Best Right-Backs in the Brasileirão (Oct 2025)
Ranked by Analytical Strength Score
Market Overview: Brasileirão Right-Backs 2025-26
Our database tracks 50 Brasileirão Right-Backs in the 2025-26 season, representing 21 clubs with a combined market value of €110.8M. The average market value for Brasileirão Right-Backs is €2.2M, with the average age at 27.9 years old.
The most valuable right-back in the Brasileirão is Agustín Giay, worth €11.0M and playing for Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras at 21 years old. The top 5 Right-Backs average €7.4M in market value, including Emerson Royal and Natanael.
Age distribution shows the youngest tracked right-back is JP Chermont (19 years, Santos FC, €3.0M), while the oldest is Marcos Rocha (36 years, Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense, €300K). Research shows Right-Backs typically peak at age 27.
Our 1-year forecast model projects 21 Right-Backs (42%) will increase in market value over the next 12 months based on age-curve trajectories, current performance trends, and playing time analysis. The Brasileirão market for Right-Backs remains actively developing with emerging talent in the 2025-26 season.
💡 Use the search bar below to find specific players, or apply filters to narrow results by club, age range, or market value. Click the chart icon next to any player to view their historical value trajectory and forecast.
Explore Market Size by Position in Brasileirão
Interactive bubble chart showing predicted 2-year growth vs current age for all Brasileirão Right-Backs. Identify undervalued assets and track market momentum across 21 clubs with €110.8M combined value.
Age Distribution: Brasileirão Right-Backs
The Brasileirão RB market shows 5 distinct age segments, with the largest cohort in the 30+ bracket (20 players, 40% of market). The 24-26 age group holds the most value at €42.6M, averaging €3.6M per player.
Top Right-Backs by Age Bracket
U21 Years (3 players)
21-23 Years (6 players)
24-26 Years (12 players)
27-29 Years (9 players)
Market Value Distribution
Elite Tier Concentration
The top 5 Right-Backs (10% of players) control €37.0M
Market Tiers
Market structure shows distributed value with mid (€5-15m) tier representing 14% of the Brasileirão RB pool.
Mid (€5-15M)
Emerging (<€5M)
Club Distribution: Brasileirão Right-Backs
Among 21 Brasileirão clubs, Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras leads with 2 Right-Backs worth €16.0M (averaging €8.0M per player). The top 10 clubs account for 48% of tracked Right-Backs.
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (2 Right-Backs)
CR Flamengo (2 Right-Backs)
Clube Atlético Mineiro (2 Right-Backs)
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas (2 Right-Backs)
Player Rankings
Ranked by APE Strength Score. Click any player to view full profile, or click the chart icon to see value history.
Agustín Giay
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras • 21 years old
€9.5M
€11.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €13.9M
62.7
Emerson Royal
CR Flamengo • 26 years old
€7.8M
€9.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €9.3M
58.8
Natanael
Clube Atlético Mineiro • 23 years old
€5.2M
€6.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €7.0M
53.7
Vitinho
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas • 26 years old
€5.2M
€6.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €6.2M
53.7
Bruno Gomes
Sport Club Internacional • 24 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.6M
51.5
Matheuzinho
Sport Club Corinthians Paulista • 25 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.3M
51.5
Khellven
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras • 24 years old
€4.3M
€5.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €5.6M
51.5
William
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube • 30 years old
€4.5M
€4.5M
+0.0%
Expected: €4.3M
47.3
Eros Mancuso
Fortaleza Esporte Clube • 26 years old
€3.0M
€3.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €3.6M
47.0
Paulo Henrique
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama • 29 years old
€3.5M
€3.5M
+0.0%
Expected: €3.3M
44.9
José Andrés Hurtado
Red Bull Bragantino • 23 years old
€2.6M
€3.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €3.5M
41.5
Agustín Sant'Anna
Red Bull Bragantino • 28 years old
€3.0M
€3.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €2.8M
40.1
Braian Aguirre
Sport Club Internacional • 25 years old
€2.2M
€2.5M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.6M
39.2
João Pedro
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense • 28 years old
€2.5M
€2.5M
+0.0%
Expected: €2.4M
37.8
JP Chermont
Santos FC • 19 years old
€2.6M
€3.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €4.1M
37.2
Claudinho
Esporte Clube Vitória • 25 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.1M
36.5
João Lucas
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense • 27 years old
€2.0M
€2.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €1.9M
35.7
Guga
Fluminense Football Club • 27 years old
€2.0M
€2.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €1.9M
35.7
Mateo Ponte
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas • 22 years old
€1.7M
€2.0M
+15.6%
Expected: €2.4M
35.4
Igor Vinícius
Santos FC • 28 years old
€2.0M
€2.0M
+0.0%
Expected: €1.9M
35.0
Scout Tools
Advanced analytics for scouting and recruitment decisions. Each tool provides unique insights into player value, potential, and market dynamics.
Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Identifies pre-peak players offering exceptional value relative to their age bracket. Higher PPVE = better value.
Understanding Pre-Peak Value Efficiency (PPVE)
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras's Agustín Giay at 21 years old has the highest Pre-Peak Value Efficiency at 3.67×. That means Agustín Giay is valued 3.67× higher than the median player in the 21-23 age bracket—representing exceptional value before reaching peak age.
In second is Santos FC's JP Chermont, who is 19 years old, with a 3.00× PPVE. Third is Matheuzinho of Sport Club Corinthians Paulista, who is 25 years old with a 2.00× PPVE.
How PPVE is calculated: PPVE compares a player's current market value to the median value of all players in their age bracket. A PPVE of 3.67× means the player is worth 267% more than typical players their age—making them high-value targets before they reach peak value.
PPVE by Age Bracket
Rank | Player | Age | Bracket | Current Value | Bracket Median | PPVE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | Agustín Giay Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 21 | 21-23 | €11.0M | €3.0M | 3.67× |
#2 | JP Chermont Santos FC | 19 | U21 | €3.0M | €1.0M | 3.00× |
#3 | Matheuzinho Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 24-26 | €5.0M | €2.5M | 2.00× |
#4 | Khellven Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 24 | 24-26 | €5.0M | €2.5M | 2.00× |
#5 | Bruno Gomes Sport Club Internacional | 24 | 24-26 | €5.0M | €2.5M | 2.00× |
#6 | Natanael Clube Atlético Mineiro | 23 | 21-23 | €6.0M | €3.0M | 2.00× |
#7 | Maik São Paulo Futebol Clube | 20 | U21 | €1.0M | €1.0M | 1.00× |
#8 | José Andrés Hurtado Red Bull Bragantino | 23 | 21-23 | €3.0M | €3.0M | 1.00× |
#9 | Braian Aguirre Sport Club Internacional | 25 | 24-26 | €2.5M | €2.5M | 1.00× |
#10 | Claudinho Esporte Clube Vitória | 25 | 24-26 | €2.0M | €2.5M | 0.80× |
#11 | Fabiano Ceará Sporting Club | 25 | 24-26 | €1.7M | €2.5M | 0.68× |
#12 | Mateo Ponte Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 22 | 21-23 | €2.0M | €3.0M | 0.67× |
#13 | Paulinho Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | 20 | U21 | €400K | €1.0M | 0.40× |
#14 | Ewerthon Esporte Clube Juventude | 24 | 24-26 | €1.0M | €2.5M | 0.40× |
#15 | Nathan Mendes Red Bull Bragantino | 23 | 21-23 | €1.0M | €3.0M | 0.33× |
#16 | André Dhominique Esporte Clube Bahia | 22 | 21-23 | €600K | €3.0M | 0.20× |
Return-to-Peak Potential (RPP)
Recovery potential from current value to forecasted peak. Shows how much upside remains for players approaching their prime.
No RPP data available (requires forecast values in database)
Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Upside potential weighted against forecast uncertainty. Higher RAU = better risk-reward profile.
Understanding Risk-Adjusted Upside (RAU)
Santos FC's JP Chermont has the highest Risk-Adjusted Upside at 96.4. That means JP Chermont has 36% upside potential with only 0% forecast uncertainty—representing excellent risk-reward for value appreciation.
In second is Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama's Paulinho with a 86.2 RAU (31% upside, 0% uncertainty). Third is Maik of São Paulo Futebol Clube with a 86.2 RAU (31% upside, 0% uncertainty).
