Right-Backs in the Bundesliga right now?

The most valuable young right-back in the Bundesliga today is Arthur, who is worth €8.0M and plays for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. The second most valuable is Joe Scally (€7.0M, Borussia Mönchengladbach), followed by Kosta Nedeljkovic (€6.0M, RB Leipzig). Our database tracks 15 Bundesliga Young Right-Backs with comprehensive market valuations updated in October 2026.

How are Bundesliga Young Right-Backs ranked?

Bundesliga Young Right-Backs are ranked by our proprietary Analytical Strength Index, which is specifically calibrated for Young Right-Backs. The score combines six factors: Historical Achievement Index (35%) measuring peak career value, Current Performance Proxy (30%) reflecting recent market signals, Playing Time Utilization (18%) tracking minutes played, Age-Adjusted Performance Curve (12%) using position-specific peak ages, League Quality Coefficient (3%) for Bundesliga competition level, and Club Tier Multiplier (2%) accounting for club prestige. This methodology is grounded in academic research including work by Dendir (2016) on age-performance curves and Franck & Nüesch (2012) on hedonic pricing models.

What age do Young Right-Backs peak?

Defenders typically peak at age 28. In our valuation model, value then falls in widening steps rather than at a flat annual rate: around -5% at 29, -10% at 30, and -25% or more from 31. Research shows defenders balance physical attributes with tactical intelligence, allowing them to maintain high performance through their late 20s. The optimal playing time for peak performance is around 2,500 minutes per season.

How much does it cost to sign a top young right-back from the Bundesliga?

Transfer fees for Bundesliga Young Right-Backs vary significantly based on market value, contract length, and club bargaining position. For the top-ranked young right-back Arthur (market value: €8.0M), estimated transfer fees would range from €6.4M to €11.2M depending on contract situation. Players with longer contracts (3+ years) command premium fees (1.2-1.4× market value), while those in the final year may be available for 0.8-1.1× market value. Our fee estimates are derived from historical transfer patterns and contract-clock modifiers validated against actual Bundesliga transactions.

What is the value forecast for Bundesliga Young Right-Backs?

Our 1-year forecast model projects market value changes for Bundesliga Young Right-Backs based on age-curve depreciation, historical trajectory, and playing time adjustments. The forecast combines three factors: age-based appreciation/depreciation (pre-peak players compound gains toward their position's peak age, up to +25% a year through age 21 and easing as they approach it, while post-peak players fall in widening steps), market trajectory momentum (comparing current to peak value), and playing time confidence (regular starters receive +2% boost). Forecast confidence intervals account for position-specific volatility-defenders have ±10% volatility. Young players (under 22) and older players (over 32) receive 1.15× uncertainty multipliers due to unpredictable development or decline patterns.

Where does the Bundesliga young right-back data come from?

Our Bundesliga young right-back data is sourced from Football Analytics AI's proprietary Transfer Intelligence Database, which aggregates market valuations, player statistics, contract information, and transfer histories from multiple industry sources. Market values are updated regularly based on player performance, injuries, contract negotiations, and transfer market activity. We enhance this data with our proprietary analytics including position-specific scoring algorithms, age-performance curves calibrated to academic research, and statistical forecast models. All data is validated against official Bundesliga sources and updated monthly (last update October 2026) to ensure accuracy for recruitment and investment decisions.