How RAU is calculated: RAU divides upside potential by forecast uncertainty (RAU = Upside % ÷ Uncertainty %). A RAU of 96.4 means the upside is 96.4× greater than the uncertainty—making it a high-confidence growth opportunity. Target RAU ≥2.0 for balanced risk-reward.
Risk-Adjusted Upside by Player
Rank | Player | Expected | Range | Upside % | RAU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | JP Chermont Santos FC | €4.1M | €3.5M-4.7M | +36% | 96.4 |
#2 | Paulinho Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | €525K | €452K-597K | +31% | 86.2 |
#3 | Maik São Paulo Futebol Clube | €1.3M | €1.1M-1.5M | +31% | 86.2 |
#4 | Agustín Giay Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | €13.9M | €12.0M-15.8M | +26% | 75.2 |
#5 | André Dhominique Esporte Clube Bahia | €727K | €640K-814K | +21% | 72.7 |
#6 | Mateo Ponte Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | €2.4M | €2.1M-2.7M | +21% | 72.7 |
#7 | José Andrés Hurtado Red Bull Bragantino | €3.5M | €3.1M-3.9M | +16% | 57.7 |
#8 | Natanael Clube Atlético Mineiro | €7.0M | €6.1M-7.8M | +16% | 57.7 |
#9 | Nathan Mendes Red Bull Bragantino | €1.2M | €1.0M-1.3M | +16% | 57.7 |
#10 | Ewerthon Esporte Clube Juventude | €1.1M | €977K-1.2M | +11% | 41.4 |
#11 | Khellven Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | €5.6M | €4.9M-6.2M | +11% | 41.4 |
#12 | Bruno Gomes Sport Club Internacional | €5.6M | €4.9M-6.2M | +11% | 41.4 |
#13 | Claudinho Esporte Clube Vitória | €2.1M | €1.9M-2.4M | +6% | 23.5 |
#14 | Fabiano Ceará Sporting Club | €1.8M | €1.6M-2.0M | +6% | 23.5 |
#15 | Matheuzinho Sport Club Corinthians Paulista | €5.3M | €4.7M-5.9M | +6% | 23.5 |
#16 | Braian Aguirre Sport Club Internacional | €2.6M | €2.3M-3.0M | +6% | 23.5 |
#17 | Eros Mancuso Fortaleza Esporte Clube | €3.6M | €3.2M-4.0M | +3% | 12.0 |
#18 | Emerson Royal CR Flamengo | €9.3M | €8.2M-10.4M | +3% | 12.0 |
#19 | Igor Formiga Esporte Clube Juventude | €412K | €362K-461K | +3% | 12.0 |
#20 | Vitinho Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | €6.2M | €5.4M-6.9M | +3% | 12.0 |
Roster Pressure Index (RPI)
Squad depth pressure based on Z-score distribution. Negative RPI = thin depth, positive = deep roster.
What This Shows
Z-Score explained: Measures how many standard deviations a player's strength is from the position average. Z-Score = 0 means average, +1.0 is one standard deviation above average, -1.0 is below average.
How to use: RPI < -1.0 indicates critical depth shortage. These positions need immediate reinforcement. RPI > +1.0 suggests strong depth, allowing selective, high-value additions only.
Current market: right-back position shows strong depth (avg Z-score: 0.00). RPI: 0.00.
Position Depth Analysis
Highest Z-Scores
Lowest Z-Scores
Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Identifies players capturing disproportionate value relative to age group representation. Positive ASC = value concentration.
Understanding Age-Share Concentration (ASC)
Sport Club do Recife's Aderlan in the 30+ age bracket has the highest Age-Share Concentration at +-20.0%. That means William captures 20.0% of total market value while representing only 40.0% of players in their age group—showing dominant elite status.
In second is São Paulo Futebol Clube's Cédric Soares with a +-20.0% ASC (20.0% value share vs 40.0% player share in 30+ bracket). Third is Santiago Arias of Esporte Clube Bahia with a +-20.0% ASC (20.0% value vs 40.0% players in 30+ bracket).
How ASC is calculated: ASC = (% of total value) - (% of total players) in age bracket. A +-20.0% ASC means the player captures -20.0% more market value than their numerical representation—indicating marquee status. ASC > +15% = elite dominance, ASC < -15% = potential value targets.
Value Concentration by Player
Rank | Player | Age Bracket | Value Share | Player Share | ASC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | Aderlan Sport Club do Recife | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#2 | Cédric Soares São Paulo Futebol Clube | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#3 | Santiago Arias Esporte Clube Bahia | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#4 | Mayke Santos FC | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#5 | Raúl Cáceres Esporte Clube Vitória | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#6 | Guillermo Varela CR Flamengo | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#7 | Samuel Xavier Fluminense Football Club | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#8 | Gilberto Esporte Clube Bahia | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#9 | Renzo Saravia Clube Atlético Mineiro | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#10 | Tinga Fortaleza Esporte Clube | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#11 | Daniel Borges Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#12 | Rafael Ramos Ceará Sporting Club | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#13 | Leonel Di Plácido Without Club | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#14 | Reginaldo Esporte Clube Juventude | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#15 | William Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#16 | Alan Benítez Sport Club Internacional | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#17 | Lucas Ramon Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#18 | Fagner Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#19 | Dieguinho Ceará Sporting Club | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
#20 | Marcos Rocha Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | 30+ | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% |
Buy-Now vs Wait-List Map
Categorizes players by age position and upside potential to guide timing of acquisition.
What This Shows
How to use: "Buy Now - High Upside" = immediate priority targets. "Watch List" = monitor for 6-12 months. "Peak" = pay premium for proven performers. "Aging" = short-term depth only.
Current market: 9 immediate targets, 7 standard acquisitions, 0 watch-list prospects, 13 at peak.
BUY NOW - High Upside
WATCH LIST - High Upside
No players in this category
BUY NOW - Medium Upside
PEAK Players
Price vs Peer Z-Score
IQR-based pricing analysis relative to position peers. Identifies over/undervalued players vs market.
What This Shows
How to use: Z-score < -1.5 = significantly undervalued (potential bargain). Z-score > +1.5 = premium pricing (requires strong justification). Within ±1.0 = fair market value.
Current market: Position median is €350K. 1 undervalued, 3 premium.
Value Positioning vs Peers
Player | Market Value | Position Median | Z-Score | Assessment |
---|---|---|---|---|
Maílton São Paulo Futebol Clube | €600K | €1.7M | -1.75 | Undervalued |
Hereda Sport Club do Recife | €800K | €1.7M | -1.50 | Good Value |
Natanael Clube Atlético Mineiro | €6.0M | €1.7M | -1.00 | Good Value |
Igor Formiga Esporte Clube Juventude | €400K | €1.7M | -0.87 | Good Value |
André Dhominique Esporte Clube Bahia | €600K | €1.7M | -0.70 | Good Value |
Nathan Mendes Red Bull Bragantino | €1.0M | €1.7M | -0.50 | Fair Value |
Ewerthon Esporte Clube Juventude | €1.0M | €1.7M | -0.47 | Fair Value |
José Luis Rodríguez Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | €1.7M | €1.7M | -0.38 | Fair Value |
Paulinho Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama | €400K | €1.7M | -0.23 | Fair Value |
Reginaldo Esporte Clube Juventude | €200K | €1.7M | -0.18 | Fair Value |
Aderlan Sport Club do Recife | €250K | €1.7M | -0.15 | Fair Value |
Raúl Cáceres Esporte Clube Vitória | €250K | €1.7M | -0.15 | Fair Value |
Matheus Alexandre Sport Club do Recife | €1.5M | €1.7M | -0.13 | Fair Value |
Samuel Xavier Fluminense Football Club | €300K | €1.7M | -0.12 | Fair Value |
Fagner Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | €300K | €1.7M | -0.12 | Fair Value |
Marcos Rocha Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €300K | €1.7M | -0.12 | Fair Value |
Daniel Borges Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) | €350K | €1.7M | -0.09 | Fair Value |
Leonel Di Plácido Without Club | €350K | €1.7M | -0.09 | Fair Value |
Alan Benítez Sport Club Internacional | €450K | €1.7M | -0.03 | Fair Value |
Maik São Paulo Futebol Clube | €1.0M | €1.7M | 0.00 | Fair Value |